June 2018 Exam Flashcards
What are the 5Es?
- Economic
- Engineering
- Education
- Enforcement
- Engagement
% Causal Factors of Aviation Accidents
53% Pilot Error 21% Mechanical Failure 11% Weather Conditions 8% Other Human Error (ATCOs, maintenance) 6% Sabotage 1% Other
Outline / draw the evolution of safety thinking
1950s onwards - technical factors (nav. systems, radar, auto-pilot)
1960 onwards - human factors (flight simulators)
1970s onwards - organisational factors (SMS)
How does ICAO Annex 13 define an accident, incident, and a precursor?
ACCIDENT
- Where a person is fatally or seriously injured, requiring hospital treatment, as a result of being onboard an aircraft, or being in direct contact with the aircraft (including parts which have been detached or direct exposure to jet blast)
- The aircraft sustains damage or structural failure
- The aircraft is completely inaccessible or missing.
INCIDENT
1. An occurrence where an accident is about to happen but due to an intervention does not occur.
PRECURSOR
1. Conditions or events which lead up to accidents and incidents.
Outline the shift in accident prevention strategies
Past - Reactive (F-C-F-F)
Present - Proactive (SMS)
Future - Predictive
What are the three accident causation models?
- Simple linear (sequential)
- Complex linear (epidemiological)
- Complex non-linear (systemic)
Tell me 3 things about the Simple Linear Causation Model (and an example)
- The simple linear model groups together accidents that result in a series of events or circumstances which occur sequentially.
- It is the most simple form of accident modelling.
- The goal is to eliminate broken links; identifying which precursor is responsible.
EXAMPLE: Heinrich (1931) domino theory
Give me two pros and cons of the Simple Linear Causation Model.
PROS:
- It’s simplistic
- It identifies and eliminates broken links
CONS
- It may be too simplistic as it only identifies one cause
- Arguably not suitable for aviation as it’s such a complex system
What is the Complex Linear Causation Model?
Give an example.
- The complex linear model considers that accidents are a result of a combination of unsafe acts, and that latent hazard conditions within the system follow a linear path
EXAMPLE: Swiss Cheese Model (Reason, 1997) and the 2002 Überlingen Air Disaster
Give me one pro and two cons about the Complex Linear Causation Model?
PROS:
1. It recognises latent hazards, which is advantageous in the analysis of complex systems that may present multi-failture situations
CONS:
- It still follows the principle of a sequential model so it can only consider one initial event.
- Latent factors are not always necessarily identifiable within the model.
What is a complex non-linear model? (2 points)
- The complex non-linear model considers accidents which result from complex non-linear interactions of unanticipated or unexpected sequences.
- These things (cheese slices) may occur concurrently and may interact with each other in complicated and unexpected ways in which designers could not foresee.
Give an example of a complex non-linear causation model.
STAMP, developed by Nancy Levison @ MIT. It’s an analysis model which treats accidents as a result of flawed processes involving interactions among human, social and organisation structures; and physical and software components.
It views accidents as a control problem and events are the results of inadequate control.
A pro and con about complex non-linear models.
PRO:
1. It’s capable of handling mutually interacting variables
CON:
1. Interactions are not predictable unless air industry gathers enough data from normal flight operations.
What is an airprox?
When the distance between aircraft and their relative positions and speed have been compromised such that the safety of the aircraft was or may have been compromised.
What is the process for investigating airproxes?
The UK Airprox Board reports on and investigates all airprox occurrences.
- The Board sends an acknowledgement to the pilots / reporter that an investigation has been launched.
- The Board determines what happened and analyses the main causal factors. Radar recordings are inspected and radio transcripts are analysed. Pilots and ATCOs involved provide reports.
- The Board assesses the level of collision risk and grades it A - E.
- The Board makes safety recommendations where appropriate to reduce the risk of incident recurrence.
- The Board publishes and distributes full reports so that lessons can be identified and shared.
There is no blame culture; the Board just wants to raise awareness.
What are the top 5 causal factors of airproxes?
- Did not see traffic / late sighting
- Flew too close / failure to separate
- Did not obey instructions or procedures
- Conflict in flight information region.
- Misunderstood instructions
3 facts about RVSM
RVSM = Reduced Vertical Separation Minimia
Rolled out in Europe in 2002
Allows aircraft to fly within 1,000ft of each other between FL290 and FL410
3 pros and 3 cons about RVSM
PROS
- It enhanced Europe’s airspace capacity by 25%
- It allows flights to operate closer to their optimum flight levels (fuel efficiencies!)
- Provides operational flexibility for controllers as separation criteria is now the same across global airspace, thus reducing conflicts at crossing points
CONS
- Both pilots and controllers have reduced amount of time to react if something goes wrong
- There is a larger potential for wake turblence
- If one aircraft in the airspace is not RVSM compliant then all aircraft in the airspace must fly 2,000ft apart, which brings about an added complexity for controllers
What was the impact on safety with RVSM?
Airproxes in UK airspace reduced by 15%.
How do ICAO (2001) define Air Traffic Management?
As the aggregation of the airborne functions and grond-based functions (air traffic services, airspace management, and air traffic flow management) required to ensure safe and efficient movement of aircraft during all phases of operations.
What is the purpose of Air Traffic Management?
To enable aircraft operators to meet their planned times of departure and arrival and to adhere to their preferred flight profiles with the minimum constraints, without compromising agreed levels of safety.
What is the new ATM ConOps?
Air Traffic Management systems based upon trajectory-based operations versus traditional airspace-based approaches.
Define SESAR and give me five points about it
A new ConOps - Single European Sky ATM Research:
- £2.1bn project to modernise EU airspace systems to 4D trajectory-based approach
- Triples airspace capacity
- Enhances safety by a factor of 10
- Reduces environmental impacts by 10%
- Cuts Air Traffic Management costs by 10% as more automation replaces human
What are the four barriers in implementing new ATM systems?
- Institutional and political challenges
- Financial aspects, who pays for the system?
- Technological issues; compatibility
- The nature of the regulatory regime, what role will EASA play?
What is HERA-JANUS?
A model, methodology and technique to assist incident investigators in the accurate assessment of human error in ATM occurrences.
It attempt to increase the effectiveness of error recording, analysis, and hopefully prevention.
What are the three factors leading to a safety occurrence that HERA-JANUS attempts to identify?
Casual - the ultimate cause of the incident (directly responsible)
Contributing - errors that occurred in addition to the causal error (necessary but not sufficient to cause an accident)
Compounding - errors that made the situation worse