Macroeconomic issues (BOT deficit/surplus) Flashcards
(15 cards)
what is BOT
value of exports of g&s - value of imports of g&s
BOT deficit can be due to:
changes in:
1. global demand conditions
2. international competitiveness
3. exchange rates
how does higher rates of inflation relative to trading partners cause BOT deficit?
consumers in a country with higher domestic inflation relative to trading partners will switch from domestic to imported goods. at the same time exported goods are also more expensive and qtydd falls. M increase, X fall
how does loss of comparative advantage cause BOT deficit?
decrease in country’s efficiency/ increase in competitors’ efficiency, thus export revenues are likely to fall. X fall
how does development in new niche sectors cause BOT surplus?
growth of these sectors contribute to improvement in services balance on invisible trade acc
how does undervalued exchange rate cause BOT surplus
exports become cheaper and imports are more expensive
consequence of persistent BOT deficit
ON CONSUMERS
BOT deficit could cause a refunction in competition in the domestic market and prices rise, thus lowering SOL
consequence of persistent BOT deficit
ON FIRMS
market shares of domestic firms dwindle over time and cut down on I. they may also shut down/leave the industries in LR
consequence of persistent BOT deficit
ON GOVT
country may be pressured to devalue its currency to boost exports
why is devalueing a currency undesirable?
fall in currency = reduce country’s ability to import from overseas thus lowering SOL and Potential Growth
consequence of persistent BOT surplus
ON CONSUMERS
X and I increasing thus NY and GDP increases,UNE falls. however if near full employment would cause DPI
consequence of persistent BOT surplus
ON FIRMS
fall in demand for x, thus decrease I and production
Labour productivity and EG
high labour productivity =
fall in per unit labour COP
rise in profit margin
rise in atttractiveness to investors
rise in FDI, thus AD and GDP and thus EG
labour productivity and inflation
increase in labour productivity =
higher output, rightward shift in LRAS, higher GDP
labour productivity and BOT
higher labour productivity
= fall in P of dom goods
consumers switch from M to dom goods