Population Change Flashcards
What is birth rate?
The number of live births per 1000 people per year
What is death rate?
The number of deaths per 1000 people per year
What is fertility rate?
The average number of children a woman will have between the ages of 15 and 44
What is infant mortality rate?
The number of children per 1000 born alive who die before their first birthday
What is life expectancy?
The average age a person can expect to live.
What is migration rate?
The difference between the number of people who migrate in and the number of people who migrate out of a country per 100,000 of the population per year.
What is population density?
The number of people per square km (population divided by size of area)
What is natural change?
Change in population because of the difference between birth and death rate.
What is stage 1,2,3,4 and 5 called on the demographic transition model?
1 - High fluctuating 2 - Early expanding 3 - Late expanding 4 - Low fluctuating 5 - Declining
What happens in stage 1 of the DTM?
1) Birth rate is high because there is no birth control
2) Its also high as there is high infant mortality, so people have more children to replace those who have died
3) Death rate is high and life expectancy is low because there is poor health care, sanitation and diet
What happens in stage 2 of the DTM?
1) Death rate falls but birth rate is still high - population increases rapidly
2) Birth rate is high for labour reasons - family members have to work, a larger family will earn more money
3) Death rate falls and life expectancy increases due to improved health care
What happens in stage 3 of the DTM?
1) Birth rate decreases due to increases use of birth control
2) Birth rate also drops because the economy moves towards manufacturing - fewer children are needed to work on farms
3) Birth rate falls further because more women want to work rather than stay at home to have children
4) Some countries introduce government policies to reduce birth rate
What happens in stage 4 of the DTM?
1) Birth rate stays low because increased access and demand for luxuries means there is less money available for having children
2) Also children are not needed for working on farms so people have fewer children
What happens in stage 5 of the DTM?
1) Birth rate declines further while death rate stays the same
2) Birth rate decreases because children are expensive to raise and many people have dependent elderly relatives.
3) Death rate remains steady
Give examples of countries in each stage of the DTM
Stage 1 - Tribes in rainforests of Brazil Stage 2 - Nepal Stage 3 - Egypt Stage 4 - UK Stage 5 - Japan
What 4 characteristics do MEDCs have?
1) Low birth rate
2) Low death rate
3) Long life expectancy
4) Slow population growth
What problems can being in stage 5 cause?
1) There are too few children to replace the current, ageing workforce
2) A smaller population means a reduction in spending, which could cause the economy to slow down
3) There are fewer taxpayers, so there’s less money for services. This is made worse by increasing cost of services for the elderly (more old people means more money needed for health care and pensions).
When was the UK in stage 1 of the DTM?
about 1760 - population was small e.g. 6 million in 1700. Poor diet and hygiene as well as wars and diseases such as cholera caused a high death rate, which cancelled out the high birth rate.
When was the UK in stage 2 of the DTM?
1760-1880 - population was 5 times greater by the 1880s. Improvements in farming and medicine reduced starvation and disease, so death rate fell. Birth rate remained high and the economy grew quickly. Urban populations grew rapidly.
When was the UK in stage 3 of the DTM?
1880-1940 - Population was still growing but at a slower rate. Birth control improved and was used more often so birth rate fell. Death rate continued to fall as food supply, medicine etc all improved.
When was the UK in stage 4 of the DTM?
1940-today - Population growth has slowed down - 56 million by 1981. Death rate was low and birth rate was low.
When was the UK in stage 5 of the DTM?
Today+ - Death rate is almost exactly the same as birth rate and population is ageing - pensioners outnumber children. By 2030 a quarter of the UKs population could be over 65. Population could begin to decline if birth rate drops below death rate.
What are the advantages of the DTM?
1) Gives a good generalised picture of how a population can change over time
2) Easy to compare a country with the DTM - if you know about its birth and death rates you can analyse what stage on the DTM it is at.
3) You can forecast how population may change in the future - this will help to implement policies and immigration laws.
What are the disadvantages of the DTM?
1) It is Eurocentric - original data was from more developed countries like European countries. This means that the model may not be valid worldwide, what happened in these countries might not be the same as what happens in other countries.
2) The original DTM only had 4 stages - the 5th was added recently
3) Population in countries with different customs may change in different ways e.g. Catholicism condemns contraception
4) The DTM can’t predict exactly when countries will reach each stage, or how long each stage will last
5) It doesn’t consider migration- international migration can have large effects on population change.
6) Other factors can affect the population so the DTM no longer fits