Inequality Flashcards
(36 cards)
Climate change and extreme weather
Location
- India has the highest population that is affected
- Delhi worst air quality
Arid and semi arid tropics with extreme weather
- Hotter and drier
- North Africa and West Asia
- Increased water stress
- South Asia is most populated under water stress
Weather change and agriculture
- Reduced soil moisture & groundwater levels
- Reduced growing seasons, yields (30% declines in Africa by 2050), & arable land
- Increased desertification risks
- Reduced food security
- Of the 3 B people who live in rural areas in Global South ~2.5 B are involved in agriculture
Sahel
- tropical steppe / savannah
- grassland w/ widely spaced trees & shrubs
- extreme seasonality of precipitation
- Vast majority of African agriculture rainfed
In short, hotter and drier conditions:
- reducing areas where agriculture and grazing are possible
- straining capacity of drought-adapted vegetation to rebound from long dry seasons
Lake Chad
- 1/10 volume of 1960s
- Almost gone
Himalayas + Hindu Kush – melting ice mass has big short- and long-term implications
- SHORT-TERM: heightened risks of flooding, massive inundation with summer melt-season
- LONGER-TERM: river volumes falling in dry season
- half the world’s population depend on seasonal melt from high-elevation snow and ice
Hindu Kush-Himalaya (HKH) region
- Glaciers affect river basins w/ ~2 B people
- 250 M live in region
- 1.65 B rely on rivers it feeds if warming kept to 1.5 C
- on course for 2 /3 glacial ice (or more) gone by 2100
Glacierized large-scale drainage basins
- Cover ~1 /4 of all land (not including Greenland & Antarctica)
- With ~ 1 /3 of world’s population
Why is glacial meltwater important?
- modulates the seasonality of stream/river flow
- ‘can compensate for seasons and years of otherwise low flow or droughts’ in lowland areas downstream
- affects freshwater availability (drinking + irrigation), hydropower (i.e. dams), sediment transport, ecosystem function
Bolivia
- dramatic changes in freshwater availability
- changing hydrology + rainfall patterns + diversions (irrigation & mining
Significant declines evident + continuing mass loss expected in 21st C
- releases water from long-term glacial storage
- increases annual glacial runoff, up to a point (‘peak water’)
- INCREASING FLOOD RISKS WHILE MELTING
mega-deltas, low-lying coastal areas, and small island developing states (SIDS)
- abundance of rising seas
- many heavily populated deltaic areas esp. sensitive to sea-level rise
- 20% of humanity lives within 30 km of the sea
For decades, climate scientists warning for tropical storms
- very straightforward drivers
- warmer air churning over warmer oceans intensifies energy
- warmer air can hold more moisture than cooler air
- atmosphere contains more moisture (Clausius-Clapeyron equation: 1 oC warming = 7% more water vapour over oceans)
Small island Developing States
- total pop 63 M
- consistent appeals for mitigation and support for adaptation and UNFCCC
- some displacement and appeals for climate refugee status has begun
By 2050, sea-level rise on present course for SIDS
- high tides permanently above land now home to >150 m people
- average annual coastal floods above land now home to ~300 m people
- without advanced sea defence systems, people in these areas likely permanently displaced by sea level rise by 2050
countries with the lowest GHG emissions facing the first and worst impacts
- hotter and drier
- low lying coastal areas at risk
- declining sky reservoirs
Adaptation
- Responding to impacts from unfolding
- Sea Defense
- Heat and storm proofing electricity grids, roads, and other infrastructure
- Risk assessment and emergency preparedness
- Disaster response capacities (fire fighting, evacuation)
- Agriculture innovations
Bangladesh
- 170 M population
- GDP US 7400 (world bank)
- One of the world’s most densely populated countries
- Much of the land/population in deltaic plains of the Ganges and Brahmaputra rivers (living at or close to sea level)
Netherlands
- 17.5 M population
- GDP US 74,000 (world bank)
- Also extremely high risk of coastal flooding
- ¼ of land and ½ population, including Amsterdam, below sea level
- Worlds most sophisticated sea defense infrastructure
Maeslant Barrier
- Biggest moving flood barrier
- Can withstand storm ride of 5 meters
Engineering challenges greatly magnified by sea-level rise
- Delta vulnerable to sea level
- Huge impacts “on all aspects that are relevant to delta management in a rather short time”
- Calls for prolonged and massive investments in construction and maintenance
New York city
- Sandy (2012) Ida (2021)
- Both >60 Billion
- Very wet future
- Potential 119 Billion sea wall
MITIGATION
- Reduce the magnitude of further changes
- cutting GHG emissions + conservation + ecological restoration
- Requesting geoengineering responses