Theme 2 - The UK Economy Flashcards

1
Q

What is economic growth

A
  • rate of change of output
  • increase in the long term productive potential of the country => increase in amount of goods and services a country produces
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2
Q

How is economic growth measured and shown

A
  • measured by percentage change in real GDP per annum
  • shown through shift of PPF
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3
Q

What is gross domestic product

A
  • GDP
  • standard measure of output
  • allows us to compare countries
  • total value of goods and services produced in a country within a year
  • indicator for standard of living in a country
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4
Q

What is the difference between total GDP and GDP per capita

A
  • total GDP represents overall GDP for the country
  • GDP per capita is total GDP divided by number of people in a country
  • GDP per capita grows if national output grows faster than population over a given time period, so there are more goods and services to enjoy per person
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5
Q

What is the difference between real GDP and nominal GDP

A
  • real GDP strips effects of inflation
  • nominal GDP is inclusive of inflation
  • real values can be described as volume of national income whilst nominal represent value
  • value is equal to volume times current price
  • value of NI is its monetary value at prices of the day while volume is NI adjusted for inflation and expressed as index
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6
Q

How can national income be measured

A
  • gross domestic product
  • gross national income
  • gross national product
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7
Q

What is gross national income (GNI) and how does it measure national income

A
  • value of goods and services produced by a country over a period of time plus net overseas interest payments and dividends
  • means it adds what a country earns from overseas investments and subtracts what foreigners earn in a cost run and send back home from GDP
  • affected by profits from businesses owned overseas and remittances sent home by migrant workers
  • increasingly used due to growing sizes of remittances
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8
Q

What is gross national product (GNP) and how does it measure national income

A
  • value of goods and services produced over a period of time through labour or property supplied by citizens of a country both domestically and overseas
  • means it is value of all goods produced by citizens of a country, whether they live in that country or not
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9
Q

How can comparisons about growth be made overtime

A
  • changing NI shows whether economy grew or shrunk
  • data is compared to other countries to put figures into context
  • figures can also make judgements about economic welfare as growth in NI means rise in living standards
  • important to use real, per capita figures
  • rise in growth may cause rise in GDP but not living standards, providing inaccurate comparisons
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10
Q

How can comparisons about growth be made between countries

A
  • when countries have a difference in population, difference in total GDP doesn’t necessarily mean difference in living standards
  • to make comparison, we work out real GDP per capita
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11
Q

What is purchasing power parities (PPP)

A
  • exchange rate of one currency for another
  • compares how much a typical basket of goods in the country costs compared to one in another
  • better alternative than exchange rates for GDP comparison
  • Big Mac Index
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12
Q

How is using a purchasing power parity comparison useful

A
  • useful when comparing countries as it takes into account cost of living
    => better comparison of living standards
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13
Q

What are problems with using GDP to compare the standard of living

A
  • inaccuracy of data
  • inequalities
  • quality of goods and services
  • comparing currencies
  • spending
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14
Q

How is inaccuracy of data a problem of using GDP to compare standard of living

A
  • some countries are inefficient at collecting or calculating data
  • black market not taken into account
  • does not include home produced services
  • errors in calculating inflation rate
  • methods used to calculate GDP change so can be difficult to compare if different methods used
  • important to take away transfer payments
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15
Q

How are inequalities a problem of using GDP to compare standard of living

A
  • increase in GDP may be due to growth in income of just one group of people
  • therefore growth in NI may not increase living standards everywhere
  • income distribution changes overtime and varies between countries making comparison difficult
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16
Q

How is quality of goods and services a problem of using GDP to compare standard of living

A
  • quality is higher than those 50 years ago but does not reflect real price
  • therefore living standards may have increased more than GDP would suggest
  • improved technology may allow prices to fall, suggesting falling living standards when this is not the case
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17
Q

How is comparing different currencies a problem of using GDP to compare standard of living

A
  • issues over which unit should be used
  • usually converted into US due to size of American economy
  • some argue PPP should be used to take into account impact of differences in cost of living
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18
Q

How is spending of data a problem of using GDP to compare standard of living

A
  • some expenditure does not increase living standards but increases GDP
  • e.g. defence, GDP of UK was higher in WW2 than 1930s as a lot was spent on defence increasing GDP
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19
Q

What is national happiness

A
  • GDP only measures income but other factors affect welfare
  • UN happiness report found seven key factors
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20
Q

What are the key factors found by the UN happiness report on national happiness

A
  • real GDP per capita
  • health
  • life expectancy
  • having someone to count on
  • perceived freedom to make life choices
  • freedom from corruption
  • generosity
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21
Q

What was the measuring national wellbeing report

A
  • report by UK PM in 2010 (David Cameron) measuring how lives are improving
  • found that self reported health, relationship status and employment status most affected personal well being
  • asked 4 questions about life satisfaction, anxiety, happiness and worthwhileness
  • report updated on quarterly basis
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22
Q

