Qual Info Flashcards
Cognitive Errors
-Related to the way the brain functions, processes, and files info, forms memories or makes judgements, and the difficulty of complete mathematical understanding
-9 Types categorized into Belief Perserverance Biases (5) and Info Processing errors (4)
Emotional Biases
Related to emotional, motivational, and social influences, or to human needs
Belief Perserverance Biases
-A cognitive error category
-Holding on to previous irrational and illogical beliefs
1) Conservatism
2) Confirmation
3) Representativeness
4) Illuision of control
5) Hindsight
Information Processing Errors
-A cognitive error category
-Misusing and the irrational/wrongful processing of info in financial decisions
1) Anchoring and adjustment
2) Mental Accounting
3) Framing
4) Availability
Cognitive Dissonance
-Closely related to various aspects of Belief Perserverance Bias
-A type of mental discomfort which occurs when new info conflicts with previously held beliefs or information
Conservatism Bias
-Belief Perserverance Bias
-Occurs when individuals fail to update perceptions to reflect new info. People assign more weight to previous beliefs and smaller weight to new info
Confirmation Bias
-Belief Perserverance Bias
-People notice what confirms their beliefs and ignore (or discount) info that contradicts/could change their beliefs
Representative Bias
-Belief Perserverance Bias
-Occurs when people classify new info based on previous experiences
-Ppl attempt a best fir into a existing classification
Base-Rate Neglect
-Part of representative bias, which is a belief perseverance bias
-Investors overreact to new info on a company without considering the underlying base probability of an event
-e.g. investors discover info leading them to believe comp is in growth phase when other evidence suggests a low prob of any comp being a growth comp
Sample-Size Neglect
-Part of representative bias, which is a belief perseverance bias
-Investors draw a conclusion that the entire population is similar to a very small sample
Illusion of Control Bias
-Belief Perserverance Bias
-Occurs when FMPs believe they have more control over a situation than they actually have
Anchoring and Adjustment Bias
-Info Processing Error
-Describes how people base their initial forecast on some past experience (anchor) and adjust that estiamte as new info presents itself, but initial anchor dominates the final prediction
Mental Accounting Bias
-Info Processing Error
-When investors assign different levels of importance to different “pots” of money
Framing Bias
-Info Processing Error
-Exhibit this when they answer the same question differently depending on how it is asked
Availability Bias
-Info Processing Error
-Occurs when people overestimate the probability of event occuring based on “availability” of their memory of the event (i.e. how easily the event comes to mind)
Emotional Biases
-May be harder to control bc they originate from unconscious influences rather than conscious calculation (as in cognitive errors)
1) Loss Aversion Bias
2) Overconfidence Bias
3) Self-control bias
4)status quo bias
5) Endowment bias
6) Regret-aversion bias
Loss Aversion Bias
-Emotional Bias
-Occurs when investors make decisions designed to avoid losses rather than to seek gains
Overconfidence Bias
-Emotional Bias
-Occurs when people overestimate their knowledge, abilities, or access to info and consequently have too much faith in their intuition, reasoning, or judgement
Self-Control Bias
-Emotional Bias
-Occurs when FMPs fail to support their long-term goals with short-term behavior
Status Quo Bias
-Emotional Bias
-Results primarily from inertia rather than conscious choice. Change is often uncomfortable for people and if no problem is apparent they will prefer not to make changes
Endowment Bias
-Emotional Bias
-People attach more value to the assets they own/inherit than assets they dont own
Regret Aversion Bias
-Emotional Bias
-Investors resist situations that require a decision for fear of a negative outcome
5-Way Model (BB&K)
-Classifies indvs based on level of confidence (y-axis) and method of action (x-axis)
Adventurer
-5 Way BBK Model (Confident, impetuous)
-Confident in decisions and willing to take changes, makes him reluctant to accept advice