History of Economic Growth Flashcards
(28 cards)
What’s the intro for history of economic growth?
Define economic growth
Historical significance
Two main dimensions
Structure of essay
What’s economic growth?
An increase in real GDP over time
What’s the historical significance of economic growth?
Little until relatively recently - Important to improve living standards.
What are the two main dimensions of the history of economic growth?
Theoretical frameworks
Institutional influences
What’s the structure of the essay?
Measuring economic growth
Theories of economic growth
Institutions and economic growth
Approaches to institutional development
What are the main points in measuring economic growth?
Purpose: explain how economists quantify growth.
Real GDP
PPP
Growth accounting
Challenges
What’s GDP and how is it measured?
Discussion of growth relies on the ability to generate output indexes.
GDP can be calculated by:
Expenditure approach: Y = C + I + G + NX
Income approach: Y = wL + rK + rents
Production approach: Sum of 1 to n PnQn - intermediate inputs
How is GDP get transformed to real GDP?
It needs to be deflated - best through the Fisher Price Index
What are the problems with index numbers?
Choice of index matters
Choice of base year matters
Quality changes not accounted for
Real value of new options not accounted for
Choice of bundle and weights is often subjective
What’s PPP and why do we use it?
PPP is used to compare the relative value of currencies and the cost of living between countries. We use it because exchange rates don’t account for price levels.
What are the two types of PPP?
Bilateral PPP: Used in many 2 country studies, possible to calculate for older and more numerous data, can be used for specific sectors.
Multilateral PPP: Used in many cross-country studies, does satisfy transitivity.
What are the problems with the two types of PPP?
Bilateral - Indexes don’t satisfy transitivity
Multilateral: Only appropriate for aggregated sectors
What’s growth accounting and how can it be formed?
Growth accounting is used to quantify the contributions of labour, capital and technology to economic growth and is formed by transforming a Cobb-Douglas production function.
Growth of output = residual growth + growth of K contribution + growth of L contribution.
What are the problems with growth accounting?
We have to choose an aggregate production function but their can be issues with the functional form.
We need to constrain the components because national income shares may change rapidly.
We only capture the effect of growth, not the causes.
Growth levels are also important, not just rates.
Results can be time sensitive.
What are the main points in theories of economic growth?
Proximate sources of growth
Deep determinants of growth
Key theoretical models
What are the proximate sources of growth?
L and K accumulation
Human K accumulation
Technological change
(Immediate factors driving economic growth)
What are the deep determinants of growth?
Institutions
Technology
(Long-term factors)
What are the key theoretical models of growth?
Smithian growth (Proximate)
Solovian growth (Proximate)
Boserupian growth (Proximate)
Lewisonian growth (Proximate)
Schumpeterian growth (Deep determinant)
What are the main points of institutions and economic growth?
Purpose: analyse the role of institutions in shaping long run growth.
Definition (North, 1990)
Types of institutions
Why institutions matter
What’s North’s (1990) definition of institutions?
“The rules of a game in a society or, more formally, the humanly devised constraints that we share human interactions”.
What are the types of institutions
Formal:
-Legal (civil law vs common law)
-Political (parliamentary vs presidential)
-Economic (capitalist vs communist)
-Education (private, public, state schools)
-Healthcare (public vs private)
Informal:
Culture - morals, norms, customs
Why are institutions important for growth?
Influence on proximate sources of growth (K, L, A).
Impact on transaction costs and transformation costs.
Historical significance:
Property rights
Factor markets
Product markets
Govt
Commerce
What are the main points in approaches to institutions?
Purpose: present different frameworks for understanding institutional evolution.
Efficiency approach
Accidentally approach
Cultural approach
Conflict approach
What’s the efficiency approach?
People will choose the least costly way of transacting.
“Strong” version is Darwinism - inefficient institutions die out.
“Weak” version assumes a degree of path dependency - inefficient institutions can still persist but the best will still dominate.
However, there’s still no true definition of efficiency.
E.g, European merchant guilds (Grief, 2000)