What is the relationship between real incomes and subjective happiness

A
  • Easterlin Paradox
  • happiness and income are positively related at low incomes
  • higher levels of income aren’t associated with increases in happiness
  • increasing in consumption of material goods will increase happiness if basic needs aren’t met
  • once basic needs are met, increased consumption won’t increase long term happiness
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23
Q

What does income and happiness depend on

A
  • depends on people around us
  • e.g. richest out of everyone you associate yourself with, you then will be happier than someone with same income but is poorest in group
  • income is linked to social status and higher status makes us happier
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24
Q

What is inflation

A
  • sustained increase in the general level of prices over time, eroding the purchasing power of money
  • low inflation is generally considered better than high
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25
Q

What is deflation

A
  • fall of prices indicating a slowdown in the rate of growth of output in the economy
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26
Q

What is disinflation

A
  • reduction in the rate of inflation
  • prices are still rising but they are not rising by as much
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27
Q

What are indices

A
  • nominal figures must be changed into real figures to make comparisons
  • done by choosing one year for base year and adjusting all other figures into equivalent figures
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28
Q

How do you calculate indices

A

(new figure / base figure) x 100

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29
Q

What are the different indices used

A
  • retail price index (RPI)
  • consumer price index (CPI)
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30
Q

What is the consumer price index and how is it used to calculate inflation

A
  • Office for National Statistics collects prices on a general basket of goods and prices are updated with goods/services being added/removed
  • prices combined with information on average household spending pattern to produce overall index
  • takes into account how much is spent on each item so are weighted
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31
Q

What are the limitations of the CPI

A
  • not completely representative => does not account for all goods purchased and different households purchase different items
  • does not include price of housing
  • difficult to make comparisons with historical data
  • inflation indices overestimate inflation as they do not account for goods and services improving
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32
Q

What are the differences between RPI and CPI

A
  • includes housing costs such as mortgage and interest payments which CPI does not
  • CPI accounts for people switching to cheaper products when prices rise which RPI does not
  • RPI excludes top 4% earners and low income pensioners as they are not ‘average’ households
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33
Q

What are the causes of inflation

A
  • demand pull
  • cost push
  • growth of money supply
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34
Q

What is demand pull inflation

A
  • prices in a market are determined by demand and supply
  • shift in either causes prices to change
  • inflation can be caused by increase in AD
  • if any factor increasing AD was to increase, then inflation would increase
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35
Q

What is cost push inflation

A
  • decrease in supply can also push prices up
  • when businesses find their costs have risen, they will put up prices to maintain profit margin
    => caused by any factor decreasing AS
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36
Q

How can growth of money supply influence inflation

A
  • too much money can cause inflation
  • if people have access to money then they will want to spend it
  • if there is no increase in amount of goods/services supplied then prices rise
  • idea grew from fisher equation
  • government can also increase amount of money they print and decisions to increase government borrowing can increase money supply
  • can be increased by bank multiplier
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37
Q

What is the fisher equation and what does it do

A
  • grew out of the idea of growth of the money supply increasing inflation
  • MV=PT
  • M is money supply
  • V is speed of money circulating in economy
  • P is price level
  • T is number of transactions
  • increase in money supply will lead to increase in price level, Ceteris paribus
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38
Q

What is the bank multiplier

A
  • linked to idea of inflation from growth of money supply
  • banks make money by taking deposits and lending money at interest rates
  • keep a certain percentage and people who borrow do it in order to spend it
  • person who receives money will most likely input it back into system, which is a new deposit
  • this way banks can increase money supply
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39
Q

What are the effects of inflation on consumers

A
  • if peoples incomes do not rise with inflation then they have less to spend => fall in living standards
  • those in debts will be able to pay off at cheaper value
  • those who saved will lose out as money is worth less
  • psychological effects, people may feel less well off and cause decrease in spending
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40
Q

What are the effects of inflation on firms

A
  • less competitive => difficult to export => negative BoP
  • encourages people to postpone purchases, as they wait for prices to fall further => further fall in AD and revenue
  • difficult to predict => cannot plan for future
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41
Q

What are the effects of inflation on governments

A
  • if government fails to change excise taxes in line with inflation then real government revenue falls
  • if they fail to change personal income tax allowances, then real government income will increase and taxpayers will have less money
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42
Q

What are the effects of inflation on workers

A
  • can be worse off and living standard decrease if they do not receive yearly pay rises
  • can cause unemployment as a result of falling demand
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43
Q

How can costs of inflation be reduced

A
  • indexation
  • wages or taxes are increased in line with inflation
  • e.g. workers negotiating with employers for wage rises in line with predicted CPI/RPI
  • however indexation may cause further inflation as wage increases will reflect past increases
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44
Q

