paper 1 physical questions Flashcards
(44 cards)
Assess the reasons why some communities are more vulnerable than others to tectonic hazards. (12)
What is vulnerability?
is the extent to which a community could be damaged or disrupted by a hazard.
The perception of risk and vulnerability varies from place to place consequently this means some communities are more vulnerable than others.
1. physical geo and location : tectonic setting of the location which affects the likely magnitude and frequency of the tectonic event. 90% of all tsunami are recorded in the Pacific Ocean making communities in this region more vulnerable.
the more frequent the event the higher the vulnerability to hazards like pyroclastic flows.
highly dense population and isolated rural areas = increased vulnerability.
- Governance and players (local and national government) play a crucial role in influencing the communities vulnerability. how well run a country is.
lack of it can impact on how prepared a country is for a hazard and can also negatively impact the response and recovery efforts after the event.
corruption: if government accept bribes and do unethical things, then vulnerability would increase as money may not be invested into crucial areas such as emergency services.
e.g Haiti 2010 and china 2008 Sichuan - no donations invested to public
corrupt government officials often ignored building codes and accepted bribes to allow builders to take shortcuts. The resulting poorly constructed buildings could not withstand the ground shaking and collapsed. china 5k children died - level of development - most important factor
shown by Japan Tohoku 2011 - being a highly developed country, Japan had the financial resources and commitments to prepare for a hazard. 10m high walls, which helped to reduce the loss of life. Many offices and homes were equipped with earthquake emergency kits and an early warning system detected the earthquake one minute in advance - giving people some warning.
hose more developed are more educated about the risk and this can reduce their vulnerability. emergency drills are regularly practiced in both schools and businesses. In Japan the literacy rate is 99% whereas in Haiti it was around 50% at the time of the disaster.
A variety of reasons are therefore significant in making some communities more vulnerable than others to tectonic hazards. In particular the context of the area and governance can significantly amplify or reduce the vulnerability of communities to tectonic events.
Assess the reasons why managing the impacts of tectonic hazards varies in its effectiveness (12)
intro - effective management relies on strong governance from a large national scale to local. however physical factors also play a part, will be harder to manage with a more intense event and different types of hazards.
- physical factors
prediction is an essential part of managing most tectonic hazards and can reduce the impacts to a large extent if the population can then be evacuated or in a safe place. can’t predict when and where earthquakes will be so management isn’t as effective here as compared to a tsunami which can give warnings using a tsunami warning system, this means people can successfully evacuate.
multiple hazard zones e.g in Philippines earthquake and eruption - stress on limited governance to balance management - development and economy of country = reduced impacts.
if a country isn’t well developed and doesn’t have a lot of money then they won’t be able to invest in prediction, protection and planning effectively. Japan aseismic buildings, advanced and widespread insurance, allowing people to recover from disasters. social development - government-run preparations and public education about risk, coping, response and evacuation.
sophisticated monitoring of volcanoes and, where possible, defences such as tsunami walls. regulated local planning systems, which use land-use zoning and building codes. - governance - events linked with corruption can happen. ignored building codes and accepted bribes to allow builders to take shortcuts. The resulting poorly constructed buildings could not withstand the ground shaking and collapsed. china 5k children died
- population - if the population is large such as in a mega city like Tokyo then efforts to manage the impacts of tectonic hazards will be more difficult because they’ll affect a larger population
however in smaller communities like in the Philippines managing the impacts of tectonics hazards will be more effective as they can use local/indigenous methods understood by all - eg ASCEND project
conclusion - overall its clear that a range of human and physical factors influence the effectiveness of the impacts of hazard management but economic limitations is a key restrictor of effective management
Assess the relative importance of physical factors and processes in explaining the impacts of volcanic eruptions (12)
Physical processes impact on the magnitude and type of volcanic eruption
Volcanoes cause lava flows, pyroclastic flow, ash falls, gas eruptions, and secondary hazards
Hazard profiles are important in understanding hazard impacts
Destructive plate boundaries generate larger magnitude volcanic eruption than constructive or hotspots
Type of lava can be significant e.g. pyroclastic flows St Vincent
Population density can also be a significant factor in explaining the impacts of volcanic eruptions
Impacts can be amplified through poor management or reduced through effective management
Key factor is type of plate margin but these impacts can be amplified by other contextual factors both physical and human
Composite/shield
composite volcano
- Andesitic lava, which is very viscous
- Steep sides as the lava doesn’t flow very far before it solidifies
- Violent eruptions
- Less frequent eruptions
Properties of shield volcano
- Basaltic lava, which is non-acidic and very runny
- Gentle sides, the lava flows for long distances before it solidifies
- Less violent eruptions
- More frequent eruptions
- Primary/secondary hazards
- Developedness of a country
Assess the view that the social and economic impacts of earthquakes are mainly the result of their magnitude (12)
briefly define magnitude + what other physical factors can also be important
-magnitude can be hugely impact as can cause such high social + economic impacts e.g Haiti 2010 earthquake had high magnitude of 7 that led to such large impacts…. however the earthquake of China 2008 had a higher magnitude at 7.9 yet had lower impacts indicating that other factors are also important
-Human factors therefore very influential, describe human factors in Haiti that caused its impacts to be so much higher compared to in China where development + resources meant impacts were fewer
-other physical factors are important, e.g. Japan tsunami 2004 was very impactful due to the earthquake creating a secondary tsunami hazard, was also impactful due to the locations of countries effected such as low lying land etc
Overall magnitude is important but human factors very important in influencing the social/economic impacts, magnitude may be more important with environmental impacts
Assess the importance of governance in the successful management of tectonic mega disasters (12)
Assess the extent to which development affects economic & social impacts of tectonic hazards (12)
intro - development of a country mostly effects economic and social impacts, however other human factors like governance and physical factors like location, population density and type of hazard can affect the intensity of social and economic impacts.
