The Economic Cycle (Business cycle) - Stages, characteristics and causes Flashcards

(46 cards)

1
Q

What is the economic cycle also known as?

A

Business Cycle

The economic cycle refers to the fluctuations in economic activity over time, typically characterized by periods of expansion and contraction.

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2
Q

What are the four different stages of the economic cycle?

A
  • Recovery
  • Peak
  • Recession
  • Trough

These stages represent the various phases an economy experiences during its cycle.

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3
Q

What characterizes a boom in the economic cycle?

A

Actual growth is at its peak

A boom indicates strong economic performance, where growth rates are significantly high.

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4
Q

What defines a recession in economic terms?

A

Two successive quarters of negative growth

A recession indicates a decline in economic activity and is a critical phase in the economic cycle.

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5
Q

What does the upward sloping line in the economic cycle diagram represent?

A

Strong, sustained economic growth

This line illustrates the general upward trend of the economy despite fluctuations.

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6
Q

True or False: The economic cycle is completely smooth and consistent.

A

False

The economic cycle consists of fluctuations, indicating periods of both growth and decline.

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7
Q

Fill in the blank: When growth starts to fall from a boom, we can call that a _______.

A

Recession

This transition marks the beginning of a downturn in economic activity.

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8
Q

What happens during the recovery stage of the economic cycle?

A

Economic activity begins to increase

Recovery is characterized by a gradual improvement in economic conditions.

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9
Q

What does the term ‘Trough’ refer to in the economic cycle?

A

The lowest point of economic activity

This stage indicates a significant downturn before recovery begins.

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10
Q

What is the overall goal of the economic cycle?

A

To achieve strong, sustained, and sustainable growth

Sustainable growth is essential for long-term economic stability.

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11
Q

What does a negative gap in the economic cycle indicate?

A

Actual growth losses

A negative gap shows that the economy is underperforming relative to its potential.

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12
Q

What is known as the trough?

A

The worst position from a recession

This marks the lowest point in the economic cycle before recovery begins.

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13
Q

What characterizes a recovery in the economy?

A

When things start to get better

Recovery follows the trough and indicates positive economic growth.

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14
Q

What is a positive output gap?

A

When actual growth is greater than potential growth

Indicates that the economy is performing above its potential capacity.

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15
Q

What is a negative output gap?

A

When actual growth is less than potential growth

Indicates underperformance in the economy compared to its potential.

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16
Q

List the characteristics of the economic cycle during a boom.

A
  • Growth will be rampant
  • Actual growth likely to exceed potential growth
  • Positive output gap in the economy
  • Firms experiencing high profits
  • Unemployment likely to be very low
  • High consumer and business confidence
  • Increased consumer spending
  • High imports due to increased earnings
  • Government benefits from high tax revenues

These factors indicate a thriving economy, but can also lead to inflationary pressures.

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17
Q

True or False: During a boom, firms will likely face high unemployment.

A

False

Unemployment is expected to be very low during a boom due to high demand for labor.

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18
Q

Fill in the blank: When firms are profitable, they need to ______ workers.

A

[employ]

This is to meet the increased production demands during a boom.

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19
Q

What happens to consumer confidence during a boom?

A

It is high

This often drives increased consumer spending in the economy.

20
Q

What type of gap exists when actual growth exceeds potential growth?

A

Positive output gap

This indicates that the economy is outperforming its potential capacity.

21
Q

What defines a recession in economic terms?

A

Two successive quarters of negative GDP growth.

22
Q

What happens to aggregate demand (AD) during a recession?

A

AD declines, leading to a negative output gap.

23
Q

How does a recession affect unemployment?

A

Unemployment rises as firms cut costs and reduce labor demand.

24
Q

What are signs of falling consumer and business confidence during a recession?

A

Less consumer spending, less investment, and lower production.

25
How do house prices and construction behave in a recession?
Both house prices and construction activity tend to fall.
26
27
What is de-stocking and why do firms do it during a recession?
Selling off existing inventory without producing more, to cut costs and clear stock.
28
What happens to inflation during a recession?
Demand-pull inflation decreases due to falling demand.
29
What macroeconomic policies are used to combat a recession?
Lower interest rates, increased government spending, and reduced taxation.
30
Why do imports decrease during a recession?
Lower incomes reduce consumer demand for imported goods.
31
What indicates the start of economic recovery?
Rising consumer and business confidence, and increased spending.
32
How do house prices react in a recovery phase?
House prices typically rise due to increased demand.
33
What happens to investment during recovery?
Businesses invest more in expansion and capital equipment.
34
What role does construction play during recovery?
Construction rises from both business investment and consumer home renovation.
35
Why might loose macroeconomic policies continue during early recovery?
To ensure the economy doesn't slip back into recession.
36
Why does actual economic growth fluctuate instead of rising steadily?
Because of unpredictable economic shocks that disrupt growth, causing recessions and booms.
37
What are economic shocks?
Unexpected events that affect aggregate demand or supply, causing fluctuations in GDP.
38
What are demand-side shocks?
Shocks that affect aggregate demand (AD), such as interest rate hikes or crashes in consumer confidence.
39
Give three examples of demand-side shocks.
Sudden increase in interest rates Cut in government spending Housing market crash
40
What was a major example of a financial demand-side shock?
The 2008–2009 financial market crash, which led to a global recession.
41
How can tax changes cause demand-side shocks?
A sudden rise in income or corporate tax reduces spending and investment, potentially triggering recession.
42
What are supply-side shocks?
Unexpected changes that affect production costs and supply, such as natural disasters or rising raw material costs.
43
Give three examples of supply-side shocks.
Natural disasters or wars Sustained increase in raw material prices Sharp rise in business taxes (e.g. VAT)
44
44
How can a weaker exchange rate cause a supply-side shock?
It makes imported raw materials more expensive, increasing production costs.
45
Can economic shocks be predicted?
No — they are unexpected, which is why the economy doesn’t grow in a smooth upward line.