Population Change Flashcards
(22 cards)
Crude Birth Rate
number of live births
each year per 1,000 of
the population in an area
Crude Death Rate
number of deaths each
year per 1,000 of the
population in an area
Total Fertility Rate
number of children a
woman is expected
to have during her
reproductive lifetime
(15–49) based on the
current birth rates .
Replacement Rate
When there are enough
children born to
balance the number of
people who have died
Infant Mortality Rate
The number of deaths
per 1,000 children
(infants) born, in the
first year of their life in
a given year .
Natural Increase
BR>DR
Natural Decrease
BR<DR
Stage 1 DTM
High BR
High DR
Very Short Life expectancy (30y)
LEDC
Stage 2 DTM
High BR
Decrease in DR
Relatively short life expectancy(40y)
LEDC
Stage 3 DTM
Decrease BR
Decrease DR
LE increases (65<)
1880-1950 GBR
NIC/poor MEDC
Stage 4 DTM
Low BR
Low DR
LE increase (75<)
1950-present GBR
MEDC
Stage 5 DTM
Very low BR
Low DR
LE increase (more old people than young)
Few MEDCs
Stage 1 DTM explain
BR DR fluctuating = small pop growth
BR High : lack family planning, high IMR, children needed to work
DR High: prevalence disease/famine, poor standards of living and hygiene, non existent health care
Stage 2 DTM explain
BR stay high, food supply becomes more reliable
DR drop dramatically:
-mortality crises like plague or famine eliminated
-improvements in nutrition and standard of living
-improvements in medical care
-IMR decrease due to Healthcare
Stage 3 DTM explain
DR continue to fall and stabilise
BR fall quickly:
-marriage delayed or traditional methods of birth control developed
-lower IMR means less need to continue having children
-increase industrialisation means less workers needed in urban factories
-increased desire for material possessions
-improved roles & equality mean women enter workplace
Stage 4 DTM explain
BR DR low but fluctuating
Rate of population growth slows down quickly
Demands for labour mean searching for migrant workers to keep economy moving
Stage 5 DTM explain
BR falls below DR
Not enough babies being born to replace population
People more concerned in jobs/careers than settling down and having a family
Children seen as draw on resources rather than an asset
Limitations DTM
-Eurocentric - LEDCs moving through much faster pace
-Model assumes DR falls in S2 due to Industrialisation in most LEDC cases not true. - political intervention, economic investment or aid/relief
Stage 1 ET
Age of Pestilence and Famine
DR very high.
Mainly infectious diseases
Referred to as Exogenic
LE very low
Stage 2 ET
Age of Receding Pandemics
DR begin to fall
Developments in medical science and sanitation control infectious disease
LE increase (30-50)
Stage 3 ET
Age of Degenerative and ManMade Disease
LE increase DR decrease
Pop stability at low level
Modern healthcare, antibiotics, improvements in IMR - live longer
Cause of death becomes Endogenic diseases (alzheimers, heart disease, strokes, cancer)
Affect only later in life
Limits of ET
Some question wether changes happened in 20th century
DR in LEDC dropped rapidly due to aid intervention (much faster rate than MEDC exp)
Many LEDC have lower DR than some MEDC
As youthful pop gets older expected DR increase again