social - deaths, injury and wider health impacts & psychological
economic - the loss of property, businesses, infrastructure and opportunity
- physical geo and location : tectonic setting of the location which affects the likely magnitude and frequency of the tectonic event. 90% of all tsunami are recorded in the Pacific Ocean making communities in this region more vulnerable.
the more frequent the event the higher the vulnerability to hazards like pyroclastic flows.
highly dense population and isolated rural areas = increased vulnerability. more vulnerability = more hazards and impacts happen. more deaths if youre in the centre - Governance and players (local and national government) play a crucial role in influencing the communities vulnerability. how well run a country is.
lack of it can impact on how prepared a country is for a hazard and can also negatively impact the response and recovery efforts after the event.
corruption: if government accept bribes and do unethical things, then vulnerability would increase as money may not be invested into crucial areas such as emergency services.
e.g Haiti 2010 and china 2008 Sichuan - no donations invested to public
corrupt government officials often ignored building codes and accepted bribes to allow builders to take shortcuts. The resulting poorly constructed buildings could not withstand the ground shaking and collapsed. china 5k children died - level of development - most important factor
shown by Japan Tohoku 2011 - being a highly developed country, Japan had the financial resources and commitments to prepare for a hazard. 10m high walls, which helped to reduce the loss of life. Many offices and homes were equipped with earthquake emergency kits and an early warning system detected the earthquake one minute in advance - giving people some warning.
hose more developed are more educated about the risk and this can reduce their vulnerability. emergency drills are regularly practiced in both schools and businesses. In Japan the literacy rate is 99% whereas in Haiti it was around 50% at the time of the disaster. however economic cost of japan was $3oo billion whereas Haiti was $8 billion. this is because more buildings and valuable property and places in developed Japan so more loss had happened.
A variety of reasons are therefore significant in making some communities more vulnerable than others to tectonic hazards. In particular the context of the area and governance can significantly amplify or reduce the vulnerability of communities to tectonic events.
Assess the extent to which disaster occurrence is a result of vulnerability and resilience (12)
Assess the extent to which tectonic hazards can be effectively predicted (12)
intro - tectonic hazards can be predicted - knowing when and where a natural hazard will happen
can be forecasted - probability that something might occur in a particular place at a certain time. Less precise than prediction, and provides a percentage change of a hazard occurring (e.g. a 25% of a magnitude 7.0 earthquake in the next 20 years).
predictions - useful on a spatial and temporal scale that can be acted on (evacuation)
Earthquakes - cant be predicted. only forecasted
Only areas at high risk can be identified (risk forecasting), and areas that are likely to suffer severe ground shaking and liquefaction; this can be used for land-use zoning purposes
‘Seismic gaps’, i.e. areas that have not experienced an earthquake for some time and are ‘overdue’ can point to areas of high risk
Volcanic eruptions - can be predicted
monitoring equipment on volcanoes measures changes as magma chambers fill and eruption nears.
Tiltmeters and strain meters record volcanoes ‘bulging’ as magma rises and seismometers record minor earthquakes indicating magma movement
Gas spectrometers analyse gas emissions which point to increased eruption likelihood.
The minimal death toll from volcanic eruptions (despite 60-80 eruptions per year) is due to improved prediction.
