Introduction Flashcards

1
Q

what is epidemiology?

A

study of patterns causes and effects of health and disease in defined populations
it informs our public health, policy, evidence-based practice - identifying risk factors and interventions for prevention

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2
Q

why is epidemiology important?

A

understanding risks, used for designing public health interventions, underpins much of evidence-based medicine

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3
Q

outline cholera

A

John snow
higher death rates in 2 areas supplied by same water company
identified pump on Broad street as cause of epidemic
used chlorine to clean handle and ended the outbreak

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4
Q

outline the smoking ‘british doctors study’

A

prospective cohort study by medical research council
1951- wrote to UK physicians
40,000 responded, males
statistical evidence linking smoking to lung cancer

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5
Q

outline AIDS epidemic 1980s

A

cohort study 1993 Schechter
followed 715 gay men for 8.6 years
all 126 AIDS cases only occurred in those 365 individuals with pre-existing HIV-1 antibody and CD4 counts fell - changed beliefs on aetiology
HIV-1 is involved in AIDS pathogenesis

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6
Q

outline the Northern Region Young Persons Malignant Disease Registry

A

cancer registry
all cases of cancer diagnosed in those 0-24 years from 1968-today
population based - cases from defined geographical region and time

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7
Q

what has the northern region young persons maligant disease registry shown

A

improved survival for children and young people with cancer
seasonal variation - indicates a role for environmental factors in aetiology
socio-economic disparities in survival

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8
Q

how can we measure disease frequency

A

incidence rate
prevalence rate
mortality rate
relative risk
rate ratio
standardised morbidity ratio
odds ratio

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9
Q

what are the 4 main study designs

A

case-control studies
cohort studies
cross-sectional studies
ecological studies

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10
Q

what is the definition of bias

A

any systematic error in epidemiological study resulting in incorrect estimate of association between exposure and risk of disease
selection bias/misclassification bias

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11
Q

what is the definiton of confounding

A

function of the complex interrelationships between various exposures and disease

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12
Q

what is genetic epidemiology

A

study of role of genetic factors in determining health and disease in families and populations
gene-environment interactions

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13
Q

what are the types of genetic study design

A

familial aggregation studies
segregation studies
linkage studies
association studies

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14
Q

what are family aggregation studies

A

find out if there is a genetic component and what the relative contributions of the genes and environment are

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15
Q

what are segregation studies in genetic epidemiology

A

find out the pattern of inheritance of disease (dominant or recessive)

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16
Q

what are linkage studies in genetic epidemiology

A

find out which part of the chromosome the disease gene is located

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17
Q

what are association studies within genetic epidemiology

A

find out which allele of which gene is associated with the disease

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18
Q

what is the recent thing in genetic epidemiology

A

genome-wide association studies - lead to the discovery of many genetic polymorphisms that influence risk of developing common diseases

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19
Q

what is life course epidemiology

A

study of antecedant exposures and later health outcomes
take into account pathways between the two and evolution of health disorders over time
used to study long term effects on chronic disease and risk of exposure during gestation, childhood, adolescence and later life

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20
Q

what is perinatal epidemiology

A

period immediately before or after birth
congenital anomalies in children - aetiology and survival
reproductive loss

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21
Q

what is the prevalence of cancer

A

approx 1 in 2 people will be diagnosed with cancer at some point in their lives
risk increases in people 50+

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22
Q

what diseases does obesity increase the likelihood of

A

BMI > 30
heart disease
type 2 diabetes
obstructive sleep apnea
certain cancers
osteoarthiritis

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23
Q

outline the Newcastle 85+ study

A

out of those ages 85+ years no one was disease free and on average each person has 4-5 conditions

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24
Q

what are the methods used to investigate infections

A

outbreak investigation
disease surveillance
case-control studies
cohort studies
molecular epidemiology
vaccine assessments

