Part 2: Chapter 9 - Investment Recommendations - Risks Flashcards

(57 cards)

1
Q

What are the TWO main types of risk?

How do they differ?

A

Systematic
Unsystematic

Systematic risk effects the entire economy, entire market, or a particular segment of the market, versus a specific investment.

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2
Q

Define Systematic risk.

Can Systematic risk be eliminated with diversification? Why?

What is another name for Systematic risk?

A

Risk common to ALL securities of the same general asset class (i.e. stocks and bonds).

No. Because Systematic risk effects the entire market.

Market

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3
Q

Name the THREE Systematic risks.

iRi

A

Interest
Reinvestment
Inflation

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4
Q

Define Unsystematic risk.

Can Unsystematic risk be eliminated through diversification?

What is another name for Unsystematic risk?

A

Risk associated with a unique investment, industry or company.

Yes

Non-Systematic risk

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5
Q

Name the SIX Unsystematic risks.

BuRP LiCS

A

Business
Regulatory
Political
Liquidity
Competitive
Sector

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6
Q

What is Interest Rate risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

A

Risk that a fixed income investment’s value will be affected by interest rates.

Systematic

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7
Q

What is Reinvestment risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

A

Risk that returns from an investment won’t be able to earn the same rate of return.

Systematic

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8
Q

What is Inflation risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

What’s another name for Inflation risk?

A

Risk that return on investment won’t outpace inflation.

Systematic

Purchasing power

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9
Q

What is Business risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

What are TWO other names for Business risk?

A

Risk associated with a unique business.

Unsystematic

Credit or Financial

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10
Q

What is Regulatory risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

A

Risk that rules, laws, taxes and regulations will affect investments

Unsystematic

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11
Q

What is Liquidity risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

A

Risk that an investment can’t be sold quickly.

Unsystematic

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12
Q

What is Political risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

What are TWO other names for Political risk?

A

Risk or political changes or government instability.

Unsystematic

Country or Geographic

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13
Q

What is Competitive risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

A

Risk that a company will fail to keep up with its competitors.

Unsystematic

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14
Q

What is Sector risk?

Systematic or Unsystematic?

What’s another name for Sector risk?

A

Factors that can impact a particular industry and thus a particular company.

Unsystematic

Industry

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15
Q

What particular type of investment is most impacted by Interest Rate risk?

Why?

Which TWO characteristics of this investment type are affected most?

A

Bonds

Because as interest rates rise, bond values drop.

Long Maturities
Low Coupons

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16
Q

What is the Liquidation order?

A

Taxes
Secured debt
Unsecured Debt
Preferred stock
Common stock

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17
Q

What is Opportunity Cost?

A

The value of the next best choice one forgoes in lieu of a decision.

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18
Q

What type of Bond is MOST sensitive to Interest Rate risk?

What’s another name for this type of Bond?

As a Bond approaches maturity, does its level of Interest Rate risk increase or decrease?

A

Zero Coupon Bonds

Deferred Interest Bond

Decreases

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19
Q

What’s the difference between a General Bond and a Debenture?

A

A General Bond is backed by hard assets (like equipment) whereas a Debenture is only backed by the good faith and credit of the issuing company.

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20
Q

What is a Return?

What are the two types of Returns?

What is the total of the TWO above Return types called?

A

The income received from an investment.

Income and Realized Capital Gains

Real Returns

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21
Q

What is Dispersion?

A

The range of potential Returns from an investment.

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22
Q

What is Compounding?

What is the formula for Compounding?

What is Compounding the opposite of?

A

Earning interest on interest

Present Value (aka Discounting)

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23
Q

What is Present Value?

What’s another name for Present Value?

What is the PV formula?

What is PV the oppostie of?

A

The amount of money that needs to be invested today to achieve a desired amount by a designated future date.

Discounting

Compounding

24
Q

What is Discounted Cash Flow?

