Random Flashcards
(58 cards)
Strategic Asset Allocation
- Decide what proportion of of portfolio in broad asset classes taking into account
Risk
Market conditions
Diversification
Liquidity
Investment time horizon
-Then follow top down
Works based on EMH and is for long term investing.
Tactical asset allocation
Also known as market timing.
Allows investment manager to move range of each asset classes depending on market
E.g
Cash 10-20%
Bonds 10-40%
Equities 45-75%
Total 100%
Bull or Bear market
Bull - Investors/market as a whole are positive
Bear “ “ “ negative
E.g.
Fixed income - if investment manager bullish… take longer duration bonds
Equities - bull increase exposure to higher beta stock
Derivatives-
Bull - buy call options or go long
Bear - buy puts or go short
Business cycle names and characteristics
Recovery/acceleration - sluggish output, weak profits, interest rates and inflation falling
Boom - fast growth, inflation rises & interest rates increase to dampen demand
Slowdown - growth slows, inflation high, central banks reluctant to cut rates. Sales drop & unemployment rises
Recession - output sluggish, weak profits. Inflation & interest rates falling.
Recession is 2 quarters of negative inflation.
Depression sometimes happens when trough low and high level of business failure
Types of inflation (3 main types)
3 main types
Demand pull - companies charge more because they can as people have more spare money.
Cost pull - low supply of goods, companies charge more as they have less to sell but still need to make a profit.
Built in - caused by expectation. Employees see prices rise,
they ask for pay rises
Companies have to put prices up
Types of risk
Volatility
Capital/credit risk - (default, downgrade, credit spread, counter party & Bail-in)
Liquidity risk
Event risk
Interest rate risk
Gearing risk
Inflation risk
Currency risk
Shortfall risk
Systemic/non-systemic risk
Market risk
Political risk
Regulatory risk
Concentration
Style (e.g. Value out of favour)
Manager
Default risk
Valuation risk
Bond duration and how it moves with changes in interest rate
Bonds have an inverse relationship with interest rates. The duration measures how sensitive the bond is.
If a bond has a duration of 5 and interest rates go up by 1% the bond would go down by 5%.
Top down investment order
Asset allocation
Sector selection
Stock selection
Stochastic Modelling (Monte Carlo Simulation)
Asset allocation based economic model.
Predicts probable outcomes for different investments.
Major cause of 07/08 financial crisis as practitioners used overly optimistic assumptions
Should be reviewed quarterly
Friendly Society contributions & tax treatment
£300 if paid monthly (or more frequently that annually e.g quarterly)
Annual max £270 pa
Tax
Interest dividends and capital gains tax free in the fund and investment growth tax free
EIS, VCT & SEIS
[IT relief]. EIS. VCT. SEIS
Max inv £2,m* £200k £200k
relief 30% 30% 50%
Holding 3y 5y 3y
1yr bck? Y. N Y
Tax div? Y. N. Y
CGT gains 3y. Y. 3y. CGT def Y N (50%)
Business PR. 2yr N. 2yr
*Knowledge intense
Benefits of GIA over bond
Wider range of investments
No underlying tax
Gains CGT (lower rate)
Uses CGT annual exemption
CGT rebalances on death
Bed & ISA available
Simple
Value investing
- Bottom up
- FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS to identify undervalued stock
- Contrarian view - considers out of favour
- Places emphasis on dividends and high div cover
- Focus on low P/E or PEG
- Assumes market not efficient
- Assumes prices will correct over time
Long term approach
Growth investing
- Bottom up
-Tries to identify stock with potential for above average growth - Ignores valuation/fund analysis
- High P/E or PEG
- lower reliance on dividends & div cover
What is Regression Analysis
Regression analysis is a set of statistical methods used for the estimation of relationships between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables
It plots a straight line through a scatter chart
Can predict impact of economic changes or establish beta in multi factor
Features of NS & I income bond
Paid gross monthly
Taxes as savings income (PSA)
Investment, min £500 - max £1,000,000
Can invest jointly (max is per person)
Instant access (penalty free)
Can’t accumulate
Interest variable
Green savings bond
Locked in for 3 years
Interest rolled up and paid in final year
Fixed rate
Lower interest than income bond
Invest between £100 - £100,000
Difference between Managed Portfolio Service (MPS) & Fund of Funds (FoF)
FoF 1 fund & MPS collection
FoF trades within fund, MPS as investor
FoF no CGT on trades
FoF investor can control CGT on encashment & MPS CGT on each trade
3 main types of benchmark
Constraint - Used to limit the construction of the portfolio
Target - Used to match/exceed performance
Comparator - compare performance/risk
Difference between AIM admission & UK main market
Aim no min capitalisation, main £30 m
AIM no min earnings, main 3yrs revenue record
AIM no min free float - main 10%
AIM no admission docs - main market prospectus
AIM nominated advisor- main, listing sponsor
GARRP
Lower P/E /PEG ratio than growth
Pays only fair price
A mix of value & growth investing
REIT
UK resident
Close ended
Property rental ring fenced at least 75% of total profit and total value of assets
Interest on borrowing covered 125% by rent
Distribute 90% of exempt profits within 12m
Property income distribution (PID)
Paid net 20% tax
PSA not available
Dividend paid gross
Things that can change a companies share price other than the market
Economic outlook
Political/tax/regulation changes
Investor sentiment
Supply & demand
Credit rating
Takeover activity
Profit/earning expectations
Capital event
Dividend expectations
Change of management
Competitors
Fraud
Inclusion or removal from index
Types of preference share and characteristic
Cumulative - Has right to unpaid dividends (arrears) carried over
Participating - Additional dividend linked to company profit
Redeemable - Repayable by the company
Convertible - Convertible to ordinary shares on pre-set terms