What is unemployment

A
  • represents a waste of resources
  • employment linked to economic growth as fast economic growth leads to more jobs being created
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45
Q

How can unemployment be measured

A
  • claimant count
  • international labour organisation (ILO) and UK labour force survey (LFS)
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46
Q

How does the claimant count measure unemployment

A
  • is the number of people receiving benefits for being unemployed
  • provides number of claimants on particular day each month and numbers joining and leaving the count each month
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47
Q

How does the ILO and LFS measure unemployment

A
  • ILO classes people as employed, unemployed or economically inactive
  • LFS is sample of people living in households and is legal requirement for all countries in EU
  • asks questions about personal circumstances and activity in labour market to class people as employed, unemployed or inactive by ILO definitions
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48
Q

How does the ILO define employed

A
  • those who do more than 1 hour of paid work a week or are temporarily away from work, are on a government supported training scheme or do minimum 15 hours of unpaid work for their family business
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49
Q

How does the ILO define unemployed

A
  • those of working age without work, able to work and seeking to work and have actively sought work in the last 4 weeks and are available to start work in the next 2 weeks
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50
Q

How does the ILO define economically inactive

A
  • neither employed nor unemployed
  • people of working age not seeking employment as well as those seeking employment but not able to start work
  • e.g. those in education, looking after family, health related issues, discouraged workers, retirement
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51
Q

What are comparisons between the claimant count and LFS

A
  • some people may not be in LFS but in claimant count as they are working in hidden economy or fraudulently claim benefits
  • some people are illeligible for benefits but classed as unemployed so show on LFS but not claimant count => LFS tends to be higher
  • claimant count and LFS rates can go in different directions as LFS is only a sample and there may be things in labour market not covered by claimant count
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52
Q

Why is it argued that both the LFS and claimant count underestimate figures

A
  • do not include these;
  • working part time but would like to work full time
  • on government training schemes who would prefer employment
  • classed as sick or disabled
  • aren’t actvely looking for jobs but would take a job if offered
  • in education because they cannot get a job
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53
Q

What are the different unemployment rates and their definitions

A
  • economically active => employed and unemployed, engaged in labour market and people employers can look to recruit while workers are unemployed and inactive
  • employment rate => percentage of population of working age who are employed
  • unemployment rate => percentage of economically active who are unemployed
  • activity/participation rate => percentage of population of working age who are economically active
  • inactivity rate => percentage of population of working age who are inactive
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54
Q

What is under employment

A
  • those who are in part time or zero hour contracts when they would prefer full time
  • self employed but would rather be employees
  • those in jobs that do not reflect their skill level
  • not included in unemployment statics
  • increased during recessions
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55
Q

What’s the significance of changes in employment activity

A
  • increases in inactivity will decrease size of labour force causing fall in productive potential
  • lower GDP and lower tax revenue as less people are working
  • decreases in inactivity would result in more people being unemployed if there are no jobs available to them
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56
Q

What are the different types of unemployment

A
  • frictional
  • structural
  • seasonal
  • cyclical
  • real wage inflexibility
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57
Q

What is frictional unemployment

A
  • unemployment due to people moving between jobs
  • due to new workers entering labour market or people leaving previous job
  • may take a while to locate and gain a job they are willing to accept
  • short term
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58
Q

What is structural unemployment

A
  • long term decline in demand in an industry leading to reduction in employment
  • lack of geographical and occupational mobility means people remain unemployment
  • different types
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59
Q

What are the different types of structural unemployment

A
  • regional => certain areas of country suffer
  • sectoral => one sector suffers dramatic fall in employment
  • technological => improvement in technology means jobs are replaced
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60
Q

What is seasonal unemployment

A
  • some employment is strongly seasonal in demand
  • once that time of year passes then labour force is drastically reduced
  • little can be done to prevent this from occurring in free market
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61
Q

What is cyclical unemployment

A
  • general lack of demand of goods and services within the economy
  • Keynesian ‘demand deficient’ unemployment
  • occurs during recession or severe economic slowdown
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62
Q

What is real wage inflexibility unemployment

A
  • real wages being above market clearing level leading to excess supply of labour
  • some workers may be prepared to work for less than minimum so company can take on more but this is illegal
  • some economists believe minimum wage risks creating unemployment in industries where international competition from low labour cost producers is severe
  • little evidence minimum wage created rising unemployment on high scale
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63
Q

How is migration linked to unemployment

A
  • increase in net inward migration leads to increased jobs
  • UK has seen mass immigration with people taking low skilled jobs
  • due to circular flow of income, immigrants’ spending creates job and total employment increases => depends on size of remittances
  • can lead to lower wages and supply of labour increases so price equilibrium of labour is reduced
  • low skilled most affected
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64
Q