Tsunami - can be partly predicted
An earthquake-induced tsunami cannot be predicted. However, seismometers can tell an earthquake has occurred and locate it, then ocean monitoring equipment can detect tsunami in sea, people are then evacuated from coastal areas.
In many developing countries, volcano monitoring and tsunami warning may not be as good as they could be due to cost of technology. Also, its more difficult to reach isolated, rural locations with effective warnings.
Asses the importance of different stages in the hazard management cycle (12)
Although all four stages of the hazard management cycle contribute to reducing the risk of a hazard, to a large extent mitigation is the most important in reducing risk.
- Mitigation - identifies the characteristics of a potential hazard and what can be done to reduce the impacts in the future:
- building codes and regulation (making sure all infrastructure is up to current regulation standards etc.). e.g. Aseismic Buildings that are strong enough to resist earthquakes, and prevent damage. has deep foundations of stone, and made from rubble, cement concrete roof, reinforced steel corner pillars to provide strength and flexibility
- land use zoning - preventing people from building: on low-lying coasts. low costs, saves lives. however prevents economic development on some high-value land, e.g. coastal tourism, and requires strict, enforced planning rules.
- protective defences (tsunami wall) that prevent waves travelling inland. it reduces damage, gives a sense of security but high cost, ugly and restrict use/development at the coast.
- Lava Diversion - channels, barriers and water cooling used to divert and/or slow lava. has low cost but only works for low VEI basaltic lava, The majority of ‘killer’ volcanoes are not of this type. not always effective.. - Although it’s arguably not as important as mitigation, response also has a significant impact on the effects of hazards.
response: immediate action after event. least desirable form of management, because it implies that a disaster has occurred and caused damage to people and property.
Short-term aid: search and rescue, evacuating people from areas of danger. emergency food, water, shelter.
Recovery: returning to normal, long term response
- monetary aid (charities: NGOs etc), emergency shelters, restoring vital services (health care and law enforcement)
- reconstruction plans to rebuild an area and improve resilience.
- insurance (compensation) to people to replace losses. - Finally, preparation has smaller importance than mitigation and similar to response and recovery.
Preparation - minimising loss of life and property.
- Hi-Tech Monitoring (used for prediction)
monitors volcano behaviour and predict eruptions. (all can be monitored but earthquakes for example can not be predicted and there is rarely much warning time before the hazard event). however its costly, so not all developing world volcanoes are monitored, if predictions (and evacuation) are wrong, people are less lively to believe the next one, does not prevent property damage
- Community Preparedness and Education = preparation days, education and earthquake kit (water, food, battery powered radio, blankets) kept in a safe place at home to be used in days after an earthquake. has low cost, often implemented by NGOs, can save lives through small actions but does not prevent property damage and harder to do in isolated rural areas
conclusion?
Assess the success of strategies to modify tectonic hazards (mitigation) (12)
mitigation before the hazard strikes - most desirable management. it is reducing the impacts of the hazard by reducing areal extent and magnitude effect.
relies on complex technology and planning so developing and emerging countries are less likely to have access to it.
land use zoning is when there are regulations and rules on where to build. no building on low lying areas, areas that are high risk of ground shaking and soil liquefaction and areas at risk of volcanoes.
this is a good strategy as it it low cost, and saves lives of people by refraining building work on unsafe areas. however, it does prevent economic development of high value land e.g coastal tourism so can slow the economy. also strict enforced planning rules are required.
aseismic building are a way to mitigate hazards impact. they are strong enough to resist earthquake magnitude and prevent further social and economic damage. they include cross bracing, hollow bricks, cement concrete roofs and steel pillars for strength and flexibility of the building. Japan has these so this reduced the death toll of 16,000 being higher. Again, they are less likely to be used in developing countries because of the cost.
tsunami defences like sea walls and breakwater prevent waves from travelling inwards. this reduced damage and gives a sense of security to public. however people can see them as ugly and they can have a very high cost, they restrict the development of the coast so cannot be as successful.
lava diversion - only can be used for volcanoes so less successful as it doesnt work on earthquakes. it uses channels and water cooling to slow the lava to divert the harm. luckily it has a low cost so developing countries can use it. however it only works for low VEI basaltic volcanoes and majority of killer volcanoes are not this type, so it is not very effective as the other strategies.
to conclude, the best strategies to mitigate hazards would be land use zoning as it caters to all the hazards, saving lives and also preventing property and economic damage. this lowers the social and economic costs of the hazard.
