Lectures 21-23 Flashcards
(43 cards)
Absolute Purchasing Power Parity (APPP)
P=SP*
States “The general level of prices when converted to a common currency will the same in every country”
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Weighted average of individual product prices, with weights determined by expenditure shares. Assumes weights going into CPI are identical in domestic and foreign countries
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Analyses exchange rate movements
If PPP holds at all time, what happens to competitiveness
Competitiveness equalised, no country has general price advantage over others.
Theory of Exchange rate determination
If exchange rate is 0.75 (1USD=0.75GBP), expect actual S to be 0.75 in LR. If we find its actually:
0.9 - GBP undervalued, need to appreciate
0.5 - GBP overvalued and needs to depreciation
When currency is undervalued
- Exports cheaper in foreign markets
- Imports more expensive for households
When currency is overvalued
- Exports more expensive in foreign markets
- Imports cheaper for households
Real Exchange Rate (Q)
Price of foreign relative to domestic, nominal exchange rate corrected for relative prices
Q=SP*/P
What does Q measure?
Purchasing power of a unit of foreign currency in foreign economy relative to purchasing power of equivalent unit of domestic currency in domestic economy
Relative PPP
Logs of P=SP(^star), use lowercase p=s+p(^star)
Derivate of ln gives proportional rate of change d(log P)=
d(log P)=dp=dP/p
dp=ds+dp* OR
dp-dp*=ds (Relative PPP)
When domestic country has higher inflation than foreign,
S should depreciate (this is relative PPP)
Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis: Types of goods & sectors
- Traded goods - manufacturing sector
- Non-traded goods - services sector
What does the Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis suggest?
General Price Level is higher in rich countries due to higher price of non-traded services
Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis: Wages in ____ sector rise faster than ____ sector
goods; non-traded goods
If domestic grows faster than foreign
Non-traded to traded goods price ratio grows faster than foreign’s. Price level of domestic grows faster than foreign, meaning Q is falling (real exchange rate appreciating)
Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis: what does it predict
Fast growing developing countries should experience an appreciation of their currencies.
Most important exception to PPP
Existence of non-tradeable goods
PPP exchange rate is frequently ____ than market exchange rate for developing countries
Lower
If Big Mac costs 5 USD and 25 yuan RMB with an exchange rate of 7, is China’s currency accurately valued
It is undervalued, meaning China’s exchange rate should be 5
When are PPP exchange rate not suitable?
Comparing exchange rate between developed and developing countries
Financial Markets in Open Economy: Domestic
Invest 1 GBP into 12 month fixed deposit, receive GBP(1+r)
Financial Market: Steps for foreign
- Convert GBP into USD
- Deposit in US bank
- Convert back at end of year