How is skills linked to unemployment

A
  • as economies progress, higher skills needed
  • structural unemployment caused by lack of skills
  • e.g. engineering companies struggling to recruit skilled workers even though there are unemployed workers in local area
  • if firms will not train staff, government has to step in and correct market failure, costly => long term unemployed
  • migrant workers tend to fill shortages if skills fit
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65
Q

What is the impact of unemployment on workers

A
  • loss of income => decline in living standards
  • suffer from stigma of being unemployed
  • long term unemployed find it difficult to get another job as they lose skills
  • those in job suffer from lower job security and can see fall in wages
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66
Q

What is the impact of unemployment on firms

A
  • decrease in demand for goods (dependent on YED) => fall in profit
  • long term unemployment can lead to loss of skills and reduce employability of workers so smaller pool of skilled people to employ
  • can offer low wages => reduce costs
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67
Q

What is the impact of unemployment on consumers

A
  • local shopping centres tend to be run down => less choice and reduced quality
  • unemployed consumers have less available to spend
  • firms may lower prices and put sales on to increase demand
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68
Q

What is the impact of unemployment on the government

A
  • fall in tax revenue
  • increase spending on welfare payments => opportunity cost => budget deficit
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69
Q

What is the impact of unemployment on society

A
  • rising unemployment linked to social deprivation => relationship between crime and social dislocation
  • areas of high unemployment see fall in demand => fall in income/jobs for those in those areas
  • loss of potential national output
  • social costs of unemployment
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70
Q

What is the balance of payments (BoP)

A
  • record of all financial dealings over a period of time between economic agents of one country and all other countries
  • imports and exports
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71
Q

What are the components of the BoP

A
  • current account which records payments for purchase and sale of goods/services
  • capital and financial account which records flows of money associated with saving, investment, speculation and currency stabilisation
  • money flow into country is positive, money flow out is negative
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72
Q

What are the different parts of the current account

A
  • trade in goods
  • trade in services
  • transfer payments
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73
Q

What is trade in goods

A
  • known as visible as they can be seen
  • goods that are traded, whether raw materials or finished goods
  • difference between visible exports and visible imports is balance of trade
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74
Q

What is trade in services

A
  • services traded in or out of the country known as invisibles
  • e.g. holiday or insurance
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75
Q

What are transfer payments

A
  • wages, interest, profit or dividends can be repatriated into the country
  • current transfers done by governments when they transfer money into/out of overseas organisations
  • income and current transfers split into primary and second income
  • primary is result of loans of FoPs abroad while secondary is range of mainly government transfers to overseas organisations
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76
Q

What is the current account made of

A

balance of trade + balance of invisibles + net transfer payments

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77
Q

What is a current account surplus

A
  • exports higher than imports
  • current balance is positive
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78
Q

What is a current account deficit

A
  • imports greater than exports
  • current balance is negative
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79
Q

What are the main macroeconomic objectives (basic)

A
  • low unemployment
  • low and stable inflation
  • economic growth
  • BoP equilibrium on the current account
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80
Q

What are the extra macroeconomic objectives

A
  • protection of the environment
  • income equality
  • balanced government budget
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81
Q

How are economies interconnected

A
  • proportion of output of an individual economy which is traded internationally is growing
  • many more people own assets in other countries
  • increasing migration between countries
  • more technology being shared
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82
Q

What does increased interconnectedness mean

A
  • countries more interdependent
  • change in economic condition of one country will affect another since quantity imports/exported changes
  • in theory, all current balances should add to zero as what one country exports another imports
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83
Q

What is aggregate demand (AD)

A
  • total level of spending in the economy at any given price
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84
Q

What are the components of AD

A

AD = C + I + G + (X-M)
- consumption
- investment
- government expenditure
- net exports

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85
Q

Briefly explain the components of AD

A
  • C; consumer spending on goods and services; makes up about 60%
  • I; spending by businesses on capital goods, 15-20% of AD, mostly done by private sector
  • G; spending by government on providing goods and services, changes yearly, 18-20%
  • X-M; net imports, UK has large trade deficit but this is a minor figure and is about 5%
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86
Q

What is the AD curve

A
  • same as demand curve for individual market
  • instead shows relationship between price level and real GDP
  • downward sloping as rise in prices causes fall in real GDP
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87
Q

What are the different influences on the AD curve

A
  • income effect
  • substitution effect
  • real balance effect
  • interest rate effect
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88
Q

What is the income effect and how does this influence AD

A
  • as a rise in prices is not matched straight away by a rise in incomes, people have lower real incomes so can afford to buy less, leading to a contraction in AD
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89
Q