Assess the success of strategies to modify vulnerability & resilience to tectonic hazards (adaptation) (12)
modifying vulnerablity & resilence before teh hazard means to get people out of the way and to also help them cope with the impacts by building resilience.
hi tech scientific monitoring of volcanoes is used to predict eruptions and monitor behaviour, this is effective as it gives people time to evacuate and saves more lives. however it is coslty so not all developing world volcanoes are monitored. also if predictions are false, people are less likelt to believe the next one.
community preparedness and education e.g drills and earthwauek kits are low cost and implemented by NGOs, they save lives in a small action. howevr it doesn’t prevent property damage and its harder to do in isolated rural areas.
adaption means to move out of harms way and relocating to a safe area. thid saves both lives and property, but it affects and distupts peopels traditions and homes.
Assess the success of strategies to modify the loss of tectonic hazards (response & recovery) (12)
Evaluate the view that coastal landscape changes are increasing mainly due to rising sea levels (20)
Evaluate the extent to which erosion is responsible for the formation of distinctive coastal landforms (20)
intro - formed by different processes including geology, erosion, deposition, transportation and sub aerial.
attrition - rocks that the sea is carrying knock against each other. They break apart to become smaller and more rounded.
abrasion - pebbles grind along cliff base like sandpaper, over time the rock becomes smooth.
solution - sea water dissolves certain types of rocks. chalk and limestone cliffs (soft rock) are prone to this type of erosion.
hydraulic action - waves smash against the cliff. Air becomes trapped and compressed into cracks in the rock with force, rock breaks
- erosion is when rock is broken down by attrition, abrasion, solution & hydraulic action. it forms cave, arch, stack stump landscape e.g. Old Harry Rocks, erosion has a smaller place in forming landscapes than geology.
a cave is formed from attrition when rocks hit the base of cliff making a crack, this crack widens by abrasion and hydraulic action, water is forced inside making it bigger forming a cave and then further erosion causes an arch. arch eroded by abrasion and also weathering at the top causing a stack to be formed which is eroded into a stump.
deposition also creates landforms by longshore drift, a beach is formed when constructive waves swash is stronger than its backwash. spits are also formed when wind and L.D transport and deposit sediment across the coast, a change in wind direction can cause a recurved spit to be formed. overall the processes of erosion and deposition have a somewhat equal position in forming coastal landforms. - however to a larger extent, GEOLOGY more responsible for forming landscapes. geology includes shape, structure and type of rock. hard rock granite harder to erode, soft rock chalk easier to erode and make landforms.
more joints and faults /9lines and cracks faster erosion ate as there are more weak points for erosion to target. strata in the rick helps erosion happen faster.
geology influences sub aerial processes e.g bio and mechanical weathering happen faster if plants grow out of or water freezes inside a softer rock like chalk. also increases rate of mass movement e.g unconsolidated sediment an soft rock will weaken by rain and even dissolves cause rapid sediment flow.
so geology increases and influences rates of sub aerial and erosion process. its a more stronger factor. - subaerial process
types of mass movement - slump, sliding, rotational slide, rockfall.
all these involve sediment and material flowing down by force of gravity rapidly or slowly. mass movement creates rotational scars, talus scree slopes and terraced cliff profiles. weathering processes increase sediment production which increase rate of formation of landscapes and also help break down rock and increase rates of recessions to make landforms like headlands and bays.
to conclude, although erosion processes form a variety of coastal landscapes like cave-arch-stack-stump landscapes, geology is the most responsible for forming coastal landscapes as it influences and is a part of all the processes mentioned.
Evaluate the extent to which deposition is responsible for the formation of distinctive coastal landforms (20)
intro - formed by different processes including geology, erosion, deposition, transportation and sub aerial.
deposition
- subaerial process
types of mass movement - slump, sliding, rotational slide, rockfall.
all these involve sediment and material flowing down by force of gravity rapidly or slowly. mass movement creates rotational scars, talus scree slopes and terraced cliff profiles. weathering processes increase sediment production which increase rate of formation of landscapes and also help break down rock and increase rates of recessions to make landforms like headlands and bays. - however to a larger extent, GEOLOGY more responsible for forming landscapes. geology includes shape, structure and type of rock. hard rock granite harder to erode, soft rock chalk easier to erode and make landforms.
more joints and faults /9lines and cracks faster erosion ate as there are more weak points for erosion to target. strata in the rick helps erosion happen faster.
geology influences sub aerial processes e.g bio and mechanical weathering happen faster if plants grow out of or water freezes inside a softer rock like chalk. also increases rate of mass movement e.g unconsolidated sediment an soft rock will weaken by rain and even dissolves cause rapid sediment flow.
so geology increases and influences rates of sub aerial and erosion process. its a more stronger factor. - erosion is when rock is broken down by attrition, abrasion, solution & hydraulic action. it forms cave, arch, stack stump landscape e.g. Old Harry Rocks, erosion has a smaller place in forming landscapes than geology.
