Module 1 Flashcards
Module 1 (39 cards)
What are the six criterias to consider when evaluating screening models?
- Realism - Will the project work as intended? Weighing the risks, cost, time
- Capability - Will the model be flexible enough to respond to changes in conditions during project?
- Flexibility. The model should be easily modified if it demands change, for example exchange rates, tax laws, building codes etc
- Ease of use. The model should be simple enough to be able to use in all areas of the organization
- Cost. The model should be cost-effective, the cost of obtaining information should be low enough to encourage the use of the model
- Comparability. The model should be broad enough to be applied to multiple different projects.
List some factors to consider when evaluating project alternatives
for example financial risk, technical risk, safety, quality, legal exposure, payback time, market share, change in workforce, change in manufacturing, patent protection etc.
What are some issues that a company may face when selecting projects?
Need to develop/train employes
Change in workforce
Change in physical environment
Change in manufacturing
Patent protection
Impact on company image
Strategic fit
Name some different methods for screening and selecting projects
- Checklist model
Creating a list of criterias and applying them to different possible projects. For example: cost of development, potential return of investment, riskiness, stability of DP, stakeholder interference, durability on market. - Simplified scoring modell
Flaw in scoring model with trade off issues, need weighted criterias for this. Firstly, assign importance weights to each criterion. Secondly, assign score values to each criterion and then multiply the weights and the scores to arrive at a weighted score for each criterion, then add the weighted scores to arrive at an overall project score. - AHP - Analytical hierarchical process
Is done in four steps:
Structuring the hierarchy of criteria
Allocating weights to criterias
Assigning numerical values to evaluation dimension
Evaluating project proposals - Profile models
Plotting risk and return options for alternatives and then select a project that maximizes return while staying at an acceptable level of risk.
Name three commonly used financial models
Discounted cash flow analysis
In the DCF (discounted cash flow) method the firm applies a discount based on the firm’s cost of capital. Basically it’s about estimating the future cash flow and then discounting them back to their present value. Goes by the principle that money earned today is worth more than money we expect to earn in the future. This is due to inflation and inability to invest money.
NPV
NPV, almost the same as DCF but it’s about estimating the expected profit by an investment after accounting for the time value of money. NPV will give a number, either positive or negative that will indicate if the investment will give a positive or negative return.
IRR, Internal rate of return
IRR. The rate of return the project is expected to generate over its lifespan. If the rate of return is higher than the cost of capital the project is considered financially viable.
What are the main goals of project portfolio management?
Maximizing the value to the company
Achieving the right balance of projects in tube portfolio, high risk, low risk, short term, long term
Achieving a strategically aligned portfolio, leading companies to have a clear product innovation strategy that directs their R&D project investments
Resource balancing, not having too many different projects that they cannot simultaneously support.
Explain the process of project selection (in project portfolio management PPM)
- Pre-screening
- Individual project analysis
- Screening
- Portfolio selection
- Portfolio adjustment
Explain the The project portfolio matrix
Links the commercial potential with technical feasibility and can be classified amongst four different types
Bread and butter, high technical feasibility and a modest likelihood for commercial potential. For example these are projects that are improvements of existing solutions, an “improved” laundry detergent, e.g.
Pearls, high technical feasibility and high commercial potential, can yield strategic advantage on the market.
Oysters, low technical feasibility but high commercial value, involves unknown revolutionary technologies and if the can overcome the technical challenge the company can make a great deal of money
White elephant, low feasibility and low commercial impact. These are often projects that we think are maybe bread and butter or similar and they never live up to their expected potential.
Explain the six steps for project scope management
- Conceptual development - Choosing the best method for achieving project goals. Problem statements, information gathering, constraints, project objectives.
- The scope statement - Definition of all parameters necessary for the project to succeed. WBS (Work breakdown structure), the work is broken down and creates hierarchy of activities based priorities, creating work packages, tasks and subtasks. This can be coupled with a RAM - Responsibility assignment matrix where responsible personnel are assigned to different activities.
- Work authorization - Sanctioning project work, formulating contractual obligations to vendors, suppliers and clients
- Scope reporting - Reporting to control systems and documentation to assess projects overall status. What who, when, how
- Control systems - Systems put in place to track the status of the project and compare actual baseline projects and offer corrective measures
- Project closeout - Represents the teams best determination about the information and transition materials necessary to ensure a smooth transfer of the project to its intended clients
Explain the process of developing the scope statement
Establishing the goal criteria, defining what will demonstrate project success and what decision gates are for evaluating deliverables
Developing the management plan for the project, determining structure of the team, key rules, procedures, control systems
Establishing the WBS, dividing the project into components substeps in order to establish critical interrelations among project activities
Creating a scope baseline, providing a summary description of each component of the projects goal, including budget and schedule information for each activity
What are some reasons for changing project scope? How do we control it?
Initial planning errors that must be corrected
New information about the project or environmental conditions
Uncontrollable mandates
Client request
Control systems allow the team to monitor and assess the status of the project, and track required changes. Configuration management is a system of procedures to monitor the emerging project scope to its original baseline, controlling the change.
How can project practices support sustainability?
By engaging in sustainable projects or projects that will cause no harm to the planet or its inhabitants
Through employing sustainable practices while undertaking the projects
Through developing sustainable supplier practices
Through emphasizing sustainability in project design.
Explain WBS
WBS - Work Breakdown structure
Each deliverable is decomposed or broken down into specific bite size pieces representing the work to be completed. (hierarchical decomposition). Goals
Echoes project objectives
Organization chart for the project
Creates logic for tracking costs, schedule and performance specification
Communication project status
Improves project communication
Demonstrates control structure
Project -> Deliverable -> Sub Deliverable -> work package
Work package - individual level, one owner, size may be expressed in labor hours, cost, risks
Explain why some projects fail
Politics, naive promises, startup mentality, intense competition, pressure by government, unplanned crises
Define risk and how it is also calculated
The possible event that can negatively affect the viability of the project and its effect.
Risk event = probability of event*Consequence of event
Needs to be done at an early stage in project life.
Risk scoring
Low: RF < 0.30. We monitor these risks
Medium 0.30 to 0.70. We plan for these
High risk >0.70. We need to put it into action immediately.
Calculating risks
Pf = Sum(Pn)/3
Sum up all the probability of failure category (maturity, complexity and dependency) and divide by 3
And then Consequence of failure category (cost, schedule ,reliability, performance)
Cf = sum(Cn)/4
Overall risk is then: RF = Pf + Cf - (Pf/Cf)
What are the four steps in risk management?
Risk identification
Setting a set of realistic risk factors that the project will face.
Analysis of probability and consequences
Analyzing the probability of occurrence and its consequences, assessing the impact factor of each risk. The impact factors are determined either by a qualitative or quantitative manner.
Risk mitigation strategies
Once a clear vision of risk factors is determined the team develops risk mitigation strategies.
Control and documentation
Based on the knowledge that risk mitigation strategies are most effective when they have been codified, being documented and introduced as part of standard operating procedures. Creating systematic and repeatable strategies.
What are some common causes of project risks? And some common methods for identifying these?
Financial risk
Technical risk
Commercial risk
Execution risk
Contractual or legal risk
Brainstorming meetings
Expert opinion
Past history
Team-based assessment
What are the four main risk mitigation approaches?
Accepting the risk, maybe it’s small enough to be acceptable
Minimize the risk, maybe entering partnerships or joint venture to lower company exposure
Share risk with other project stakeholders
Transfer risk to other project stakeholders
Explain PRAM
PRAM - Project risk analysis and management.
It’s a step to step approach to creating a comprehensive and logically sequences method for analyzing and addressing project risks
Define - the project, scope etc
Focus - plan risk management project, addressing project risks given the unique nature of the project
Identify - Assess the specific risks. Search for all sources of risk and their responses, classify the risks
Structure - determine if there are commonalities in the classifications, and create a prioritization scheme
Clarify ownership of risks - the difference between the risks the project team will handle and the ones the clients are expected to assess, allocate responsibilities for managing risks
Estimate - Estimate the impact of the risks and its proposed solutions on the project, what are their costs?
Evaluate - the results of the estimated impacts, prioritize risk tasks
Plan - offering risk mitigation strategies
Manage - Monitor the process, respond to change, variances.
What are some common project costs?
Cost of labor - human resources
Cost of materials - supply need
Subcontractors - project budget, consultants etc
Cost of equipment and facilities - plant equipment, location
Travel - necessary expense
What are some different types of project costs?
Direct versus indirect.
Direct are those that can be directly assigned to a specific project activity. Indirect are cost related to company overhead, may include health benefits, retirement contributions, or shipping costs, support, sales commission etc
Recurring versus non recurring
Recurring, such as labor, material costs, appearing across projects lifecycle. Nonrecurring are a one time purchase such as training or purchasing a building.
Fixed versus variable
Fixed does not vary with respect to usage, variable costs increase in proportion to the degree they are used
Normal versus expedited
Normal are the ones scheduled, expedited are costs referred to as “crashing costs” and increase due to extra resources needed to speed the completion of a specific project activity.
What are some problems when doing cost estimations?
Low initial estimates
Unexpected technical difficulty
Lack of definition
Specification changes
External factors
What are some different budget strategies for project?
Top-down budgeting
Seeks to first ascertain the opinion and experience of top management regarding project costs, assuming the senior manager is experienced with past projects and can provide accurate feedback and cost.
Bottom-up budgeting
The budget must identify all project activities and specify funds requested to support these tasks, it sums up the total costs associated with the package level and deliverable level at which point all task budgets are combined.
Activity based costing ABC
Identify activities that consume resources and assign costs to them, as is done in bottom up budgeting process
Identify the cost drivers associated with the activity, resource in form of personnel and materials are key cost drivers
Compute cost rate per cost driver unit or transaction, labor for example is commonly simply the cost of labor per hour
Assign the cost to the whole project.
Time-phase budget
Allows the project team to link time and cost into the unified baseline that can be set to serve as the project plan. Project cost control as the project moves forwards is predicated on creating the time phased budget.
Variable costs
Putting aside some budget money for uncertainties and unexpected costs that could not have been anticipated. This is referred to as a project contingency fund, often a normal part of the project budget.
Explain some important aspects when doing project scheduling
It’s important to apply logic to the tasks in order to identify activities that are predecessors (coming earlier in the network) and those who are successors.
Examining predecessor relationships among the project activities (the nodes). Once these are known it’s possible to link the activities together and create a project network. (AON)