What is the substitution effect and how does this influence AD

A
  • if prices in UK rise, less foreigners will want to buy British exports
  • UK residents will also want to buy more imported foreign goods as they are cheaper
  • rise in imports and fall in exports decreases net exports so AD contracts
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90
Q

What is the real balance effect and how does this influence AD

A
  • rise in prices will mean the amount people have saved will no longer be worth as much as so will offer less security
  • as a result, they will want to save more and so reduce their spending => AD contraction
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91
Q

What is the interest rate effect and how does this influence AD

A
  • rising prices means firms have to pay their workers more and so there is higher demand for money
  • if supply stays same, then price of money rises because of higher demand
  • high interest rates means more people save less borrow
  • also businesses invest less
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92
Q

How are movements and changes on the AD curve

A
  • like demand, there can be both movements and shifts
  • movement is caused by changes in prices, inflation or deflation
  • shift is caused by changes in other variables
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93
Q

How do you distinguish between change on an AD curve

A
  • important to distinguish between rates of change and absolute change
  • fall in consumption will reduce AD but a fall in rate of rise of consumption means consumption is still rising so AD increases but not as much
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94
Q

What is consumption

A
  • spending on consumer goods and services over a period of time
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95
Q

What is disposable income (Y)

A
  • money consumers have left to spend, after taxes have been taken away and state benefits have been added
  • means it is affected by government taxation as well as wages
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96
Q

What is the significance of disposable income

A
  • most important factor in determining level of consumption
  • those with high income spend more than those on minimum wage
  • however we are concerned with how increases in income affects consumption => marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
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97
Q

How is MPC linked to dispoable income

A
  • most have positive MPC but less than 1
  • some have MPC of more than 1 as they use borrowing or savings to fulfil demand for goods which is higher than increases in income
  • poorer people have higher MPC as they likely to spend more of increased income while richer people save
  • average propensity to consume (APC) is average amount spend on consumption out of total income
  • in industrialised countries, APC for economy is likely to be less than 1 as people save earnings
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98
Q

How do you work out MPC and APC

A

MPC = change in consumption / change in income
APC = total consumption / total income

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99
Q

What is the relationship between savings and consumption

A
  • savings is what is not spent out of income
  • increase in consumption decreases savings
  • same factors affecting consumption also affect savings but in opposite way
  • marginal propensity to save (MPS) is how much of an increase in income is saved
  • average propensity to save (APS) is average amount saved out of income
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100
Q

How do you work out MPS and APS

A

MPS = change in savings / change in income
APS = total savings / total income

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101
Q

What factors can influence consumer spending

A
  • interest rates
  • consumer confidence
  • wealth effect
  • distribution of income
  • tastes and attitudes
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102
Q

How do interest rates influence consumer spending

A
  • most major expenditures are bought on credit
  • if interest rates high, price of good will effectively be higher since more interest needs to be paid back reducing consumption
  • high interest rates also increase mortgage repayments and reduce consumption
  • rise in interest rates decreases value of shares so people experience negative wealth effect
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103
Q

How does consumer confidence influence consumer spending

A
  • if people are confident about future and expect pay rises, they will increase spending
  • if they expect high inflation they will but now as it will be cheaper, increasing consumption
  • if recession or unemployment expected, consumption decreases and saving increases
  • expectations about taxation also affect consumption => high tax in future increases current consumption
104
Q

How do wealth effects influence consumer spending

A
  • wealth is a stock of assets
  • people with greater wealth tend to have greater levels of consumption
  • change in consumption following change in wealth
  • experienced when real house prices ruse as owners have more wealth => increased confidence
  • can be experienced when share prices also rise
105
Q

How does distribution of income influence consumer spending

A
  • those on high incomes tend to save higher percentage of income than those on low incomes
  • change in distribution of money in economy will affect level of consumption
  • if money is moved from rich to poor, consumption increases as poor have higher MPC
106
Q

How do tastes and attitudes influence consumer spending

A
  • in modern society, there is a strong materialistic drive encouraging people to have newest and best
  • can therefore increase spending, even above income
  • if people were less materialistic, consumption would decrease
107
Q

What is investment

A
  • addition of capital stock to the economy
  • only seen as investment if real products are created
108
Q

What is gross and net investment

A
  • machinery depreciates over time as it wears out or gets used up
  • gross investment is amount of investment carried out and ignores level of depreciation
  • net investment is gross investment minus value of depreciation
109
Q

What is an example of gross and net investment

A
  • if firm was to buy 5 new machines, gross investment would be value of those 5 machines
  • if they got rid of 2 old machines, then net investment would be value of those 5 minus old 2
  • distinction between net and gross is important as in UK, depreciation accounts for 75% of gross investment
110
Q

What are factors influencing investment

A
  • rate of economic growth
  • business expectations and confidence
  • demand for exports
  • interest rates
  • influence of government and regulations
  • access to credit
  • retained profit
  • technological change
  • costs
111
Q

