Prelim Flashcards
(44 cards)
the study of how emotions, habits, and thinking patterns affect the way people make financial decisions.
It challenges traditional finance by recognizing that investors often act irrationally due to psychological and emotional biases. It integrates psychology and sociology to explain real-world financial behaviors.
Behavioral Finance
assumes people always act rationally with money.
It is based on the assumption that individuals are rational, always make optimal decisions, and aim to maximize utility.
Traditional financial
Key concepts of Behavioral Finance
- Impulsive spending
- Peer influence and social pressure
- Fear of missing out
- Difficulty saving money
- Overconfidence in financial decisions
- Mental accounting
Buying things without thinking, often because of emotions or advertisements. - Example: Purchasing the latest gadget just because it looks cool, without checking if it’s necessary.
- Why it matters: Impulse buying can lead to financial regret and unnecessary expenses.
Impulsive spending
Making financial decisions based on what others are doing.
- Example: Buying expensive clothes or a new phone just to fit in.
- Why it matters: Following trends without thinking can lead to overspending and financial stress.
Peer influence and social pressure
- Feeling the need to spend money to be part of an experience or trend. - Example: Going to an expensive concert even if you can’t afford it, just because friends are going.
- Why it ma?ers: can lead to unnecessary spending and poor financial choices.
Fear of missing out
Choosing immediate rewards over long-term financial security.
- Example: Spending all your money on entertainment instead of saving for future needs.
- Why it ma?ers: Learning to save early builds financial stability and independence.
Difficulty Saving Money
- Thinking you know more about money than you actually do, leading to risky choices.
- Example: Spending all your earnings assuming you’ll always have more money in the future.
- Why it ma?ers: can lead to poor money management and financial problems later.
Overconfidence in Financial Decisions
Treatng money differently based on where it comes from. - Example: Spending gift money freely but being careful with money earned from a job. - Why it ma?ers: Viewing all money equally helps with be?er budge9ng and saving.
Mental accounting
Decision-Making Errors and Biases
Cognitive Bias
Emotional Bias
These biases arise from faulty reasoning or mental shortcuts (heuristics) that can lead to irrational financial decisions.
Cognitive Biases
These biases stem from emotions rather than logical reasoning and often lead to poor financial decisions.
Emotional Biases
Cognitive Biases
- Overconfidence Bias
- Confirmation Bias
- Anchoring bias
- Representativeness bias
- Hindsight bias
- Mental accounting
Investors overestimate their knowledge, skills, or ability to predict the market.
Example: A trader makes risky bets because they believe they can consistently beat the market.
Overconfidence Bias
People seek out and favor information that supports their existing beliefs while ignoring contradictory evidence. · Example: An investor believes a stock will rise and only reads positive news about it while ignoring warning signs.
Confirmation Bias
Investors rely too heavily on initial information (the “anchor”) when making decisions.
Example: An investor refuses to sell a stock that dropped from P100 to P50 because they are anchored to the original purchase price.
Anchoring bias
People assume that past patterns will continue in the future, often leading to wrong conclusions.
· Example: Seeing a stock rise for five days and assuming it will keep rising indefinitely.
Representativeness bias
Investors believe that past events were predictable, even though they weren’t.
Example: After a stock market crash, people say, “I knew this would happen!”—even though they didn’t act on it before
Hindsight bias
Treating money differently based on its source or intended use. ·
Example: Splurging a lottery win but being frugal with salary income, even though it’s all money.
Mental accounting
Emotional Biases
- Loss aversion
- Herd mentality
- Regret aversion
- Status quo bias
- Self-control bias
People fear losses more than they value equivalent gains (also known as Prospect Theory).
· Example: Holding onto a losing stock because selling it would make the loss “real,” even though it’s better to cut losses.
Loss aversion
Investors follow the crowd, assuming that the majority must be right.
· Example: Buying a stock just because “everyone else is doing it” (leading to bubbles).
Herd mentality
Fear of making the wrong choice leads to inaction or poor decisions. ·
Example: Not investing in the stock market because of fear of losing money, even though long-term investing builds wealth.
Regret aversion