Hypothesis testing Flashcards
Sampling variability and standard errors
Standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the mean, measures the typical size of error between the sample mean and the (whole) population mean
This quantifying the accuracy of our sample as an estimate of the (whole) population mean, and is known as the standard error (SE) of the mean
What is standard deviation
Standard deviation of a sample of observations measures how a typical observation in the sample differs from the sample mean
What is standard error
The standard error quantities the typical error or difference between the mean measured in the sample and the theoretical mean in the population from which the sample was drawn
The SE indicates how accurately the sample mean estimates the population
What is the importance of normal distribution in medical research
Central tendency
- crucial for interpreting and summarising large data sets e.g blood pressure readings
Statistical inference
- many statistical tests and confidence intervals assume normality
Predictive modelling
- normal distribution often used in predictive modelling and risk assessment e.g probability of disease occurrence based on various risk factors)
Quality control and standardisation
- normal distribution used in quality control process to monitor and maintain the consistency of medical tests and procedures
Hypothesis testing
Null or alternative hypothesis depends on type of investigations as follows:
Types of investigation
To see whether there is a difference between two procedures
NULL
- the hypothesis says no difference
ALTERNATIVE
- the hypothesis says that there is a difference
To find out if a bold claim is true
NULL
- there is no difference
ALTERNATIVE
- drug is better or worse
Assumptions for hypothesis testing
My sample is:
1. is representative
2. Is independent
3. Has homogeneous variance
4. Is normal
3/4 need to test with appropriate tools and techniques.
Error types
Type 1 - if the null hypothesis is rejected when it is true and its probability is denoted by a
Type 2 - if the null hypothesis is not rejected when it is false and is probably denoted by b
The decision to reject or not to reject is based on a test statistic computed from the values of a random sample.
P value
P value gives us the measurement of strength of evidence against the null hypothesis
0.05 value means that there is a 5% or 1 in 20 chance that is sample result does not represent the reality
Small p value means the null hypothesis is unlikely to be true
Confidence interval
The confidence interval is the range of values, estimated from a sample whiting which the true population value is likely to be found.
95%
- draw and repeat sample 100 times
- calculate for each sample
- 95/100 intervals will contain the true population parameter