How does the rate of economic growth influence investment

A
  • higher levels of investment in growing economy as businesses more confience
  • e.g. new machine => more products, but in declining economy, no one would by products
  • growing economy needs more investment to cope with high demand
  • if same products and same output produced each year and no more is demanded, investment stays same as firms just replace old machines
  • accelerator theory
112
Q

What is the accelerator theory

A
  • investment over a period of time is the change in real incomes times the capital output ratio
  • capital output ratio is amount of investment needed to produce a given amount of goods
  • thus if incomes rise, level of investment rises
113
Q

How do business expectations and confidence influence investment

A
  • when businesses confident, investment increases as they prepare for future
  • if they are fearful, they will not invest
  • Keynes used ‘animal spirits’ to describe feeling of managers and owners of firms on whether investment would be profitable
  • argued it is difficult to measure
114
Q

How do demand for exports influence investment

A
  • if world economy is booming, demand for exports is likely to increase
  • therefore firms’ investments likely to increase to cope with extra demand
  • knock on effect encouraging other firms to increase their investment
115
Q

How do interest rates influence investment

A
  • most investment done through borrowing
  • high rates means borrowing is more expensive so a business needs to be more confident of profits to cover extra costs
  • risk in rates increases opportunity cost
  • Keynes’ marginal efficiency of capital (MEC) graph shows high interest rates reduce investment
  • displays expected rate of return from investment at particular given time
116
Q

How does the influence of government and regulations influence investment

A
  • governments can encourage investment by their own policy decisions
  • e.g. tax breaks or grants to investment
  • regulation can affect investment
  • highly regulated economy sees less investment as regulation increases cost and time of investment
117
Q

How does access to credit influence investment

A
  • investment lower when there is high risk as it means there will be less access to credit and interest rates will be higher
  • in recessions, it is usually more difficult to access credit as risks are higher and banks become more risk aware, fearing firms will be unable to pay money back
118
Q

How does retained profit influence investment

A
  • retained profits are profits kept by firm and not shared with shareholders
  • not all firms take into account opportunity cost of investment from retained profits
  • many firms also unwilling to borrow money in case investment fails and they are unable to pay back
  • therefore high retained profits likely to increase investment
119
Q

How does technological change influence investment

A
  • improvements in technology will improve or speed up production
  • increase level of profitability
  • means investment has better prospect of success
  • change also means businesses need to invest to keep up with best technology
120
Q

How do costs influence investment

A
  • rise in cost of any capital project increases level of risk leading to lower levels of investment
  • rises in costs of making goods decrease investment as it reduces profitability
  • means firms have less money to invest and decreases rate of return on investment
121
Q

What is government expenditure

A
  • government has significant part in AD
  • spend money on defence, education, NHS, etc.
  • impact of risk in spending depends on changes in tax => if government spending and tax rise by same amount then likely there is no increase in demand as people have less disposable income so C decreases but G increases
122
Q

What are the factors influencing government expenditure

A
  • trade cycle
  • fiscal policy
  • age distribution of population
123
Q

How does the trade cycle influence government expenditure

A
  • decisions over government expenditure may be made in order to manage AD, therefore regulate trade cycle
  • in recession, government may increase spending to increase demand and reduce unemployment
  • government spending also automatically rises during recession as they spend higher on benefits
  • during booms, government may decrease spending to decrease demand and reduce inflation
124
Q

How does fiscal policy influence government expenditure

A
  • some government spending is fixed from year to year
  • e.g. school spending and pensions
  • however government can vary what they spend each year, set out in budget
  • fiscal policy is decisions about government expenditure and taxes and depends on priorities of government
  • level of government spending depends on what they lay out in their fiscal policy
125
Q

How does the age distribution of the population influence government expenditure

A
  • ageing population leads to increased government expenditure on pensions etc.
  • young population leads to increased spending on education
  • more dependents in the economy, higher government spending is
126
Q

What is net trade

A
  • exporting goods abroad brings money into country => increased AD
  • importing goods means money leaves country => decreased AD
  • net trade is total exports minus total imports
127
Q

What are factors influencing net trade

A
  • real incomes
  • exchange rates
  • state of world economy
  • degree of protectionism
  • non price factors
  • prices
128
Q

How do real incomes influence net trade

A
  • when real incomes in UK are high, there are increased imports as UK is unable to meet needs
  • means net trade decreases
  • if increase in real incomes is due to export led growth then net trade increases
  • therefore effect of changes in real incomes is dependent on many factors
129
Q

