Focus Study - Near Future

Question 1

Current trend inclusion
- Health
- Education
- Justice System
- Employment
- Technology
- Housing

Answer 1

• ATSI women who gave birth and attended at least 1 antenatal visit in the first trimester of pregnancy, increased from 50% 2011 to 66% in 2018
• Medicare health checks per 1, 000 population increased from 68 in 2009-10 to 297 in 2018-19
• Year 12 attainment from 2020 narrowed by 12%
• University enrollment
• Protests e.g. Black Lives Matter 2021
• Inclusive/culturally sensitive programs
• Programs cultural sensitivity
• Black owned business
• Education – STEM projects
• Cyber Safety
• Increase in home ownership. 2001-2016 = 6% rise
• Growth in govt organization assisting with housing

Question 2

Current trend exclusion
- Health
- Education
- Justice System
- Employment
- Technology
- Housing

Answer 2

• Obesity 5% increase
• 4% increase in psychological distress 2004-05 and 2018-19
• Medicare spending is down.
• ATSI teachers are not increasing
• Scholarship retainment is decreasing
• Adults per 100,000 increased from 1,337 in 2006 to 2, 088 in 2019
• Death in custody
• Unemployment rates
• Not in executive positions within companies
• Likely to leave a job – Racism
• COVID + access to resources remote + rural
• Exclusion from information
• Tension between technology and culture
• Homelessness
• Quality/safety of homes

Question 3

Likely changes
- Australian Day
- Trends

Answer 3

Australian Day
Aunty Barb: “Like many others, the respected elder says she would like to see the date of the national holiday changed so it is inclusive of the country’s first inhabitations.”

• Growing awareness of ATSI culture + history
• Slow process
• Gradual shift
• Towards inclusion
• More culturally appropriate policies
• Understanding of culture

Question 4

Likely changes
- Stolen Generation

Answer 4

Morrison government will provide $378.6 million for a new redress scheme for Stolen Generation survivors

Territories Stolen Generations Reparation Scheme eligible people will be entitled to a payment of $75,000
- “in recognition of the harm caused by forced removal” from families”

PLUS $7000
- “healing assistance payment … in recognition that the action to facilitate healing will be specific to each individual”.

Survivors will also have the opportunity to confidently tell the story of the effect of their experience to a senior official, and receive a face-to-face or written apology “for their removal and resulting trauma.”

Question 5

Likely changes
- Identification
- Education
- Income
- Home ownership

Answer 5

Growing visibility: 2016 estimated 786,689 Australians who identify as ATSI. This is a 17.4% increase from 2011.

Indigenous people are getting into the education system earlier and staying for longer.
- Lead to improved socioeconomic

Indigenous people are also earning more on average in 2016 than 2011.

Homeownership rates among households with at least one Indigenous resident have increased slightly, from 37.4% to 39.6%.

Question 6

Probable continuities
- Voice to the Parliament
- Crowding

Answer 6

Voice to Parliament demonstrates a macro level attempt to redress historical injustices, prejudice and discrimination
- Resistance by Liberal Government

Linda Burney, Minister for Indigenous Australians, member of the Wiradjuri nation
- The Indigenous voice would help “change the frustration” of Aboriginal Australians in health and education
- “Having our people have a say at the decision-making tables is what I believe will bring about that change.”

Overcrowding by the same measure among non-Indigenous households has risen between 2011 and 2016, from 3.2% to 3.6%.

Question 7

Likely changes
- Population
- Where they reside

Answer 7

ABS, number of Indigenous Australians in 2022 was estimated to be around 896,300 and will reach 1.1 million people by 2031

Based on projections for 2022, among Indigenous Australians ABS:
- 38% (344,800) live in Major cities.
- 44% (395,900) live in Inner and outer regional areas.
- 17% (155,600) live in Remote and very remote areas combined

Question 8

Likely changes
- COVID-19

Answer 8

Research by The Healing Foundation has revealed that public health restrictions have had a significant impact on some Stolen Generations survivors, retriggering trauma

20% of Stolen Generation survivor respondents said they had no support during COVID-19, while only 58% reported having some support.

COVID-19 restrictions disrupted many cultural, relational, and collective practices of ATSI peoples, which included collective healing activities.

Lockdowns meant survivors were disconnected from family for Sorry Business and attending community gatherings like NAIDOC Week.

Question 9

Likely changes OVERVIEW
- Inclusion
- Exclusion

Answer 9

Inclusion
Education: boost in ATSI university students and graduates
Justice System: 1991 Royal Commission into Deaths in Custody

Exclusion
Justice System: BLM, growing recognition of deaths in custody
Education: Exclusion of ATSI people will decrease as a result of AIME and Closing the Gap. Uni attendance growing as a result of governments schemes and scholarships.

Question 10

Probable continuities OVERVIEW
- Inclusion
- Exclusion

Answer 10

Inclusion
Education: opportunities for ATSI people to access education. Continued positive discrimination and government support for ATSI students e.g. Personalised Learning Pathways
Justice System: CNS - renewed funding, continued funding of services to promote safe engagement with the legal system

Exclusion
Justice System: Close the Gap, continued exclusion for decision making/research process leading to limited changes in incineration rates
Education: Less likely to finish high school or attend Uni. Attendance rate has not increased 82% attending school regularly compared to 93%. Gap between rural and urban → impacting life chances and access to other SVRs