Financial Risk Management Flashcards
(38 cards)
Define risk
- the chance of financial loss
- may be used interchangeably with the term “uncertainty” to refer to the variability of returns associated with a given asset
Define return
- the total gain or loss experienced on behalf of the owner of an asset over a given period
- greater risk yields greater returns
What are the 3 basic risk preference behaviors that exist?
- Risk indifferent behavior- an increase in risk does not result in an increase in return; this is an exception since it is unusual
- Risk averse behavior- an increase in risk results in an increase in return; managers require higher expected returns to compensate for greater risk; general rule
- Risk seeking behavior- an increase in risk results in a decrease in return; managers are willing to settle for lower expected returns as risk increases; this is an exception since it is very rare
Define default risk and how to mitigate it
- affects lenders (investors)
- creditors are exposed to default risk to the extent that it is possible that its debtors may not repay the principal or interest due on their indebtedness on a timely basis
- mitigation: lend only to borrowers with low risk of default; adjust the interest rates charged to better reflect the risk of each borrower (high risk borrowers pay higher interest rates)
Define liquidity risk and how to mitigate it
- affects lenders (investors)
- when lenders want to sell their security but cant do so in a timely manner or when material price concessions have to be made to do so
- mitigation: allocate a greater percentage of capital to investments that trade on active markets such as equities, corporate bonds, futures contracts and options
Define price risk and how to mitigate it
- represents the exposure that investors have to a decline in the value of their individual securities or portfolios
- factors unique to individual investments and/or portfolios contribute to price risk which becomes an even greater concern with increased market volatility
- related to diversifiable (unsystematic) risk
- mitigation: diversification, short selling or derivatives like put options
What is the stated interest rate?
- represents the rate of interest charged before any adjustment for compounding or market factors (sometimes referred to as nominal interest rate)
- shown in the agreement of indebtedness (bond indenture or promissory note)
What is the annual percentage rate?
- represents a noncompounded version of the effective annual percentage rate
- the rate required for disclosure by federal regulations
- computed as the effective periodic interest rate * # of periods in a year
- emphasizes the amount paid relative to funds available
What is the effective annual percentage rate?
- represents the stated interest rate adjusted for the number of compounding periods per year
- abbreviated APR
= [1+ (i/p)]^p -1
i= stated interest rate
p= compounding periods per year
What is simple interest?
- the amount represented by interest paid only on the original amount of principal without regard to compounding
SI= Po (i)(n)
Po= original principal
i= interest rate per time period
n= number of time periods
What is compound interest?
- the amount represented by interest earnings or expense that is based on the original principal plus any unpaid interest earnings or expense
- interest earnings or expense compounds and yields an amount higher than simple interest
FVn= Po (1+i)^n
P0= original principal
i= interest rate
n= number of periods
How is the required rate of return calculated?
risk premium + risk free rate
What is the Maturity Risk Premium (used to compute the required rate of return)?
- the compensation that investors demand for exposure to interest rate risk over time
- this risk increases with the term to maturity
What is the Inflation Premium/ Purchasing Power Risk (used to compute the required rate of return)?
- the compensation investors require to bear the risk that price levels will change and affect asset values or the purchasing power of invested dollars (ex: real estate)
What is the Liquidity Risk Premium (used to compute the required rate of return)?
- the additional compensation demanded by lenders for the risk that an investment security (ex: junk bonds) cannot be sold on a short notice without making significant price concessions
- liquidity= the ability to quickly convert an asset to cash at FMV
What is the Default Risk Premium (used to compute the required rate of return)?
the additional compensation demanded by lenders for bearing the risk that the issuer of the security will fail to pay interest and/or principal due on a timely basis
How is the nominal rate of return calculated?
real rate of return + inflation premium
What is short selling?
selling an investment in the hopes of buying it back at a lower price later
Describe the relative inflation rate trade factor that influences exchange rates
- when domestic inflation > foreign inflation, holders of domestic currency are motivated to purchase foreign currency to maintain the purchasing power of their $$
- the increase in demand for foreign currency forces the value of the foreign currency to rise in relation to the domestic currency, chanign the exchange rate
Describe the relative income levels trade factor that influences exchange rates
as income increases in one country relative to another, exchange rates change as a result of increased demand for foreign currencies in the country in which income is increasing
Describe the government controls trade factor that influences exchange rates
various trade and exchange barriers that artificially supress the natural forces of supply and demand affect exchange rates
Describe the relative interest rates and capital flows financial factor that influences exchange rates
- interest rates create demand for currencies by motivating either domestic or foreign investments
- the forces of supply and demand create changes in the exchange rates as investors seek fixed returns
- the effect of interest rates is directly affected by the volume of capital that is allowed to flow between countries
What is transaction exposure?
- the potential that an org could suffer economic loss or experience economic gain upon settlement of individual transactions as a result of changes in the exchange rates
- measured in relation to currency variability or currency correlation
- measured in 2 steps: 1. project foreign currency inflows and outflows 2. estimate the variability (risk) associated with the foreign currency
What is economic exposure?
- the potential that the present value of an organization’s cash flows could increase or decrease as a result of changes in the exchange rates
- defined through local currency appreciation or depreciation and measured in relation to organization earnings and cash flows