How do exchange rates influence net trade

A
  • strong pound makes imports cheap and exports dear
  • costs foreigners more to buy pound with their currency
  • imports therefore increase and exports decrease
  • elastic imports, rise in price causes large fall in demand so value of imports falls
  • inelastic imports, rise in prices causes small fall in amount of imports so value rises
  • same for exports
  • inelastic exports then rise in value but elastic then fall in value
  • if both exports and imports are elastic, rise in value of pound => fall in net trade
130
Q

How does the state of world economy influence net trade

A
  • if UK’s main export country is doing well, UK exports likely to rise so net trade rises
  • effect of state of world economy is dependent on which countries are doing well and trade relationship then UK has with them
131
Q

How does degree of protectionism influence net trade

A
  • protectionism is attempt to prevent domestic producers suffering from competition abroad
  • policies implemented making it harder for foreign firms to sell goods in UK
  • high protectionism on UK exports, exports decrease
  • high protectionism in UK for imports, imports decrease
  • if UK imposes protectionist measures, other countries likely to retaliate and do the same => exports decrease
132
Q

How do non price factors influence net trade

A
  • quality/design and marketing
  • UK goods have high quality/design level => exports will be high and imports decrease
  • UK goods well marketed then desire for them increases => increases exports, reduced imports
133
Q

How do prices influence net trade

A
  • high prices of UK goods means they are less competitive => low exports, high imports
  • if UK inflation higher than prices rise faster
  • also affected by productivity in UK as higher productivity leads to lower costs so prices can be lower
  • effects of changing prices on value depends on PED
  • if elastic, higher prices lead to fall in net trade
134
Q

What is aggregate supply (AS)

A
  • total volume of goods and services produced within economy at given price level
  • indicates ability of an economy to produce goods and services
  • shows relationship between real GDP and average price levels
135
Q

What does the AS curve show

A
  • upward sloping, willing to supply more but only at higher prices
  • elastic in short run
136
Q

What is the relationship between long and short term AS

A
  • SR is period when at least one FoP is fixed and cannot be changed
  • on AS curve in SR, money wage rates, factor prices and state of technology cannot change
  • in LR, all FoPs are variable
137
Q

What are the factors influencing AS in the SR

A
  • costs of raw materials and energy
  • exchange rates
  • tax rates
138
Q

How do costs of raw materials and energy influence SRAS

A
  • increase in this will increase cost of production
  • means SRAS curve shifts left => costs more to make same number of goods => business will only produce this amount if prices rise
139
Q

How do exchange rates influence SRAS

A
  • weaker pound will increase price of imports causing SRAR to decrease => production becomes more expensive
  • if pound becomes stronger, imports are cheaper so SRAS increases
  • SPICED => strong pound, imports cheap, export dear
140
Q

How do tax rates influence SRAS

A
  • taxes increase cost of production
  • thus cause fall in SRAS, left shift
  • subsidised shift curve right as they decrease costs
141
Q

What is a supply side shock

A
  • this occurs when there is a significant change in any of the SRAS factors;
  • costs of raw materials and energy
  • exchange rates
  • tax rates
142
Q

What are the different LRAS shapes

A
  • classical
  • Keynesian
143
Q

What does the classical LRAS curve suggest

A
  • AS is independent of price level and instead determined by FoPs and technology
  • LRAS is measure of country’s potential output (PPF), shows full capacity output
  • possible in SR for economy to exceed maximum potential LRAS by allowing FoPs overtime but not allowed in LR as machines will stop/workers will want a break
  • vertical curve based on classical view that markets tend to correct themselves quickly => if economy in disequilibrium, it will naturally move towards equilibrium so economy is producing at productive potential
144
Q

What does the Keynesian LRAS curve suggest

A
  • agreed with classical to a point
  • curve does not stay vertical as wages/prices fall when unemployment exists, making it worthwhile for firms to employ people, returning economy to normal
  • this is not the case as wages are sticky downwards
  • high unemployment (A) and firm wants to recruit, they do not have to offer high wages as LRAS is perfectly elastic
  • between A and B, employment rises, making labour scarce so firms offer high wages to attract best workers
  • output becomes price inelastic until B where increase in price no longer affects output
145
Q

What are factors influencing LRAS

A
  • technological advances
  • relative productivity
  • education and skills
  • government regulation
  • demography and migration
  • competition policy
146
Q

How do technological advances influence LRAS

A
  • improvements in technology speed up production so more goods can be produced with same resourced => increase LRAS
  • increased investment in technology also increase LRAS
147
Q

How does relative productivity influence LRAS

A
  • the more productive an economy is, the more will be produced with resources
  • increased productivity increases LRAS
148
Q

How does education and skills influence LRAS

A
  • skilled workforce is mor employable and efficient so output per worker increases => LRAS increase
  • education increases occupational mobility of labour, decreases structural unemployment => LRAS increase
149
Q

