the business cycle Flashcards
(37 cards)
business cycle
series of upward and downward movements in the level of economic activity of a country over a period of months or years.
Two periods of business cycle
Contraction (downswing)
Expansion (upswing)
Expansion (upswing)
the period when economic activity increases. Made up of recovery and prosperity
Contraction (downswing)
a period where the economy is falling. Made of recession and depression
two turning points
Through: Marks the end of a recession or depression. Lower tuning point of the cycle
Peak: Economic activity increases to a certain point and then stops . After the peak economic activity decreases.
peak
The point at which economic activity stops increasing and begins to decrease. upper turning point
how are business cycles measured
from peak to peak and from through to through
Four phases of the cycle
recession
prosperity
recovery and depression
Recession
The negative economic growth rate for two consecutive quarters Business reduce output unemployment increases reduce in income ends with a through
Depression
Depression occurs when a recession happens for a long time
a severe form of recession
The large scale of unemployment and severe shortage of goods and services
Recovery
The economy starts to grow again
Usually starts slow and speeds up over time
Prosperity
increase in economic activity in a country
increase in output and employment rate and wages
Standard of living improves
ends when cycle reaches a peak
Measuring business cycles (5)
Dating system GDP employment growth rate inflation rate production of certain goods and services
Dating system
stats are recorded on a daily weekly and monthly basis and the compiled quarterly
GDP
NB as a measure of the state of the economy
Employment growth rate
shows how many people are employed in a country and if there are any changes in the number of employed
Inflation rate
Shows’ changes in prices
Production of certain goods and services
give an indication of where we are on business cycle
Business cycle indicators
Leading lagging and coincident indicators
reasons for business cycles (10)
exogenous reasons natural disasters political reasons foreign trade weather monetary reasons endogenous reasons investment innovation savings
Effects of business cycles (5)
Changes in aggregate supply and aggregate demand
Changes in economic growth
Changes in the employment rate
Changes in the level of the rate of exchange
effects on people who are economically vulnerable
Leading indicators
Change direction before economy. predict whats gonna happen
Lagging indicators
Change after economy changes. Confirm what has happened
Coincident indicators
change at the same time as the economy changes. Give us the state of the economy