On what types of investments is DCF most reliable?

A

A way to evaluate different investments collectively.

Those with known characteristics, like fixed payments (i.e. bonds).

25
What is Net Present Value? How is it calculated? What does it mean if the NPV of an investment is ... - Equal to the purchase price? - Less than? - Greater than?
A form of Discounted Cash Flow that uses Discounting for each year of an investment. (page 237) By adding a Present Value for each year of an investment. The investor will achieve ... - Their desired return - Greater than the desired return - Less than the desired return
26
What does it mean if Net Present Value is: - Positive - Negative - Zero
The investment will be: - Profitable - Not profitable - No gain or loss
27
What is Internal Rate of Return? What's another name for IRR? Is a HIGHER or LOWER IRR better?
A formula that uses cash flows (in and out) to determine the breakeven point of an investment. Dollar Weighted Return Higher
28
Are the following typically represented as a dollar or a percentage? - Net Present Value - Internal Rate of Return
NPV = $ IRR = %
29
If an IRR equals the desired rate of return, what NPV would it have? If an investment has an NPV of zero, does the IRR meet the required rate of return?
Zero Yes
30
How do you calculate Total Return?
Total Return ----------------------------- Original Investment
31
What is Annualized Return?
Multiplying or dividing a return as to equal what it'd be over a year.
32
What is Holding Period Return? What is its calculation just like?
The return over the period of time the investment is held. Total Return
33
What is Risk Free Return? What is Risk Premium?
Rate of Return on a 3-Month T-Bill The additional return an investor can expect for investing above risk-free investments (i.e. 3-Month T-Bill).
34
What is Beta? If a stock has a Beta of 1.0, what does this mean? Below 1.0? Above 1.0? If a stock has a Beta of .5, what does that mean?
The volatility of an investment in comparison to a benchmark (i.e. S&P 500). It has the same volatility as its benchmark Less volatility More volatility It's 50% as volatile as its benchmark
35
What is Alpha? What are THREE ways Alpha is expressed? What do these Alphas mean: - 0% - Less than 0% - More than 0% Does a negative Alpha mean the investment under OR over-performed?
How an investment performs relative to the risk taken. Percentage Number Beta + Alpha Returns were adequate for the risk Returns were NOT adequate for the risk Returns were adequate for the risk Under
36
How do you calculate Alpha with Beta?
Alpha = Return - (Market Return X Beta)
37
What is Standard Deviation? How does it differ from Beta? What do Higher or Lower Standard Deviations mean regarding a financial analysis?
The volatility of an expected return to its actual return. Beta measures volatility as compared to a benchmark (i.e. S&P 500 Index) whereas Standard Deviation measures volatility of an investment to its own past performance. The higher a Standard Deviation, the LESS reliable the analysis. The lower the Standard Deviation, the MORE reliable the analysis.
38
When does an investor obtain a Realized Return?
Upon sale of an investment
39
What is an Adjusted Rate of Return? What are TWO other names for ARR?
The rate of return less inflation. Real Return Real Interest Rate
40
What is Expected Return? How do you calculate it?
An investment's projected return based on different scenarios (i.e. Bull, Bear, or Neutral Market). By multiplying the asset's projected return by its likelihood of occurrence and then adding all resulting weighted values. For example: Mkt Projected X Likelihood = Expected -------------------------------------------------------------- Bull 15% X 40% = 6% Bear -10% X 30% = -3% Neutral 7% X 30% = 2.1% --------------------------------------------------------------- Overall Total Expected Return = 5.1%
41
What is Overall Return on a diversified portfolio? How can you calculate it?
It is the return of different asset classes weighted per their percentage makeup of the whole portfolio. By multiplying each asset's percentage makeup of the total portfolio by its return. Then adding all resulting weighted values. For example: Asset: Portfolio % X Return % = Weight % -------------------------------------------------------------- Equities 30% of Portfolio X 10% Return = .03 Bonds 40% of Portfolio X 25% Return = .1 --------------------------------------------------------------- Overall Total Expected Return = .13 = 13%