a cave is formed from attrition when rocks hit the base of cliff making a crack, this crack widens by abrasion and hydraulic action, water is forced inside making it bigger forming a cave and then further erosion causes an arch. arch eroded by abrasion and also weathering at the top causing a stack to be formed which is eroded into a stump.
deposition also creates landforms by longshore drift, a beach is formed when constructive waves swash is stronger than its backwash. spits are also formed when wind and L.D transport and deposit sediment across the coast, a change in wind direction can cause a recurved spit to be formed. overall the processes of erosion and deposition have a somewhat equal position in forming coastal landforms.
to conclude, although sub aerial processes form a variety of coastal landscapes like terraced cliff profiles, talus scree slopes and rotational scars, geology is the most responsible for forming coastal landscapes as it influences and is a part of all the processes mentioned.
Evaluate the extent to which subaerial process are responsible for the formation of coastal landscapes (20)
intro - formed by different processes including geology, erosion, deposition, transportation and sub aerial.
sub aerial - bio, chem and mechanical weathering, mass movement
- subaerial process
types of mass movement - slump, sliding, rotational slide, rockfall.
all these involve sediment and material flowing down by force of gravity rapidly or slowly. mass movement creates rotational scars, talus scree slopes and terraced cliff profiles. weathering processes increase sediment production which increase rate of formation of landscapes and also help break down rock and increase rates of recessions to make landforms like headlands and bays. - however to a larger extent, GEOLOGY more responsible for forming landscapes. geology includes shape, structure and type of rock. hard rock granite harder to erode, soft rock chalk easier to erode and make landforms.
more joints and faults /9lines and cracks faster erosion ate as there are more weak points for erosion to target. strata in the rick helps erosion happen faster.
geology influences sub aerial processes e.g bio and mechanical weathering happen faster if plants grow out of or water freezes inside a softer rock like chalk. also increases rate of mass movement e.g unconsolidated sediment an soft rock will weaken by rain and even dissolves cause rapid sediment flow.
so geology increases and influences rates of sub aerial and erosion process. its a more stronger factor. - erosion is when rock is broken down by attrition, abrasion, solution & hydraulic action. it forms cave, arch, stack stump landscape e.g. Old Harry Rocks, erosion has a smaller place in forming landscapes than geology.
a cave is formed from attrition when rocks hit the base of cliff making a crack, this crack widens by abrasion and hydraulic action, water is forced inside making it bigger forming a cave and then further erosion causes an arch. arch eroded by abrasion and also weathering at the top causing a stack to be formed which is eroded into a stump.
deposition also creates landforms by longshore drift, a beach is formed when constructive waves swash is stronger than its backwash. spits are also formed when wind and L.D transport and deposit sediment across the coast, a change in wind direction can cause a recurved spit to be formed. overall the processes of erosion and deposition have a somewhat equal position in forming coastal landforms.
to conclude, although sub aerial processes form a variety of coastal landscapes like terraced cliff profiles, talus scree slopes and rotational scars, geology is the most responsible for forming coastal landscapes as it influences and is a part of all the processes mentioned.
Evaluate the extent to which sea level change influences the formation of coastal landscapes (20)
Coastal landscapes are made up of an assemblage of landforms that have developed over time - some in the short term such as beach cusps and some over a much longer term such as headland and bays. Coastal landscapes are influenced by many factors such as the topography of the coastline as well as the lithology and the disposition of rocks such as whether they are concordant or discordant. Sea level change is another factor that can influence the formation of coastal landscapes. Sea level change is the change in the relative levels of the sea and the land. Major causes of sea level change include eustatic, isostatic and tectonic movements. This creates landforms of both emergence and submergence.
A key contribution that changes in sea level make to the formation of coastal landscapes are through eustatic changes. These occur on a global scale and are due to changes in the volume of water in the ocean. During the last glacial period water was in a frozen state in ice caps and glaciers and so caused a fall in global sea levels. Subsequent melting of the ice has meant sea levels have risen by 120m. Recently there has been the thermal expansion of the oceans caused by global warming but this is on a far smaller scale - since 1900 it is estimated that sea levels have risen by 20cm. Eustatic changes therefore contribute to coastlines of emergence where sea levels fall and submergence where sea levels rise. In submergent coastlines such as the SW England the impact of rising sea levels creates what drowned river valleys called rias due to the process of marine transgression’. As sea levels rise the pre-existing drainage pattern becomes submerged and flooded with sea water. This creates broad but shallow inlets with often steep valley sides a winding profile which reflects the original route of the river and a fairly uniform depth such as the River Dart and Dartmouth. It is important to remember, however, that the coastal landscapes of SW England are not just the result of sea level change. Rather these changes are imposed upon other pre-existing influences such as lithology and topology. SW England can be thought of as a rocky coast with outcrops of resistant rock types such as granite and sandstones. As much as sea level change these also contribute to the resulting coastal landscape of rias but with rocky headlands and cliffs.
