Mod 1 - Business plan and modeling Flashcards

Learn

1
Q

Valuators must have comprehensive knowledge of

A
  • Co. strategic direction
  • Process to determine amount and type of financing
  • Financing sources available
  • Appropriate financing structure to meet needs
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Before deciding what type of financing is required mgmt must determine?

A
  • strategic direction of the company

- prepare business plan (defines next 3 to 5 years)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

10 pieces of info business plan should include:

A

1) executive summary - visions & strategic direction
2) Business purpose- mission statement, history, summary of services
3) Co. customers- who they are, value, opportunities
4) Competitive environment - strengths and weakness of competitors
5) Company suppliers: who they are, strengths, weaknesses, reliance
6) Marketing plan - sales channels
7) Key staff- who they are background, experience
8) Financial forecast- cash flow model, projected financial statements incorporating financing
9) Valuation of co. - includes amount, assumptions, rationale, comparables
10) Sources and uses - outline of proposed sources and uses of financing

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

Define: Offering memorandum

A

A legal document that may be required under provincial securities law when raising debt and equity privately.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

Define: Confidential Information Memorandum

A

In M&A rather than offering memorandum a Confidential Information Memorandum (CIM) is used to market the company. subject to confidentiality agreement

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Define: Business Plan

A

Far less formal document that is used both as planning and summary. Used simply to describe the company, and typically not to offer others the opportunity to invest in the company.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

Define: Financing proposal

A

A written doc created by a business to solicit primary interest of investors and lender in providing financing to the company. It’s for “selling”

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Information to be included in the financing proposal

A

a) description of the business
b) analysis of the industry environment
c) resumes of the co. mgmt
d) description of business assets
e) action-oriented business plan - builds on s&o deals with w&t
f) forward budgets
g) relevant financial, product and corporate documents

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

Strong financing proposal

A

Financing amount: Clearly states amount
Financial forecast: effects of inflows and outflows
sensitivity analysis: multiple sensitivity analysis on variables
supporting financial statements: address questions, relevant financial info
readability and credibility: concise, detailed relevant info

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Weak financing proposal

A

Financing amount: vague or wide range
Financial forecast: no effects of inflows and outflows
sensitivity analysis:none or irrelevant
supporting financial statements: waits for request
readability and credibility: lengthy / irrelevant

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

Financiers perspective

A

Asset based - future cash flows, quality of assets
mezzanine - good story, growth plans, cash flow, mgmt
equity: strategic, growth plans, good story, mgmt

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

In selecting forecast technique or model what items should be considered

A
  • time period: dependent on nature bus/ industry, cycles, and needs
  • data patterns: whether historics consider month, quarterly, yearly and patterns
  • costs: labour and other costs with preparation
  • accuracy and reliability: balance ease of understanding with realistic results
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

Mgmt can determine funding requirement by?

A

Calculating the difference between the cost of the assets required to support the forecasted sales and the cash flows that will be generated from the forecasted sales.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

Items on which to judge plausibility of forecast?

A
  • Preparer knowledge
  • Assumptions reasonability
  • Growth rate realistic - with past
  • Support for projected revenues
  • Previous forecasts accuracy
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

Two cash flow approaches to utilize in financial modelling

A

1) using rev and costs from P&L to make a single working capital adjustment (represents net effect of timing lag to determine net operating cash flow)
2) including operating cash received and paid explicitly on the cash flow statement

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

Nominal vs. Real approaches

A

Nominal: Cash flow forecasts are increased to include inflation (they are indexed)
Real: Cash flows are projected inflation free( un-indexed)

Granted like terms are used the same result should be achieved

17
Q

Nominal vs. Real formula

A

Real rate =[ (1+ Nominal rate) / (1 + inflation)]-1

18
Q

Valuator can assess financial stability through use of ratio and trend analysis including

A
  • Leverage ratios - financial risk
  • Liquidity ratios - short term solvency
  • Efficiency ratios - effectiveness of mgmt use of assets
  • Profitability ratios - expense control / shl returns
19
Q