42
What is the Sharpe Ratio? How is it calculated? What is Risk Adjusted Return? What does a high Sharpe Ratio mean?
It compares the return on an investment to the risk taken. Portfolio Return - Risk Free Return -------------------------------------------------- Standard Deviation The Portfolio Return - Risk Free Return - again, the Risk Free Return is that of the 3-mont T-Bill The better the portfolio was managed or the safer the investment was.
43
What is the Dividend Discount Model?
It's a calculation that determines what common stock should trade at by discounting potential future dividends.
44
What is the Rule of 72? How is it calculated?
Used to tell how long an investor needs to double their money at a particular rate of return. 72 / Rate of Return = Years to Double *72 / Years to Double = Rate of Return
45
How do you calculate Payments in Perpetuity? What if the desired payment is multiple times a year (i.e. monthly or quarterly)?
Lump Sum = Periodic Pmt / Return % Then divide the Return % by that frequency per year. For example, if quarterly is desired, then divide the Return % by 4. PLEASE NOTE, the Periodic Payment must also be in that denomination. So if $30,000 per year is desired, but in quarterly payments, then divide $30,000 by 4 also.
46
On 15 year and 30 year loans, based on the loan interest rate, what is the percentage principal paid versus the total loan for each interest rate: - 5% - 7.5% - 10%
15-Year Loans - 5% = 70% (is the principal) - 7.5% = 60% - 10% = 52% 30-Year Loans - 5% = 52% - 7.5% = 40% - 10% = 32%
47
What is Current Yield on a bond? What is its formula?
Means to calculate the return if a bond is purchased at current market price. CY = Annual Interest / Current Mkt $
48
What is the difference between Current Yield and Yield to Maturity?
YTM considers the time remaining until maturity.
49
What is Modern Portfolio Theory? What are its FOUR considerations?
A theory that attempts to optimize portfolio return based on risk tolerance. Security Valuation Asset Allocation (diversification) Portfolio Evaluation Performance Measurement (pg 250)
50
What is Efficient Frontier as it pertains to MPT? Which portfolios are ideal / NOT ideal: those that measure above or below the efficient frontier? Can an investor achieve a return above the Efficient Frontier?
Analysis that seeks to identify the best portfolio combination to achieve the highest return per the risk tolerance. Above = ideal Below = NOT ideal No, this is unattainable.
51
What does Efficient Market Hypothesis state? What are the THREE types of information according to EMH?
It's impossible to beat the market because all information is available. Weak: prices reflect past information Semi-Strong: public information is reflected in prices Strong: public AND private information is reflected in prices.
52
When evaluating current bond holdings, are fluctuations in the current market price an important factor? What are the THREE important factors?
No Coupon payments Discount rate Payment at maturity
53
How can you calculate the needed stock price to achieve a client's requested return based on annual payouts?
Price = Annual Payout / Required Return Page 246
54
How do you calculate Expected Return?
Expected Return = Risk Free Return + [Beta X (Mkt Return - Risk Free Return)]
55
Which Investment Theory ... - Efficient Market Hypothesis - Capital Asset Pricing Model - Modern Portfolio Theory 1) Utilizes a formula to calculate an expected return in relation to the level of risk in a given investment. 2) States it's impossible to beat the market and defines three types of information. 3) Employs several steps to achieve an optimized return for a given level of risk.
1) Captial Asset Pricing Model 2) Efficient Market Hypothesis 3) Modern Portfolio Theory
56
Present Value Net Present Value Discounted Cash Flow Internal Rate of Return Sharpe Ratio Dividend Discount Model Captial Asset Pricing Model Modern Portfolio Theory - Efficient Frontier Efficient Market Hypothesis
57
What is Time-Weighted return?
Measure of performance that eliminates the in-flow and out-flow of cash