Investments Flashcards

(31 cards)

1
Q

Investment risks

A
  1. Default
  2. Inflation
  3. Liquidity
  4. Marketability
  5. Dividends (equities)
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2
Q

Government uses interest rates to

A
  1. Control inflation
  2. Encourage economic growth
  3. Manage exchange rate
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3
Q

Theories of yield curve

A

LIME
1. Liquidity theory
* additional yield on less liquid bonds - normally LT
2. Inflation risk premium
*additional yield on long-term conventional bonds
*compensate for inflation
3. Market segmentation theory
*supply a d demand determine yields at each term
*demand comes from matching attempts
4. Expectations theory
*yield reflects future expectations of interest and inflation

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4
Q

Economic factors affecting bonds

A

FIIERCE
1. Fiscal
2. Interest
3. Inflation
4. Economic growth
5. Perceived riskiest
6. Curreny
7. Exchange rate

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5
Q

Economic factors affecting equity (secure options)

A

OPERATICS
1. Overseas equities
2. Political climate
3. Economic growth
4. Perceived riskiest
5. Alternative
6. Tax
7. Interest and inflation
8. Currency
9. Supply

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6
Q

Investments selected should be appropriate to

A

CnUT
1. Currency
2. Uncertainty
3. Nature
4. Term

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7
Q

Nature of benefits

A
  1. Guaranteed money
  2. Guaranteed index linked
  3. Discretionary
  4. Investment linked
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8
Q

Matching options

A
  1. Pure
  2. Approximate
  3. Liability hedging
    *approximate
    *full
  4. Immunisation
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9
Q

Custodian duties

A
  1. Hold investment on behalf of investor
  2. Independently account for financial transactions
  3. Ensure financial instruments are housed under proper system
  4. Bank/regulated inst
  5. Services
    *income collection
    *tax recovery
    *. Cash management
    *securities settlement
    *foreign exchange
    *stock lending
    *voting
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10
Q

Immunisation conditions

A
  1. Pv are equal
  2. Dmt are equal
    *weighted average duration of series of cashflow
    * measure of sensitivity of PV to small changes in force of interest
    *average life of investments
  3. Spread about the Dmt of assets slightly more than of liabilities
    *larger convexity = higher spread =less affected by small changes in interest rates
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11
Q

Limitations of immunisation theory

A
  1. Profit (rules out equity ans property)
    *cut out opp to profit from excess returns
  2. fixed
    *ideally for fixed interest
    *there might be lag for index Inked
  3. Discounted mean term asset
    *not easy to find long term dmt
  4. Curve
    *assume whole curve moves by same
  5. Rearrangement/rebalancing
    *will require upkeep
  6. Timing
    *?unknown timing
  7. Interest
    * doesn’t work for big changes
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12
Q

Valuation methods foe individual investments

A
  1. Market value
  2. Smoothed Market value
  3. Fair value
  4. Discounted cashflow
  5. Stochastic models
  6. Arbitrage value
  7. Historic book value
  8. Written up/down
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13
Q

Market value valuation

A

not readily attained- unwuo

1.varies constantly-known with certainty at transaction date
2. Many quoted figures in open market at any time
3. Objective and easily obtained figure - starting pnt of val

*objective
*realistic
*easy
*well understood and accepted
*can be used for comparison

#volatile
#May not reflect values of future proceeds
#subjective decisions (mid, bid,offer)
#difficult to ensure consistency with liability basis
#value reflects position of marginal investor
#illiquidity-may notbe realised

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14
Q

Smoothed market value

A
  1. Where MV is avail smooth by taking some form of average over specified period to rem9ve fluctuations
  2. Not great for consistent liability valuations - appropriate discount rate is indetermjnate
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15
Q

Fair value

A
  1. Market based method of valuation
  2. Amount for which asset or liability could be excahnged/settled between knowledgeable, willing parties at arms length
  3. Likely to be market price
    4 . Indicative price from brokwr/market maker
  4. Use most recent adjusted for movement in appropriate index
  5. Use stochastic asset modeling for market consistent value
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16
Q

Discounted cashflow

A
  1. Discounting the expected future cashflows from investment using LT assumptions
  2. Advantage of being easily made consistent with basis of investors liabilities
  3. Same approach to determine discount rate
    *portfolio of assets - use weighted average to get discount rate
    *str8 fwd for high quality fixed interest stocks
17
Q

Stochastic investment model

A

too complex

  1. Extention of discounted cashflow
  2. Future cashflows/ interest rates are stochastic
  3. Ideal for when future cash flows are complicated- embedded options

*good for derivatives
*better pic of val
*consistent with liability val

#results depend on assumed distributions

18
Q

Arbitrage valuation

A

difficult to Replicate many assets I other classes

  1. Means if obtaining proxy marker value
  2. Replicate investment with combination of other investments
  3. Condition - in efficient market all values must be equal

*used in val of derivative

19
Q

Historic valuation

A

little merit for other purposes

  1. Price originally paid for assets
  2. Used for fixed assets in published accounts

*objective
*Conservative
*well understood
*used for so.e accounting purposes

20
Q

Written up/down

A

subjective

1.Historic book value adjusted periodically for movements
2.

#not consistent to liability valuation
#cannot determine appropriate liability discount rate

21
Q

Optimal matched position

A

Matched position satisfying
1. Providers required degree of certainty in meeting liabilities at least cost
2. Incorporate regulatory requirements and investment objectives

22
Q

Investment matching

A
  1. Pure
  2. Approximate liability matching
  3. Liability hedging
  4. Approximate liability hedging
  5. Immunisation
23
Q

Pure matching

A
  1. Expensive
  2. Difficult
  3. Not enough suitable assets available
24
Q

Approximate matching

25
Liability hedging
*Assets chosen to perform a similar way to liabilities in all events * try to get similar movements post impact *may be possible (theoretically for unit linked)
26
Immunisation
PV(assets) - PV(liabilities) is immune to small changes in interest rates
27
Discounted mean term
Weighted average time to receive proceeds from investment after adjusting for time value of money Helps *Measure interest rate risk *Understand when the cash flows really "matter" in present-value terms *Compare different bonds or loans more fairly *
28
Duration
Weighted average time to payments weighted by ov of each paymeny *how much price of bond changes when interest rates change
29
Convexity
Sensitivity of volatility of cashflows to change in interest rates **How much duration changes when interest rates change
30
Conditions for immunity
1. Pv(liability) = pv(assets) 2. DMT(assets) = DMT(liabilities) 3. Spread/convexity about DMT(assets) > convexity about DMT(liabilities)
31
Limitations of immunisation
1. Profit >possibility of mismatching profits and losses is removed 2. Fixed benefits >theory built on fixed monetary liabilities, can use index-linked 3. DMT > assets with suitable long dmt are hard to find 4. Curve > assume flat curve and same change along all terms is required 5. Rearrange >continuous rearrangement of portfolio to ensure conditions are met 6. Timing >not always known 7. Interest >theory is built in small changes