Leverage ratios

A

Debt Ratio: (LT debt + leases)/ (LT debt+ equity + leases)
Debt to equity: D/E
Times interest earned: EBITDA/ interest
Debt servicing: (income before tax+ interest+ dep) / (interest +principal)

20
Q

Liquidity ratios

A

Current ratio: CA/ CL

quick ratio: (current assets - inventories- prepaids)/ CL

21
Q

Efficiency ratios

A

Inventory turnover: COGS/ Avg Inv

Average collection: Average AR/ Average daily sakes

22
Q

Profitability ratios

A

ROA : (EBIT - Tax) / Average Total Assets
ROE: Earning available to common shareholders / Average equity
Gross Margin Ratio: Gross Margin / Net Sales

23
Q

Define covenant:

A

A promise from debtor to a lender that certain activities will not be carried out. Most common are financial covenants that require debtor to maintain certain level for leverage and working capital ratios.

24
Q

When developing projections management should consider?

A

•How much does the expansion, acquisition or project cost?
• How much money is required to maintain healthy liquidity ratios?
• How much money is required on a long-term loan basis to maintain healthy leverage
ratios?
• At which frequency are these cash inflows required?
• For what horizon do these needs run?

25
Q

Business financing needs:

A
  • Near term needs
  • Long term, high priority needs
  • Low priority needs
26
Q

Near term financing needs:

A

Short term financial situations for day to day operations.

Match with short term financing because can be reversed or changed quickly

27
Q

Long term financing needs:

A

Part of long term goals, some form of increasing competitive edge such as purchase and or expansion.
Match with long term financing such as lease, LT secured bank to match life. Also include equity and mezzanine lenders.

28
Q

Two important factors to consider when assessing company’s capacity to issue debt or raise equity?

A

1) Balance sheet
2) Nature of assets owned
additional considerations:
- are assets tangible
- can these assets be used as collateral or can they be sold
- what ratios can bet met given ratios of A/L and L/E
- what feeds co.’s cash flow are they sustainable

29
Q

Issues related to balance sheet

A
  • change in inventory levels
  • potential understated liabilities
  • consider whether there are any overstated liabilities
  • consider the value of marketability of assets in the targets portfolio
  • any intangible assets
30
Q

Issues related to income statement

A
  • inventory accounting method
  • method to recognize revenue
  • consider the quality of earnings
  • beware of inclusion of personal expenses
  • window dressing with deferral of expenses
31
Q

Capital budgeting decision tools

A
  • IRR
  • Profitability index
  • NPV
  • Payback period
  • Discounted payback period
32
Q

Internal rate of return

A

The discount rate that equates investment to the cash flows stream
0 = -CF + CF1/ (1+irr) + CF2/ (1+irr)^2+…..

33
Q

NPV

A

Difference between the pv of inflows and outflows discounted by the opportunity to cost of capital

34
Q

Discrepancy between IRR and NPV

A

Irr is sensitive to timing

Cash flows can have a higher irr then projects with larger NPV if cash flows occur earlier. In doubt use NPV

35
Q

Profitability index

A

Present value of projects future cash flows divided by initial investment.
PI = PV of future cash flows/ Initial investment or
PI = (NPV/ initial investment ) +1

36
Q

Payback period vs. Discounted Payback Period

A

Payback period: length of time to recover costs of investment. No time value of money
PP= costs of investment/ period cash flow
Discounted payback period: cost of investment / PV of period cash flow

37
Q

Holding period returns

A

Holding period return measure the total return generated from holding an asset over a period. Expressed as a percentage - higher the better
HPR= (income + (ending - initial)) / initial value
Annualized HPR= (HPR+1)^1/t - 1

38
Q

Return of capital employed

A

a profitability ratio that measures how efficiently a firms capital is employed. Higher means more efficient use should be higher then cost of capital.
ROCE = EBIT / D+E