Lecture 15 Flashcards
(6 cards)
What is deflation spiral?
If inflation rate becomes negative, people delay consumption and investment anticipating lower price levels, AD falls further and further plunging the economy into deeper deflation
Why is inflation targeted at 2%?
It is easier to solve inflation problem (raise interest rate) than solving deflation problems (harder to recover because you cannot lower interest rate below 0%)
Taylor Rule
Provides risk assessment of whether the risk to GDP growth or risk to inflation is more severe and needed the response
Core PCE
Core index makes it easier to see the underlying inflation trend by excluding food and energy (prices tend to swing up and down more dramatically than other prices)
Fiscal Multiplier
Change in Economy GDP/Change in Government Expenditure
How powerful are fiscal multipliers during recessions?
Stronger multiplier effect during recessions. When interest rate is near 0, small crowding out effect, larger fiscal multiplier. Could be used to get out of recession. G/GDP should rise in times of recession.