Similarly, the topology is a key factor in forming the Dalmatian coast in the Adriatic sea. This has a coastal landscape of long, narrow inlets with a chain of islands parallel to the coast. This is as a result of the fact that before sea level rise there was a longitudinal coast where mountains run parallel or concordant to the coast. The submergence of the coastline and the subsequent marine transgression created elongated islands which were the crests of the former ranges and the narrow sounds were the former longitudinal valleys.
Furthermore, it can also be the case that the impacts of sea level change are combined with other non-marine processes. In Norway glaciation created long deep narrow U shaped valleys. After the ice melted these became flooded due to sea level rise and long thin but deep (over 1000m) inlets called fjords are created. These are straighter than a ria glacial erosion has planned off the interlocking spurs found in the pre-glacial river valley. Overall it is clear that eustatic sea level changes can significantly contribute to the formation of coastal landscapes but often are imposed upon pre-existing coastline shaped by other factors such as by rock type and lithology or moulded by processes such as glaciation.
Isostatic:
tectonic can also cause sea level rise e.g Hawaii and Croatia
force pushes the plates to form synclines and anticlines.
climate change???
write better conclusion
Evaluate the view that climate change is the most significant factor increasing coastal flood risk for some coastlines (20)
Many low lying coastlines are densely populated as beaches and the sea attract a large number of tourists = population growth
Low lying deltas are extremely fertile and ideal for agriculture
Estuaries and deltas are ideal for trade with good navigable access inland up rivers
Many river deltas support megacities,
e.g. Shanghai, Yangtze Delta China - 24 million people
Dhaka, Bangladesh, Ganges-Brahmaputra delta - 14 million people
Karachi, Pakistan Indus delta - 23.5 million people
The IPCC predicts that by 2060 12% of the world’s population will be living in coastal regions less than 10 m above sea level
- Climate change is mainly leading to increasing temperatures, greater atmospheric water vapour and so is leading to variety of climatic changes + changing weather events adding to coastal risk
-climate change mainly can be seen to be increasing global temperatures, leading to the ocean surfaces and so leading to rising sea levels, something that clearly is putting many coastal areas at risk. Global sea level rise increases the risk of flooding in low lying coastlines = could be climate change or just eustatic change?
Bangladesh = not only is it at risk from flooding as a result of rising sea levels, but also the increased frequency of storm events such as storm surges and cyclones, that due to warming temperatures are becoming much more frequent as a result of shifting climatic systems. this coupled also with the increasing ice melt from the Himalayan mountains adding to the discharge levels of the converging rivers, with increasing temperatures it is clear to sea that the coastline of Bangladesh is becoming more at risk, with all these factors being caused by the result of global rising temperatures and so climate change.
Bangladesh - a 40 cm sea level rise would permanently submerge 11% of Bangladesh, creating 7-10 million environmental refugees
Maldives - 50 cm sea level rise would permanently flood 77% of the Maldives Islands’ land area. - location - low lying coastlines are only 1-2 m high above (high tide) sea level so at risk from flooding
Temporary flood risk from storm surges, permanent flooding from global sea level rise
Bangladesh occupies the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta, 60% of the country is less than 3 m high above sea level. The highest point in the Maldives is only 2.3 m above sea level - Vegetation Removal - due to populaton growth more deforestation also happening, and removing salt marshes and mangrove forest, reduces flood risk, stabilises existing sediment and traps new sediment, raising the height of the land above sea level, absorbs wave energy, reducing wave impact and erosion, and reduces the distance waves travel onshore before the energy is exhausted
- Subsidence
Low lying coastlines in estauries, deltas or outbuilding zones are subject to natural subsidence through the settling and compaction of recently deposited sediment
However, subsidence is usually outpaced by fresh deposition and the bioaccretion of organic matter
Deltas experience periodic isostatic subsidence when the weight of the delta sediment reaches the threshold sufficient to cause the crust to depress - leading to marine transgression and flooding
Evaluate the consequences of coastal recession and flooding for affected coastal communities (20)
Consequences:
- social: loss of property/ damage of property. Potential loss of life and risk of injury. Loss of jobs/unemployment if coastal businesses are affected
- economic: damaged infrastructure, costly to repair
reduced house and land prices in that area (economic loss for homeowners and local coastal economies
-in the UK, many insurers don’t provide insurance for people living along the coast due to risk of flooding and storm surges
- environmental - habitats destroyed by storm surges, destruction of plant succession which destabilises other depositional coastal landforms
although the consequences are extreme, they can be mitigated through soft/hard engineering techniques.
mitigation techniques:
groynes - (hard engineering) protect the coastline from erosion by stopping longshore drift and catching the sand, but this makes the coastline further down from it more vulnerable to erosion
dune stabilisation- (soft engineering) marram grass planted and the roots help bind the dunes.
