LECTURE 5 Flashcards
(35 cards)
2 limitations of CAPM
- doesn’t show us how to estimate Beta
2. Only considers EQUITY cost of capital - NOT DEBT.
What discount rate do most companies use?
COMPANY cost of capital = risk adjusted average rate of return demanded by investors on company’s debt and equity.
2 reasons why beta is important
- idea about company cost of K
2. idea about vulnerability of company to business cycles
2 ways to estimate beta
- Plot company’s stock excess returns against market excess returns and estimate slope by regression on past data
- Use beta for whole industry
Regression to estimate beta: how does it relate to SML and what is alpha?
Alpha = historical performance of the security relative to what predicted by SML. Alpha = 0 = on SML - can use CAPM.
If debt =0, company cost of K=
equity cost of K predicted by CAPM/SML
V =
D + E
Debt cost of capital shows…
the IR a firm must pay creditors on its debt i.e the minimum expected ROR the debt holder accepts for the risk taken.
When risk of default is LOW, what can we use for debt cost of K?
YTM
- The r that makes price of bond = PV
When risk of default is HIGH, is YTM suitable for debt cost of K?
NO - it oVERESTIMATED.
How can we calculate debt cost of K using probability theory?
2 different returns with different probabilities
r or r - L if default
p = prob default
r = r - PL
= YTM - prob(default)* expected loss rate
How can we calculate debt cost of K WITHOUT using probability theory?
rD = rF + credit risk rate
aka default premium
How does default premium change with amount of debt?
more debt = higher default premium
We have to adjust the cost of debt for…
TAX
proportional (1 - t)
The company cost of K is also called
rWACC = weighted average cost of K
Asset beta measures…
average systematic risk of the company
3 determinants of asset beta
- Business cycles - luxury vs necessity
- Operating leverage - FC to VC
- Changes in confidence/state of econ
Unlevered equity means…
100% equity financed
NO DEBT
Levered equity means..
equity and debt
MM theory:
the total value of the firm should NOT depend on K structure in perfect K markets.
By LOOP, how does leverage affect value of firm?
It does NOT - cash flows of debt + cash flows of equity still = cash flows of project
How does levered equity affect rE? Why?
Levered equity = higher risk for shareholders since creditors paid first of bankrupt –> demand higher return on equity to compensate.
Does levered equity affect overall cost of K?
NO - debt cost of K lower, but equity cost of K rises = no change in overall cost of K.
3 MM assumptions
- Investors and firms can trade the same set of securities at competitive market prices = PV of future cash flows.
- No taxes/transaction costs/insurance costs
- Financing decisions do NOT affect total cash flow.