The 1997 GE Flashcards

1
Q

What was the conservative maj following 1992

A

23

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2
Q

When was the last time the conservatives had had a worse electoral defeat than 1997

A

1906

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3
Q

In which GE did Labour record their largest electoral victory

A

1997

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4
Q

Seats won

A

Labour - 418

Conservative - 165

Lib Dem - 46

Other - 30

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5
Q

Seat change since 1992

A

Labour - +145

Conservative - -165

Lib Dem - +30

Others - +6

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6
Q

% of votes won

A

Labour - 43

Conservatives - 31

Lib Dem - 17

Others - 9

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7
Q

% vote swing since 1992

A

Labour - +9

Conservative - -11

Lib Dem - -1

Others - +3

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8
Q

What did Blair and the New Labour leadership realise about the working class vote

A

They recognised that the trad working class, Labour’s core vote, was diminishing in size and the party could no longer rely on it to get them into power; it simply did not have enough votes

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9
Q

How did the Blair and the New Labour leadership respond to this pressure to shift away from the working class vote

A

Decided to woo the middle classes, part of the conservative core vote, by adopting centrist third way policies. This was achieved to great effect. The young were also persuaded to vote Labour as it represented a break from traditional, out of date politics

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10
Q

How was valence and the economy a factor in swinging votes towards Labour

A

The image of the conservative party was tired after having been in power for 18 years and also disunited over the issue of Europe. The conservative had presided over a deep recession in the 1990s, so competence was an issue. In contrast, Labour had no economic recor to defend and appeared to be a younger, fresher party, united around a defineable set of third way policies. The main problem for the conservatives was that the electorate could remember the aforementioned recession and blamed them for it, there was a general sense that the conservatives had mismanaged the economy

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11
Q

How were party leaders a factor

A

Huge contrast. Major seemed grey and weak, whereas Blair was young and attractive with a clear vision and in command of his party. Lib Dem leader Paddy Ashdown also had a positive reputation and this was reflected by a good election for his party

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12
Q

Importance of participation

A

First signs of a long term decline in turnout. 71% figure seems healthy by modern standards but was much lower than typical historical levels. There does not seem to have been any impact on the result, but it was a watershed moment in political participation

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13
Q

Describe the main political issues

A

Two main issues were the NHS and the state of education. Both services had been in decline. Labour promised to make huge investments to raise standards. Brown promised to be a responsible chancellor, an important message considering the Labour reputation as the party of tax and spend. Labour was fortunate enough to preside over a period of economic growth when it came into office, meaning it could pay for the improvements to public services that it had promised

Between 1992-4 the conservatives had been hopelessly divided over the Maastricht Treaty, which transferred large amounts of power to the EU. The hangover from this and the culture of sleaze still loomed ocer rhe party in 1997

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14
Q

How was the campaign duration different

A

It lasted 6 weeks, far longer than the 31 day average going back to 1959

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15
Q

Why did Major call a longer campaign than usual

A

He hoped it would expose Labour divisions and put pressure on Blair

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16
Q

How were both campaigns similar

A

Both campaigns focused on the leaders, touring marginal seats and using campaign buses and planes

17
Q

What did Labour’s campaign focus on

A

Strict and well organised campaign run from the Milibank Media Centre. The use of media soundbites like ‘education, education, education’ helped galvanise the public

18
Q

What did the conservative campaign focus on

A

They focused on fears of Labour restoring TU power and Blair being untrustworthy. They were forced to spend much of their time dealing with issues of sleaze and financial corruption, distracting from its wider campaign

19
Q

What was the key difference in focus between the conservative and labour campaigns

A

The conservatives launched a negative, anti labour campaign, whereas labour launched a positive, pro-Blair campaign

20
Q

Evaluate the impact that the campaigns had

A

They did little to change the results but they did see a big step towards the disciplined, media focused electioneering based on US politics

21
Q

What policies did the conservatives focus on

A

They tried to focus on economic recovery, but the issue of Europe divided the party and dominated, especially due to the prominence of the Referendum Party

22
Q

What policies did Labour focus on

A

Focus on five specific pledges

1) Cut class sizes in schools

2) Introduce fast track punishments for young offenders

3) Cut NHS waiting lists

4) Get 250,000 unemployed under 25s back into work

5) Cut VAT on heating and not raise income tax

All these policies were designed to promote the New Labour Third Way

23
Q

Significance of opinion polls

A

Having been spectacularly wrong in 1992, opinion polls made a more concerted effort to survery a wider cross section of society. They were much more accurate in 1997, but the legacy of distrust from 1992 meant that New Labour did not believe them and kept campaigning as if it might lose. There is also a case for suggesting that by presenting New Labour as the clear favourite to win a large maj , turnout may have been suppressed slightly

24
Q

Describe regional voting in this election

A

Labour made gains across all regions, bucking the trend towards a conservative south and a labour north. The conservatives were wiped out in Scotland and Wales and reduced to only 11 MPs in London, becoming a party of the English suburbs and shires

25
Q

Describe class voting

A

Labour gained across all groups, most notably with C1 (+19%) and C2 (+15%) but the conservative still won the AB vote and the C1 vote was tied

26
Q

Describe gender voting

A

Labour closed the gender gap with men and women equally likely to vote Labour

27
Q

Describe age voting

A

Conservatives remained dominant with the over 65s, but Labour won decisively among all other age groups

28
Q

Describe ethnicity voting

A

Labour beat the conservative among white voters, with 43% of the vote, and BAME voters, with 70% of the vote. The conservatives only got 32% of the white vote and 18% of the BAME vote

29
Q
A