2 different coastal communities:
maldives? bangladesh?
UK North Sea, Philippines Typhoon Haiyaan
Greater consequences in the developing community:
social
economic
environmental
developed community:
likely a greater economic consequence due to higher value of infrastructure etc
overall consequences lessened in developed country by mitigating techniques (soft and hard engineering) which are too expensive for the developing community.
conclusion
Explain how climate change has significant impacts on the operation of the water cycle (8)
Increasing greenhouse gases increase temp of sea & land = ENSO cycles happen more, evaporation increases = more moisture in atmosphere = more precipitation= more storms. Both evaporation and precipitation are increasing with climate change.
Evaporation over large areas of Asia and North America appears to be increasing. Transpiration is linked to vegetation changes, which in turn are linked to changes in soil moisture and precipitation. The length and frequency of heatwaves is increasing in some locations = increased occurrence of drought. global and local impact. Australia Drought and California. less rain decrease in soil moisture less carbon stored.
impacts ecosystems e.g rainforests. Amazon which is a carbon sink. decrease rain = less functions, cant absorb carbon and less water = affects water cycle. dry vegetation = less moisture and carbon stores. positive feedback loop more impacts = domino effect further reducing precipitation.
However climate change can help out regions e,g Sahel Region
which is extremely dry and arid that has recently experienced greater levels of precipitation than normal. With greater levels of rain this has helped the region in a process called ‘regreening’, meaning there is possibility for greater vegetation growth, something that may help the region not only in providing further levels of precipitation but also more farmland
with the negative impacts overriding this small positive.
in conclusion it can be seen that in the majority of cases as a result of increasing global temperatures as well as increasingly variable rainfall patterns, the impacts upon the hydrological will be significant, with this occurring locally but even more significantly on a global scale, particularly in regard to changing weather patterns. e.g. Amazon significant impacts.
Assess ways in which deficits within the hydrological system can have significant impacts (12)
water deficit - there is not sufficient water within the hydrological to meet the needs of those that depend on it, with this often having both large scale impacts upon both humans and ecosystems as a whole.
- drought - define meteorological and hydrological, agricultural.
human impacts - agricultural famine humanitarian crisis, food shortages e.g Sahel Region, Yemen.
desertification, loss of peoples livelihoods, loss of habitats. - ENSO cycles = more extreme weather, desertification in Sahel Region. Australian Drought, big dry day 0, rationing water. water conservation strategies like recycling grey water, desalination plants.
- ecosystem and environmental impacts
Pantanal biome in the amazon destroyed, forests into wildfires.
increasing evaporation, less rain = disrupted water cycle
forests - evapotranspiration.
wetlands dont work, more carbon free in atmosphere, impacting the carbon cycle which is linked to water cycle domino effect of it just further enhancing further future droughts
It could though be argued that water surpluses and so flood events can also have significant impacts, especially when looking at the effect on humans as was seen in the Cumbria 2015 flood events.
UK Summer Flooding 2007 & 2012
Although in terms of the future and impacts, the clear vital role somewhere like the amazon plays and how greatly this is being impacted could be said to be more significant.
-Therefore clear deficits have wide-ranging and very significant impacts, from that on humans but also the whole environment
Assess the role of physical factors in influencing the pattern of future water stress (12)
intro:
Water stress occurs when an area of land or a population has less water than is required to meet its demand. To a large extent, human factors have greater influence on future patterns of water stress than physical factors. The nature of the human influence on water stress can both be positive and negative whereas the physical influence tends to have only a detrimental effect on the level of water stress.
1
To a large extent, human factors can increase the water stress in the future. A growing population size has led to an increase in demand for resources. These resources not only include drinking water but also crops. An increase in crop demand leads to a large proportion of the freshwater supply being used for irrigation. This puts a greater strain on the water supply. In addition, the growing population can also be linked to the growing middle class, which results in a greater demand for water for leisure and everyday life (for example dishwashers, washing machines etc.)
