General Principles/Conduct/Psychology Flashcards
(181 cards)
Behavioral Finance: Familiarity
E.g., familiarity with an employer and investing in ER stock because of familiarity only
Behavioral Finance: Loss Aversion
Unwillingness to sell a losing investment in the hopes it will turn around because losses are more painful than gains. (compare Prospect Theory)
Behavioral Finance: Affect Heuristic
Judging something, good or bad, pertains to likes or dislikes of a company based on non-financial issues.
Behavioral Finance: Anchoring
Attaching/Anchoring one’s thoughts to a reference point even if there is no logical relevance or no pertinence to the issue in question; aka conservatism or belief perseverance.
The investor sets a value at the initial point of information (typically their buy price)
Behavioral Finance: Availability Heuristic
Reliance on information that is readily available in one’s memory, thus overweighting recent events or patterns and ignoring longer term trends.
Behavioral Finance: Bounded rationality
Making decisions based on rationality limited by available information, tractability of decision problem, cognitive limitations, time available to make a decision. Seeking a satisfactory solution rather than an optimal one, thus additional information does not lead to an improvement in decision because investor is unable to consider significant amounts of information.
Behavioral Finance: Cognitive Dissonance
Tendency to misinterpret information that is contrary to an existing opinion or only pay attention to information that supports an existing opinion, e.g., exaggerating gains and minimizing/forgetting about losses.
Behavioral Finance: Confirmation Bias
Tendency to filter information and focus on information that supports one’s opinions.
Behavioral Finance: Disposition effect
People seek pride and avoid regret, thus
- sell winners too quickly (confirms correct choice)
- hold losers too long (avoids confirming incorrect choice)
Behavioral Finance: Familiarity Bias
Tendency to overestimate/underestimate the risk of investments with which one is familiar/unfamiliar.
Leads to home bias and single stock concentration.
Behavioral Finance: Gambler’s Fallacy
Based on incorrect understanding of probabilities, investors may sell stock when it has been successful in consecutive trading sessions because they may not believe it is continuing its upward trend.
Behavioral Finance: Herding
Following the herd. Finding comfort in groups/numbers.
Behavioral Finance: Hindsight Bias
Looking back after the fact is known and assuming one can predict the future as readily as the past.
When considering the past, investors tend to suffer from:
- House money effect (take more risk)
- Snakebite effect (take less risk)
- Break-evenitis (take more risk)
Behavioral Finance: Illusion of Control Bias
Tendency to overestimate ability to control events, e.g., sense of control over outcomes one can demonstrably not influence.
Behavioral Finance: Naïve diversification
Common with 401k plans or other employer sponsored retirement plans: idea that one is adequately diversified by investing an equal amount in all of the funds.
Mental accounting can lead to naïve diversification.
Behavioral Finance: Optimism
Can lead to exuberance, which can lead to market bubbles.
Behavioral Finance: Overconfidence Bias
Tendency to listen to oneself, rely on one’s own skills and capabilities to do one’s own homework or make one’s own decisions. This often leads investors to overstate their risk tolerance, overestimate their knowledge, underestimate risks, exaggerate ability to control events and predict outcomes.
Factors leading to overconfidence:
Choice
Task familiarity
Information (confirmation bias)
Active involvement
Past success
Behavioral Finance: Overreaction
Common emotion towards receipt of news or information
Behavioral Finance: Prospect Theory
Tendency to value gains and losses differently. Investors are loss averse, suffer more from a loss of $100 than they benefit from a $100 gain. Examples: Avoiding higher risk investments even if they offer strong risk adjusted returns or over insuring against risks through low deductibles.
Behavioral Finance: Recency
Focusing on short-term past performance, giving too much weight to recent events, leading to faulty predictions that this is how it is always going to be.
Behavioral Finance: Representativeness
Idea that a good company is a good investment without an analysis of the investment
Behavioral Finance: Similarity Heuristic
Used when a decision is made when an apparently similar situation occurs even though the situations may have very different outcomes
CFP Code of Ethics
- Act with honesty, integrity, competence, and diligence
- Act in the client’s best interests
- Exercise due care
- Avoid or disclose and manage conflicts of interest
- Maintain the confidentiality and protect the privacy of client information
- Act in a manner that reflects positively on the financial planning profession and the CFP certification
Economic Forces: Complements
Products that are usually consumed jointly. A decrease in the price of one will cause an increase in the demand of another, e.g., when peanut butter goes on sale, the demand for jelly will increase.