Mean-Variance Analysis: Traditional Approach Flashcards
(46 cards)
Motivation for MV analysis
The traditional approach to asset pricing starts with portfolio choice, not SDFs
Classic approach to portfolio choice: mean-variance portfolio theory (Markowitz 1952) decision problem if investors only care about mean and variance of returns
e.g. because they have mean-variance preferences (e.g. quadratic utility)
or because means and variances fully describe the statistical properties of all portfolios (e.g. normally distributed returns)
Mean-variance portfolio choice is typically presented as a trade-off between risk (variance) and return (mean/expected return)
To analyze this trade-off it makes sense to first understand the mean and variance characteristics of available asset returns
in particular: characterize the mean-variance frontier
these are the portfolios with lowest variance for given mean return
Here, we do not care about the mean-variance portfolio problem per se
but: it is nevertheless insightful to characterize the mean-variance frontier of returns
Setup for two asset case
Benefits of diversification
Portfolio mean is simply a weighted average of asset means μp = w1E1 + w2E2
But portfolio variance is quadratic function of weights w1, w2 which implies for w1, w2 ≥ 0 σp ≤ w1σ1 + w2σ2
Benefits of diversification example
Suppose σ1 = σ2 = σ and we invest into both assets in equal proportion (w1 = w2 = 1/2)
Diversification benefits for different p
Relationship between portfolio mean and variance
assumptions for this
E1 ̸= E2 (the two assets have different expected returns)
σ12 < σ1σ2 (no perfect positive correlation, ρ < 1)
Solving MV equation
Calculating global MV portfolio
We can characterize the vertex of the parabola by finding the portfolio that minimizes σp2 this portfolio is called the global minimum variance (gmv) portfolio
GMV example
The MV diagram
Illustration of MV diagram
The degenerate case where sigma GMV =0
In the special case σgmv = 0, the gmv portfolio is risk-free hence, let’s write Rf instead of Rgmv
then Rf =E[Rf]=μ gmv
Illustration of degenerate case
Special case with risk-free assets showing Sharpe ratios
Interpretation of the Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe ratio relates two characteristics of a risky investment
1 reward of investing in risky asset (excess mean return over Rf )
2 risk of the investment (standard deviation)
It is a more interesting characteristic of an asset than mean return alone
leveraging an investment with risk-free borrowing increases mean return (if E1 > Rf )
but is also increases risk proportionally,
Sharpe ratio remains unaffected
this is ultimately what |Sp| = |S1| tells us
The higher is the Sharpe ratio, the higher the compensation for taking on extra risk
The Capital Allocation Line
Consider the case S1 > 0 (E1 > Rf ) and w1 ≥ 0
(long position in risky asset)
Then previous equation becomes
μp =Rf +S1σp
This is an upward-sloping line whose slope is the sharpe ratio S1 of the risky asset
This line is called the capital allocation line
(because any investor with mean-variance preferences would want to invest in a portfolio on the line)
Remark: the capital allocation line is simply the “efficient” portion of the degenerate hyperbola in the σgmv = 0 case
Setup with two risky and one risk-free asset
Two-step portfolio construction
We can split the portfolio construction in two logical steps
1 form portfolio of risky assets
return
Rpr = w1R1+ w2R2 (with w1+w2 =1)
→ can analyze mean-variance structure using two-asset special case
2 form portfolio of risk-free asset and risky return Rpr
total portfolio return
Rp = wf Rf + wr Rpr (with wf + wr = 1)
→ can again analyze mean-variance structure using two-asset special case
The MV frontier
With more than two assets, any mean return μp can be achieved with many portfolios
Natural question: given μ, which portfolio minimizes σp2 among portfolios with μp = μ?
we call such a portfolio mean-variance efficient
The set of all mean-variance efficient portfolios is called the mean-variance frontier
How can we determine the mean-variance frontier?
1 geometric construction → discussed below
2 optimization-based construction → problem set
Geometric construction of the MV frontier
Illustration of MV frontier
The Tangency Portfolio and Two funds separation
There is a unique risky asset portfolio that maximizes |Spr |
the line connecting this portfolio with the risk-free asset is tangent to the risky asset frontier
for any other risky asset portfolio, the line is not tangent
This portfolio is called the tangency portfolio
Remarkable result (two funds separation; Tobin 1958):
any mean-variance efficient portfolio combines two “funds” (with different weights)
1 the risk-free asset
2 the tangency portfolio of risky assets
In particular: all investors that hold mean-variance efficient portfolios hold exactly the same risky asset portfolio
Setup with N-risky assets and no risk free assets
Vector Notation