SECTION 3 Flashcards
(218 cards)
The resource curse can be defined by ________, the symptoms are ________ (6)
super abundance of resource cause inflation and lack of investment in other sectors Symptoms: resources wealth, slow growth, high poverty, poor governance, work states, revolution and conflict
What are the causes of the resource curse
income volatility, rent seeking, patronage, and living off the land, Dutch disease
The problem of resource abundance is not in its ________, its in ________
presence/quantity the RENTS generated by the richness
What are the 3 causes of Income Volatility in resource curse
- commodity price variation (it can vary very rapidly and make it difficult to manage)
- -rate of extraction (first very high than would decrease through time)
- Timing of receipt ( government payments modes varying)
What are the consequences of Income Volatility in resource curse
- -Cycles of economic boom and bust -
- Government spending is cyclical
- -Borrowing money during boom times
Define the political economy of rent seeking
- want to tap into the stream of wealth generated by oil - regular market is stifle- political economy is centred only on rent capture, which creates corruption
What are the two paired factors in rent seeking, patronage, and living off the land Define them
-Overconsumption (living off the oil capital, spending the generated oil capital) -Underinvestment (In human capital, no school built, spending only to maintain position of power because wealth does not come from educated people)
What are the symptoms of dutch disease
-Booming resource sector -Inflation and Currency appreciation (overvalued) -Withering manufacturing/agricultural sector
What is the boom dynamic
the non-boom sector is not doing well because people what to work in the oil sector
Where does the term “dutch disease” comes from
In the 1960, Netherlands discovered gas but then the economy did not benefit (manufacturing and agri sector declining)
What are the economic causes of the dutch disease
- boom vs non-boom sector
- Tradable vs nontradeables (?)
- Resource allocation effect (Shifting of capital and labor into the boom sector )
- Spending effect ( arises because there is more money so people buy more but are investing on import, not the helping the local economy
Resource allocation effect and Spending effect cause _________
deform the economy around the boom sector (both private and state capital)
The resource curse makes the economy ____________
more and more vulnerable to the price of the resource
What is an example of the downfall of a boom economy
Case of Amazon rubber boom (huge boom until the price of rubber falls, the economy around the sector - 3 decades of development vanish away)
What are Norway’s strategy to avoid the resource curse
- Sovereign wealth fund (one of the most important fund to this day- used to set aside the oil generated resources, this money can not be in vested in anything but oil activities)
- High taxations of oil profits (78% tax rate, State very involved in oil- it delays the development of oil field)
- Collective and transparent wage negotiations via government ( determining wage rates)
- Protection of manufacturing sector ( invested in the manufacturing sector related to oil- invest in people who can help oil extortion, became a world leader in explorations)
Why is norway an exceptional case
- small coutures,
- strong democracy,
- low corruption,
- media scrutiny,
- strong legal system
- accountable bureaucracy
What is the resource situation in Nigeria
oil sectors brings massive wealth but the average person gets little and less through time- poverty incidence increased as more money came into the country
What are the options for Nigeria
- sovereign wealth fund (state being very mad because “poverty” is urgent, need for the fund to be out of the hands of the politicians because if not it will be spent- need to set aside AND protect)
- Transparency and accountability (extractive industries transparency initiative, EITI —> knowing about the flow of money to have a certain level of accountability , but its really hard to get the government and companies to release- facts may not be enough)
- Direct distribution mechanism (Oil2Cash- money distributed to the population and taxable, politicians who tax you are available to you) -
- Unconditional vs condition cash transfers - it is hard to do while it the political dynamic started
What are the causes of Food price spikes
- The price of oil ; Closely linked tot he price of food because we need fuel to produce food and to transport it
- As the oil price increase (or other fossil fuels), the demand for biofuel would rise as well, affecting the incentive for the farmers to shift from “consumptive food” to produce biofuel like ethanol, by farming sugar cane, maize, etc) cuz wages are better
- Adverse weather (climate shock)
- When the price of food rises, it creates a sort of panic among countries that would motivate them to ban exports (ex ; 6% of the rice is exported)
What are the consequences of food price spikes
-Undernourishment and impoverishment (angels law=spending is constant but in poorest community this spending represents maybe 40% of income spending) -Food riots and revolt (creates unrest, a politician nightmare- correlation between wheat prices are social unrest, Haiti, Madagascar, Bread in Arab Spring. ) -Greater policy attention (investing in agriculture)
Describe dietary transition
income increase, middle increase leads to shift from tubers (sweet potato) and coarse grains to cereals + shift from plant based to animal products
Describe changes in food retailing
advent of supermarkets (example of South-America) = increase in quality, availability of course and a decrease in the price (especially for less nutritious food), 60% of food in South-America flows through supermarkets (which happened very quickly) - which leads concerns for health- excess weight does not mean wealth anymore, it is caused by cheap junk food amongst other things
What are the sources of growth in terms of food supply
- New land (extensification)
- -Input intensification (more controlled example fertilizers) (example: Green Revolution)
- -Increased total factor productivity, more efficient farming (ratio of total commodity output to total inputs used production, example: precision farming, intimate knowledge of the land)
2 countries that are really good in precision increased productivity
China and Brazil