lecture 1

Question 1

Concepts of uncertainty and risk

Answer 1

>99% change – virtually certain
66-99% - likely
33-66% - medium likelihood
10-33% - unlikely
<1% - exceptionally unlikely

Question 2

Any residual inability to adapt = ?

Answer 2

vulnerability

Question 3

Who will be dependent on risk perception?

Answer 3

Society/economies

Question 4

What will response partly depend on?

Answer 4

existing adaptations (usually to extremes already experienced) and constraints to adaptation

Question 5

Sensitivity definition

Answer 5

the degree of response a system shows to a given perturbation

Question 6

Resilience definition

Answer 6

how far does a system show ability to recover initial state and/or to abosorb perturbation?

Question 7

Adaptation

Answer 7

the ability to respond to changes in a way that lessens vulnerability and/or increases resilience - choosing between multiple options can be challenging

Question 8

Maladaptation

Answer 8

actions that make things worse in the long run, though they seem to solve an immediate problem (needs to be avoided) – lowered vehicle tax for diesel cars on the ground that they were less polluting – encourages people to use diesel however doesn’t make situation any better

Question 9

climate change definition

Answer 9

Climate change refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer.