Natalie Flashcards
(22 cards)
What are emerging infectious diseases
- cluster of cases caused by emerging pathogens unknown to cause disease OR re-emerging pathogens previously caused disease but now with increased infectivity
What increases risk of EID
- population growth
- mobility
- climate change
- pollution
- environmental degradation
- aging population
How are majority of EID derived
in a 2 step process from animals = spillover and adaptation
Climate change extending the geographic range of vectors
- rising temperatures allows insects to thrive in new regions
- rising temperatures can also support increased bite and survival rates
- Also has potential to wipe out populations in certain regions > desertification of sub-saharan Africa
- vectors flourish in warmer/wetter climate
Climate change mediating changes in virus survival and transmission
- warmer temperatures/altered humidity can enhance viral stability/transmission rates
- higher temperatures can permit increased replication rates
- El nino = more cold phases = increased transmission of influenza
Extreme weather events
- high temperature
- floods
- droughts
High temperature associations
- altered vector activity and bite rates
- increased transmission risk
- altered extrinsic incubation period
- increased survival of adult female vectors
Flooding
- increases stagnant water pools for mosquitos to lay eggs = increased breeding sites = increased vectors
- increased exposure to vector bites
- decreased tick vector populations
- some mosquito species have reproductive cycles associated with flooding > can lay eggs in flood water which remain viable for many years
- strong winds associated with flood may kill adult mosquitos
Droughts
- mosquitos drawn into homes = increased exposure to vector bites
- increased transmission risk
Thawing of permafrost
- may expose long-dormant viruses reintroducing pathogens we havent seen in millennia
Climate change - Food security and water quality
- malnutrition = weakened immunity = more susceptible to viral infection
- reduces micronutrients in crops and increases contaminants
- increased food-borne pathogens
- storms can result in wastewater overflow = increased transmission of norovrisu and hepatitis
Urbanisation, deforestation and industry
- increased contacts with wildlife
- loss of habitats causes animals/vectors to move into urban areas = increased exposure
- decreased biodiversity = disrupts ecosystem = vectors can dominate
- deforestation removes canopy layer = no protection from sun and rain = soil erosion = vector breeding groups
Trafficking and eating of wild animals
- risk of close contact with wild animals
- pathogens can switch hosts during transport
- risk of cross-species animal-animal transmission
Climate changing causing disruptions in healthcare
- poor socioeconomic situations become exacerbated in climate-related disasters
- exacerbates viral disease burdens
- major problem in Pacific nations
Likely characteristics of viruses that may cause a pandemic
- high replication rate
- RNA virus = high mutation
- zoonotic
- asymptomatic
- airborne
- can evade the immune system
- moderate mortality rate
Air pollution
chronic exposure to air pollution = induced inflammation and oxidative stress = impaired immune function = increased respiratory disease burden
Factors climate change can impact
- incubation periods
- vector:host ratio
- vector survival
- biting rate
Temperature and RNAi efficiency
- RNAi suppresses viral replication of arboviruses
- lower RNAi efficiency at higher temperatures = increased replication = transmission
Nipah virus example
- enveloped pleomorphic virus
- non-segmented ssRNA-
- route of transmission = bodily fluids or infected animals
- reservoir = fruit bat
- high population density mediates high rate of transmission
- deforestation = fruit bat moves to urban areas = pigs and humans eat fruit which have been bitten by bat = increased incidence
Rabies example
- ssRNA
- circulates via interaction between domesticated and stray dogs along with wild animal interactions
- transmitted via saliva and bite of an infected host
- symptoms = anxiety, bewilderment, hallucination and hydrophobia
- urbanisation = increased pets = increased risk
- urbanisation = increased waste accumulation = increased food and habitats for rabies vectors
potential Characteristics of pandemic viruses and PHEIC agents
- likely to be a zoonotic spillover events due to a lack of pre-existing immunity
- potentially an avian influenza virus as this is what all pandemics have been due to uncontrollable reservoirs
- airborne
Preparing for future pandemics
- surveillance and metagenomics of reservoirs
- development of animal models for viruses that may cause pandemics
- research to understand molecular virology
- early stage development and testing in animal models
- development of broad antivirals as a first line of defense