- However, human factors don’t just increase water stress in the future, they can also mitigate or reduce it. For example, Australia has water conservation management strategies, which include desalination plants and recycling of grey water. Israel desalination plants and nanotechnology of robots fixing pipelines! These strategies reduce the pressure on the finite fresh water supply we have left globally and reuses some of the other water sources available to us. This shows that human factors have a significant influence on the future pattern of water stress, and can both increase and decrease it.
3
Physical factors also influence the pattern of water stress, although they do this to a smaller extent than human factors. Changes in the climate can lead to extremely dry conditions in certain areas, where precipitation is scarce and therefore reduced the freshwater supply available for the population and industry. (e.g The Sahel Region has experienced desertification due to low levels of precipitation). ENSO can also result in such droughts in South-East Asia and Eastern Australia. Another climate change that can have an impact on water stress is global warming. Most of the Earth’s freshwater supply is found in the cryosphere, but with increasing temperatures, the ice sheets are melting and the water is lost to saline oceans. However, global warming is attributed to the burning of fossil fuels by humans, and cattle farming which both release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere which enhance the greenhouse gas effect. Therefore, although the physical climate does influence water stress patterns, ultimately, humans can influence the climate as well, which causes the stress on water supplies.
To conclude, human factors contribute more to water stress than physical factors do because of rising population demanding more resources. they can also have a positive effect on the water scarcity through water conservation strategies. on the other hand, physical factors e.g climate change are influenced by human factors as well, supporting the statement that human factors exert the greater influence on water stress.
Assess the extent to which deficits in the water cycle are the result of physical processes (12)
water deficit - there is not sufficient water within the water cycle to meet the needs of those that depend on it, with this often having both large scale impacts upon both humans and ecosystems as a whole. physical processes e.g ENSO cycles, and meteorological drought affects the water cycle to an extent. however to a larger extent, human activities result more in water deficits.
ENSO cycles - el Niño trigger dry conditions in Australia, South east Asia and America, brazil. trade winds from west to east. no Asian monsoon.
climate change - triggers more ENSO cycles. more evaporation happens, less soil moisture, less crops. more frequent and intense heatwaves: more drought.
changing rainfall patterns
desertification - Sahel region
however human factors contribute more to water deficits and drought. overpopulation, more wealth. a growing population size has led to an increase in demand for resources. These resources not only include drinking water but also crops. An increase in crop demand leads to a large proportion of the freshwater supply being used for irrigation. This puts a greater strain on the water supply. In addition, the growing population can also be linked to the growing middle class, which results in a greater demand for water for leisure and everyday life (for example dishwashers, washing machines etc.)
talk about Australia big dry 2002-2003 drought - Murray darlin basin died
overgrazing, overcultivation - vegetation cover is stripped, soil can absorbed water and store carbon, bare soil eroded more. cattle also releases methane - adds to global warming, temp of sea and land increasing = more evaporation
However, global warming is attributed to the burning of fossil fuels by humans, and cattle farming which both release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere which enhance the greenhouse gas effect. Therefore, although the physical climate does influence water stress patterns, ultimately, humans can influence the climate as well, which causes the stress on water supplies.
Assess impacts of drought on water cycle and ecosystem (12)
drought definition and can have social, environmental impacts.
Ecological resilience is the capacity of an ecosystem to withstand and recover from a natural event (e.g. drought or flooding) or some form of human disturbance.
Wetlands currently cover about 10% of the Earth’s land surface and perform a number of important functions: from acting as temporary water stores to the recharging of aquifers, from giant filters trapping pollutants to providing nurseries for fish and feeding sites for migrating birds. Drought can have a major impact on wetlands. With less precipitation there will be less interception (as vegetation becomes stressed), as well as less infiltration and percolation. Water tables will fall. Evaporation will also increase. This, together with the decrease in transpiration, will reduce the valuable functions performed by wetlands.
Forests have significant impacts on the hydrological cycle. They are responsible for much interception. drought threatens forests, but it is people and deforestation that most threaten their survival. In coniferous forests, drought is not only causing direct physiological damage but it is also increasing the susceptibility of pines and firs to fungal diseases. Tree mortality is on the increase. The same applies to the tropical rainforest, expect that the increased mortality attributed to drought appears to be having a greater impact on large trees. Here there is the added concern of what this increased tree mortality will eventually do to this incredibly important carbon store.
As ecosystem play such a vital role within the hydrological cycle, it is important to ensure that their ecological resilience is not overstretched by either the destructive activities of people or natural events such as droughts and floods.
when rainfall is less than normal for several weeks, months, or years, the flow of streams and rivers declines, water levels in lakes and reservoirs fall, and the depth to water in wells increases