Seminar 7 Flashcards
FCF (13 cards)
When should FCFF model be used?
- Firm is not paying dividends
- Dividends paid not constant
- Dividends paid differ significantly from firm’s ability to pay div
- FCFF reasonably align with profitability of company
- Investor takes a controlling perspective
What rate should FCFF should be discounted using? + formula
WACC
= (MVdebt / (MVdebt + MVequity) x Kd x (1 - Tax %) + (MVequity / (MVdebt + MVequity) x Ke
Formula for intrinsic value per share using EV
P = Vequity / # of outstanding shares
FCFF v FCFE
FCFF: FCF avail to all suppliers of capital = FCF avail after deducting operating expenses and taxes
- discounted at WACC
FCFE: FCF avail to COMMON shareholders
- discounted at Ke
Process of FCFF model
- Define FCF analysis approach
- Make adjustments to FS (non cash item)
- Calculate FCFx as defined
- Forecast FCF based of historical data and forecast of FCF components
Cash flow adjustment for restructuring charge
Depends on the situation - add back if expense. Sometimes involve real cash outflow.
Formula to derive FCFF from:
1) NI
2) EBIT
3) EBITDA
4) CFO
1) FCFF = NI + Dep + Int exp x (1 - Tax) - InvWC - InvFA
2) FCFF = EBIT x (1 - Tax) + Dep - InvWC - InvFA
3) FCFF = EBITDA x (1 - Tax) + (Dep x Tax) - InvWC - InvFA
4) FCFF = CFO + Int exp x (1 - Tax) - InvFA
CFO formula
CFO = NI + Dep/NCA - ∆WC
FCFE formula
- from FCFF
- NI
- OCF
FCFE = FCFF - Int x (1 - Tax) + Net borrowings
= NI + Dep - InvWC - InvFA + Net borrowings
= OCF - InvFA + Net borrowings
Forecast FCFF/FCFE formula
FCFF = EBIT x (1 - Tax) - Capex - WC
FCFE = NI - incre(CapEx & WC) x (1 - DR), where DR is the target debt financing ratio
= NI - incr(WC + Capex) + Net Borrowings
Debt ratio formula
Debt / Assets
Single stage constant growth FCF valuation formulas
FCFF
1) FCFF1 = FCFF0 x (1 + g)
2) EV = [FCFF0 x (1 + g)] / (WACC - g)
FCFE
3) FCFE1 = FCFE0 x (1 + g)
2) Vequity = [FCFE x (1 + g)] / (WACC - g)
2 stage FCFE model vuluation - how to calculate
- does FCFE growth rate pattern follow sales growth rate
- calculate normally, no formula
- FCFE growth does not follow sales growth rate as incre WC and Capex decrease sharply in the 1st year of the new (lower) growth rate – the rest of the years FCFE growth rate follow sales growth rate