Policy Rate Flashcards
(4 cards)
5 Transmission Channels of a Policy‑Rate Hike
- Interest‑sensitive spending
Rate ↑ → loan costs ↑ → big‑ticket purchases deferred → ↓ C, ↓ I- Exchange‑rate
Rate ↑ → capital inflow → currency stronger → exports dearer, imports cheaper → ↓ NX → ↓ GDP, ↓ π - Asset‑price / wealth
Rate ↑ → share & house values ↓ → households feel poorer → ↓ C - Bank‑lending (credit supply)
Rate ↑ → bank funding & capital cost ↑ → fewer new loans → ↓ I, ↓ SME spending - Balance‑sheet
Rate ↑ → asset prices & cash‑flows ↓ → collateral weaker, risk premia ↑ → ↓ credit demand & supply
- Exchange‑rate
Inflation Targeting – What, Why, Strengths & Limits
What? Central bank commits to a CPI target (e.g. 2%) using rates
• Why? Anchors expectations, solves time inconsistency, avoids inflation bias
• Strengths: Simple, transparent, stabilises inflation without big recessions
• Limits: Ignores asset bubbles, can be too rigid, delayed reactions, neglects other goals
Unsterilised FX Intervention
• Central bank buys foreign currency and prints new home currency to pay for it.
• Nothing is traded out — so the total money in the system goes up.
• Both the exchange rate and the money supply change.
Because your buying dollars your currency going to fall regardless
More pounds in circulation more demand for foreign
Sterilised FX Intervention
Central bank buys foreign currency, but then sells bonds to take the extra money back out.
• So one thing is traded in, the other is taken out — keeping the money supply stable.
• Only the exchange rate is affected — not inflation or interest rates.