R1- Capital Market Expectations Flashcards
(11 cards)
Steps for formulating market expectations (7)
Exogenous shoks
Are unanticipated events that occur outside the normal course of an economy.
F- long term growth
Fill the blanks: advantage of leading indicalators are ______
Help predict future path of the economy.
Check list aproach
List of questions that should indicate the future growth of the economy.
The (5) business cycle:
Comportament of inflation, bonds, equities during business cycle
F- tailor rule
Tips short term should be the interest rates given central bank expectations
Used for central bank policies
F- fiscal and trade balance
What’s the most predominant country effect or industry effect in context of global equity markets
Country effect > industry effect