study designs and measures Flashcards
(30 cards)
Define risk
Measure of probability of an event occurring in a defined population in a given period of time.
(events/ population at potential risk)
Define risk difference
risk in exposed - risk in unexposed. Also known as attributable risk.
Define relative risk
Relative risk is a ratio of the probability of an event occurring in the exposed group versus the probability of the event occurring in the non-exposed group.
2 measure: risk ratio and rate ratio.
What is risk ratio?
Risk in exposed group / risk in control group (as proportions).
Interpret as: Exposed group have x times greater risk of …… compared to the control group.
RR of 1 = no difference in outcome between the groups.
What is rate ratio?
Frequency of events in time period / number at risk of event during time period.
Interpreted like risk ratios,
In what study do we use risk ratio and rate ratios?
Cohort and clinical trials
Why can we not use risk ratios in case-control studies? How do we measure risk instead?
We do not know what the prevalence is relative to the population at risk.
Instead we use odds and compare groups using odds ratio.
How do we calculate odds ratio?
Odds of exposure in cases / odds of exposure in controls (A/C) / (B/D)
In general, how do we interpret odds ratios?
In the case group, the odds of exposure to suspected RF is … times greater than than the odds in the controls group. This appears strong evidence of association.
What does an OR of 1.0 mean?
An odds ratio of 1.0 means that exposure to the RF is equal in both the case and control groups.
How do you calculate the confidence interval for a risk or rate ratio?
- lnRR
- Standard error
- Margin of error (1.96 x SE)
- Confidence interval (RR -ME) to (RR + ME)
- e^x
What types of data do we use chi squared for?
Categorical data
When is chi squared used?
For testing hypotheses comparing groups to see whether there is any association between variables.
How does chi square test work>
You are comparing what you observe to an idealised prediction model and to see how much our observations differ from our predicted model.
When do you use Fisher’s exact test?
Instead of chi squared, when samples are small. 80% of expected values should be greater than 5 and none less than 1.
What is the p-value?
The probability that the null hypothesis is correct.
What is a cohort study?
Two groups, one exposed to RF and one not. Followed over time, see the outcome. See if a RF is causally related to health. Studies development of a disease.
What types of research questions can be asked in a cohort study?
What is the prevalence of a disease in a population?
What is the relative risk? What is the association between RF and outcome?
When would you use a cohort study?
To see if exposure to something causes disease.
How do you present results of a cohort study?
Calculate risk ratio or rate ratio.
What are the advantages and limitations of a cohort study?
Advantages:
- measure development of a disease.
- calculate incidence (if prospective) and prevalence
- look at multiple exposures
- samples not biased by knowledge of outcome
- easier to assess cause-effect
Limitations:
- time consuming
- behavioural changes over time
- change in measurement/diagnostic procedures
- selection bias
- loss to follow-up
- attrition bias
- not suitable for rare conditions
What is a cross-sectional survey?
Survey taken at a specific point in time to provide a ‘snapshot’ of a population. Prevalence of a disease, health, attitudes etc.
What types of measurements can be used in a cross-sectional survey?
questionnaires, diagnostic samples, interviews
What types of research questions can you use in cross-sectional studies?
Prevalence of ‘insert disease’ in x area.