Statistical Analysis Flashcards
(21 cards)
In a lottery the probability of the jackpot prize being won is 1/60.
a) What is the probability that the jackpot will be won in 4 consecutive draws?
b) How many consecutive draws need to be made for there to be a greater than 98% chance that at least one jackpot prize will have been won.
a) 60^(-4)
b) 233
Jack and Ben have been tracking their success rate of converting goals in their rugby games. Jack converts 70% of his goals and Ben converts 60%. At a recent home game, both get a kick, but only one converts his goal. What is the probability that it was Ben?
= 0.46/0.18
≈ 0.3913
= 39.13%
What does P(X=x) mean?
Probability that a random variable X takes the value of x
Which type of experiment has one possible outcome?
Deterministic Experiment
Which type of experiment has more than one possible outcome?
Random Experiment
What is p(x)
P(X=x)
How is expected value denoted/written in math?
E(X)
Formula of E(X) using weighted mean?
E(X) = Σxp(x)
Formula for mean (μ)?
μ = Σxp(x)
Variance Formula?
Var(X) = Σ(x-μ)²p(x)
Variance Formula?
Var(X) = E((X-μ)²)
Variance Formula?
Var(X) = Σx²p(x)-μ²
Variance Formula
Var(X) = E(X²)-μ²
Standard Deviation Formula?
σ = √(Var(X))
How is relative frequency written?
f_r
How is the mean denoted in sampling?
x̄
How is variance written in sampling?
s²
How is standard deviation written in sampling?
s
A study of fatal car accidents found that out of 2345 car accidents in 2018, 1980 of them were due to speed. Of those car accidents that were due to speed, 1452 of them were caused by drivers under the age of 25. A total of 1617 accidents were caused by drivers under the age of 25.
What is the probability that a fatal accident by a driver over 25 was not caused by speed?
0.27
Billy and Tom take penalty kicks in rugby. Billy converts 60% of the kicks he takes, and Tom converts 55% of his kicks.
Last week, Billy and Tom each had one kick, but only one of them converted. What is the probability that Billy made the successful kick?
27/49
Penny plays a game by rolling 2 red dice and 1 blue die. She wins if the blue die lands inside the values of the red dice. For example, if the red dice land on 1 and 4, Penny wins if the blue die lands on 2 or 3.
What is the probability that Penny wins the game?
5/27