Sales forecasting Flashcards
(11 cards)
define sales forecasting
the process of predicting future sales levels
What could the reliability of sales forecasting depend on
- expertise of forecasters
- how far into the future
- amount of data available
- volatility of the market
what are the methods of sales forecasting both Qualitative and Quantitative
- Time series analysis
- 3 point moving average
- Extrapolation
- Delphi method
- Intuition
- Brainstorming
Explain Time series analysis
taking sales figures from various points in time and using them to make predictions
Explain a 3 point moving average
using the previous 3 sales values and creating an average to figure out what the next value would be
Explain extrapolation
using a graph and continuing previous trends to predict the future
What is intuition
making a prediction based on a feeling
What is the Delphi method
sending out a questionnaire to a panel of experts then assessing data and sending out another one until a consensus is reached
What is brainstorming
the process of bringing a group of people together to give share their ideas
Evaluate the Delphi method
Pros
- uses experts
- multiple rounds to ensure accuracy
Cons
- Lots of time taken
- Payment could lead to uncertainty
- External factors