25
what is the definition of health inequality
differences in health status or distribution of health determinants between different populations
26
what did the study of melanoma by McNally 2014 show
incidence and survival in young people in northern england found increased risk of melanoma was linked to greater affluence but worse survival associated with living in a more deprived area
27
what is incidence rate used to measure
measure and compare disease frequency in populations good because rates adjust for population size
28
what is the definition of incidence rate
number of new cases of a specified disease per population at risk in a given time period
29
how is incidence rate calculated
(new cases occuring in given time period) / (population at risk during same time period)
30
what should the numerator of the incidence rate equation not include
cases occurred/diagnosed earlier or later than the given time period
31
what does the denominator of the incidence rate equation represent
the population from which the cases in the numerator arose from
32
what is incidence rate specific for
age and sex females and males are calculated separately age calculated by 5 year group
33
what must be ensured when calculating age/sex specific incidence
complete ascertainment of cases for a prescribed geographical area e.g country, county, district, ward
34
what is the crude incidence rate
calculated as total number of cases / total population in the period
35
what does the crude incidence rate not take into account?
the age structure of the population and cannot be used for comparison with other populations/countries
36
what is an example of when crude incidence rate did not work
2 australian health surveys examined circulatory system health problems in general population and indigenous population in each age group over 24 years, indigenous had higher rates but crude incidence showed general as higher because the median age of indigenous was 21 and median age of general was 37
37
how do we overcome the problem of comparing populations with different age structures?
weighting rates are weighted to a standard population e.g WHO AGE-STANDARDISED INCIDENCE RATE
38
so how is age standardised incidence rate calculated
summary of individual age-specific rates using external population standard d(i) / y (i) = age specific rate for i category
39
what is prevalence
frequency of existing cases how much of a particular disease is present in a defined population
40
so what is the difference between the numerators of incidence and prevalence
indice numerator is new cases in given time period prevalence numerator is all cases present during given time period irrespective of when disease started both new and old cases
41
what is the equation for prevalence rate
(persons with given disease/condition during specified time period) / (population during same time period)
42
what is mortality rate
probability/risk of dying in population over a period of time frequency with which new death occurs in population over period of time
43
what are some other types of mortality rate
perinatal mortality rate - neonatal death and stillbirth maternal mortality rate - 15-44yrs infant mortality rate -<1yr child mortality rate <5 yrs
44
what is relative risk
measure of disease frequency by calculating ratios - risk ratio and rate ratio measures the strength of an association
45
what is the risk ratio equation
risk (cumulative incidence) in exposed group / risk in unexposed group
46
what is rate ratio equation
incidence rate in exposed group / incidence rate in unexposed group
47
what is the odds ratio
odds of disease in exposed group / odds of disease in unexposed group
48
what does the rate ratio do
compares 2 groups in terms or incidence/mortality rate the two groups differ by demographic or exposure rate ratio = rate for group of interest / rate for comparison group
49
what does a rate ratio of 1 mean
identical risk in the 2 groups
50
what does a rate ratio of > 1 mean
increased risk for numerator group
51
what does a rate ratio of < 1 mean
increased risk for denominator group
52
what is the odds ratio definition
estimate of risk from case-control studies measure of association - quantifies relationship between exposure and health outcome from comparative study (case-control study)
53
what is the equation for odds ratio - case control studies
odd ratio = (a x d) / (b x c)
54
what is the abcd of the odds ratio equation
a = ppl with disease and exposure of interest b = ppl without disease but with exposure of interest c = ppl with disease but without exposure of interest d = ppl without disease or exposure of interest
55
and is a+c and what is B+D
ac = cases bd = controls
56
what is the standard mortality ratio equation
SMR = observed cases / expected cases x 100
57
outline standard morbidity ratio
can be morbidity mortality or incidence quantifies increase or decrease in those relative to general population
58
what is the p value
measure of statistical significance probability of an event occurring due to chance alone higher p value = higher probability the event can be explained by chance from 0.0 to 1.0 cut offs 0.05/0.01