Public Opinion Flashcards

1
Q

what is public opinion ?

A

collection of attitudes and preferences of the mass public

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2
Q

Politicians must balance between being a ___ and a _____.

A

a trustee and a delegate.

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3
Q

The relationship between the public and government is what problem ?

A

principal-agent problem

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4
Q

What is rationality ?

A

habit of choosing the best choice among available options, given a person’s interests and information.

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5
Q

What are straw polls ?

A

early attempt to predict election results (not scientifically valid)

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6
Q

How to measure public opinion ?

A

Through random selection

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7
Q

When are polls more accurate ?

A

when they are closer to the election.

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8
Q

In a typical presidential election poll, what is the margin of error ?

A

around 1.5 percent

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9
Q

Samples are biased when they do not reflect the population with 100% accuracy….

A

 Self-selection
 Phones and random digit dialing
 Nonresponse

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10
Q

what is question wording ?

A

The way questions are worded can introduce other kinds of biased responses in opinion polling.

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11
Q

what are Alternatives Methods to Surveys ?

A

Intensive interviews
 Focus groups
 Listening to everyday conversations
 Experiments
 Brain imaging (MRIs)
 Genetic makeup

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11
Q

what is push pulling ?

A

surveys or polls in which respondents are given information before answering an opinion question about a candidate, party, or political issue, where the information is given with the intention of influencing the opinion expressed.

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12
Q

Where do Political Attitudes Come From?

A

Socialization

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13
Q

Material interests are often correlated with what ? exception ?

A

political attitudes
- sometimes people have attitudes that seemingly conflict with their material interests

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14
Q

public opinion research often assumes people are not always ____?

A

rational

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15
Q

_____ guide individuals’ political attitudes and opinions, often conflicting with ______.

A

Group interests
self-interests

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15
Q

Positive ads with emotional images and music _______.

A

polarize viewers

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16
Q

negative ads with disturbing images and tense music _____.

A

reduce confidence in convictions

17
Q

What is priming ?

A

psychological process of shaping people’s perceptions of a particular issue, figure, or policy. (Remember: Primining is PRIOR)

18
Q

What is framing ?

A

Establishing the context for an issue in such as way as to emphasize certain aspects over others.

19
Q

What 2 things are long-term predispositions that shape opinions towards politicians and government policies ?

A

ideology and partisanship

20
Q

What is ideological “constraint.” ?

A

Preferences on one policy may correlate with preferences on another.

21
Q

What is the best predictor of how someone would vote in a congressional or presidential election ?

A

party identification

22
Q

Survey research shows that party identification is generally stable or unstable ?

A

stable with some changes over time, but most individuals retain their party loyalties throughout adulthood.

23
Q

Which opinions are more amenable to change and may be shaped by a number of factor ?

A

opinions toward current events and the policies of the government

24
Q

Surveys reveal that a significant number of Americans ____ factual understanding of their government, other countries’ governments, and world affairs.

A

lack

25
Q

What is a significant predictor of how presidents will perform in their reelection efforts and relationship with Congress ?

A

Presidential approval rating

26
Q

What evaluations do people often giving Congress as a whole vs their individual representatives or senators ?

A

negative evaluations of Congress as a whole
positive evaluations of their individual representatives or senators.

27
Q

How many American adults cannot name the chief justice of the Supreme Court ? the vide-president ? which party controls the U.S. House ?

A

2/3 chief justice of the Supreme Court,
1/3 the vide-president
1/3 which party controls the U.S. House

28
Q

What is Non-attitude ?

A

lack of opinion on an issue or very weak opinion

29
Q

Political ignorance has remained ______ since the 1950s.

A

constant

30
Q

What is Rational Ignorance ?

A

people can engage in political ignorance by free riding off those who are knowledgeable about politics.

30
Q

Commentators in the early to mid-twentieth century feared that ignorance could lead to what ? (3)

A

support for oppressive policies, authoritarian leadership, and fascism

31
Q

How to accurately estimate populations’ opinions on policies and politicians, and for research into whether people are embarrassed to give certain answers ?

A

giving full options including “don’t know” and “no answer”

32
Q

Comparing public opinion ? why the difference ?

A

Americans’ ideologies not as widely spread on the spectrum from far left to far right as in other countries with similar levels of economic development and democracy.

  • United States’ foundation on principles transcending ethnicity, religion, and class,
    whereas other countries were organized along ethnic or religious lines.
33
Q

The United States is significantly more _____ than countries with similar wealth and economic development.

A

religious (85%)

34
Q

What does Cramer say ?

A
  • Rural consciousness: Sense of injustice over the distribution of power and resources and + resentment about a lack of power compared to city people
35
Q

What does Jardina say ?

A

Distinction between two types of white racial attitudes:
1. out-group racial resentment

  1. in-group racial identity and solarity
    *linked to preference for trump (as well as those w/ Racial resentment)
36
Q

Literary Digest mailed out millions of sample ballots to its readers months before a presidential election and then recorded responses from those completed and returned. From 1920 through 1932, these ______ predicted election results quite accurately, including the margins of victory.
A. Straw polls
B. Push polls
C. State polls
D. Social surveys
E. Sample surveys

A

A. Straw polls

37
Q

What were the three main predictors for support for Trump in 2016?

A

Party ID, Racial Resentment, and Hostility between the Genders

38
Q

Many people express opinions and attitudes in surveys that are inconsistent with their own personal material interests but are in accordance with collective interests. For example, quite a few wealthy African Americans support more liberal social welfare policies than their wealthy white counterparts. This is an example of _____.
A. Socialization
B. Irrationality
C. Group attachment
D. Social connectedness
E. Racial consciousness

A

C. Group attachment

39
Q

Ideology and partisanship are two fundamental _____ that are usually long term and shape people’s opinions toward specific politicians and government policies.
A. Attitudes
B. Values
C. Predispositions
D. Worldviews
E. Opinions

A

C. Predispositions

40
Q

Through careful analysis, scholars have shown that government policy changes in a liberal or conservative direction on economic policy come ______ public opinion mood changes in the ______ direction.
A. Before; same
B. After; same
C. Before; opposite
D. After; opposite
E. Concurrently; same

A

B. After; same