QUANTITATIVE METHODS Flashcards

most important (28 cards)

1
Q

Type 1 and type 2 Errors

A

Type 1 error: reject the null when it’s actually true (false positive)

Type 2 error: keep the null when it’s actually false (false negative)

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2
Q

confidence Interval (CL)

A

A range that Probably contains the true value

CI = X +- Z

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3
Q

Agency Problem

A

Conflict between managors (agents) and shareholders (owners)

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4
Q

Working Capital

A

Current assets - current liabities

Why important: measures liquidity and short term financial heath.

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5
Q

Z - Score

A

Tell how far a nalue is from the mean, in standard deviation

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6
Q

Sharpe Ratio

A

how much extra return you get for the risk you take

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7
Q

Geometric Mean

A

Used for groth rates over time (like yearly Investment returns). it shows the true average return with compounding

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8
Q

Arithmetic Mean

A

Basic Kind of average. add all the numbers divide by how many numbers

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9
Q

Future Value (FV)

A

FV=PV×(1+r)
n

PV: Present Value

r: Interest rate per period

n: Number of periods

Present Value (PV)

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10
Q

Probability Rules

Addition Rule:

A

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)

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11
Q

Z - Score

A

How far a number is from the mean.

F: Z= (your value - mean) / STD Deviation

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12
Q

Probability Rules

Multiplication Rule:

A

P(A∩B)=P(A)⋅P(B∣A)

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13
Q

Probability Rules

Expected Value (Mean)

A
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14
Q

Variance of a Random Variable

A
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15
Q

Normal Distribution

A

Bell-shaped, symmetric

68% within 1 SD, 95% within 2 SDs, 99.7% within 3 SDs

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16
Q

Z-Score

17
Q

Lognormal Distribution

A

Used for asset prices

Positively skewed

Cannot be negative

18
Q

Central Limit Theorem

A

For large samples, the sampling distribution of the mean is approximately normal, even if population isn’t.

19
Q

Standard Error of the Mean

20
Q

Hypothesis Testing
Hypotheses

A

Null (H₀): No effect or difference

Alternative (H₁): What we want to prove

21
Q

Test Statistic (Z-test or T-test)

22
Q

p-value

A

The probability of obtaining a test statistic more extreme than the one observed, assuming H₀ is true.

23
Q

Type I vs. Type II Errors

A

Type Meaning
Type I Rejecting H₀ when it’s true (False Positive)
Type II Failing to reject H₀ when it’s false

24
Q

Technical Analysis Basics

A

Support Level: Price at which demand prevents decline

Resistance Level: Price at which supply prevents rise

Moving Average: Smooths price data over time

Momentum Indicators: Identify strength of trends

25
Covariance
26
Correlation Coefficient
27
Simple Linear Regression Equation
Y=a+bX+ϵ b (slope): Change in Y for 1 unit change in X R² (coefficient of determination): % of variation explained by model
28