How do government regulations influence LRAS

A
  • increase size of workforce => increase people to go back to work (reducing benefits, change working age)
  • increase R&D => tax breaks for businesses who invest into research
  • make it easier to set up businesses => incentivise entrepreneurs
  • reduce regulations => lowers costs => increases output
150
Q

How does demography and migration influence LRAS

A
  • if immigration higher than emigration, population grows => more workers => LRAS increase
  • value of immigration dependent on age and skill
  • young/old population reduces working population
151
Q

How does competition policy influence LRAS

A
  • competition forces firms to improve quality/lower prices
  • have to increase efficiency for this meaning more goods can be produced => LRAS increase
  • less competition can also be beneficial => encourages investment and innovation as others cannot copy ideas from copyright laws so they are the only ones that benefit from higher profit
152
Q

What is the circular flow of income model

A
153
Q

Explain the circular flow of income model

A
  • two sector economy with households and sellers
  • households own wealth and resources, providing firms with FoPs in return for ret, wages, interest and profits
  • money is used to buy goods and services from firms
  • money flows in one direction, FoPs in another
  • national output = national expenditure = national income
154
Q

How is the two sector model for the circular flow of income oversimplified

A
  • government needs to be added => money taken out through tax and added through spending
  • if government spends more than takes away, it increases flow
  • financial services need to be introduced => inject money through investment and withdraw when consumers and producers save
  • foreign markets need to be added => exports add money but imports take money
155
Q

What is income and wealth

A
  • wealth is a stock of assets => things people own
  • income is a flow => money received
  • countries with high levels of wealth tend to have high levels of income and vice versa, but there is not a perfect correlation
156
Q

What are injections

A
  • monetary additions to the economy
  • government spending (G)
  • investment (I)
  • exports (X)
157
Q

What are withdrawals

A
  • money being removed from an economy
  • taxes (T)
  • savings (S)
  • imports (M)
158
Q

How are injections and withdrawals significant for the circular flow of income model

A
  • if sum of injections is greater than sum of withdrawals, economy will be growing
  • if injections are smaller than withdrawals then economy is shrinking
  • in an equilibrium, injections must be equal to withdrawals, and so the national income remains the same
159
Q

What is the equilibrium position of national output

A
  • when AD and AS curves intersect
  • if either AD or AS are shifted, then equilibrium position changes
  • size of change depends on size of shift and elasticity of curve which has not moved
160
Q

Where is the national output equilibrium in the short term

A
  • Keynesian and Classical economists agree AD is downward sloping and AS is upward sloping in the SR
161
Q

How do shifts in AD in the SR affect the equilibrium of national output

A
  • initial equilibrium position is P1Y1
  • outward shift in AD moves position to P2Y2
  • increase in AD leads to higher prices and higher real GDP
  • fall in AD leads to lower prices and lower real GDP
162
Q

How do shifts in AS in the SR affect the equilibrium of national output

A
  • initial equilibrium level is P1Y1
  • increase in SRAS moves equilibrium to P2Y2
  • increased SRAS leads to lower prices and higher real GDP
  • decreases SRAS leads to higher prices and lower real GDP
163
Q

How do classical economists view national output equilibrium levels related to LRAS

A
  • classical LRAS is perfectly elastic => shift in AD does not affect LR national output and only affects price levels
  • classical economists believe economy will always return to full employment level and therefore there will be no unemployment in the long run
164
Q

Explain the classical LRAS curve with a shift in demand

A
  • increase in AD leads to positive output gap
  • economy is thus in disequilibrium as SRAS and AD do not intersect on LRAS curve
  • short term equilibrium is P2Y2 => over-full employment and firms bid up wages of labour and other factor prices
  • as a result, SRAS shifts inwards as production costs increased
  • eventually, economy is producing same amount but at higher prices at P3Y1
165
Q

What do classicists conclude about national output equilibrium in the LR

A
  • increase in AD will increase price and output in the short term
  • but over time prices will continue to rise as economy moves back to long term equilibrium
  • means output does not change and only way to increase output is to increase LRAS
  • changes in AD without changes in LRAS are only inflationary
166
Q

Explain the classical LRAS curve with a shift in LRAS

A
  • initial equilibrium is P1Y1
  • increase in LRAS causes lower prices and higher output
  • although there is short term disequilibrium as SRAS does not intersect with AD and LRAS, this will be closed by a shift in SRAS
  • rise in LRAS likely to lead to lower prices and higher output
  • when compared to rise in AD which causes increased prices and no higher output, it is clear to see why classicist favour supply side polices over demand management
167
Q

Explain the Keynesian LRAS curve

A
  • agree with classicists that there is full employment when the LRAS is vertical
  • however there can be equilibrium at less than full employment when the curve is horizontal
  • this is because they don’t believe a rise in unemployment rapidly leads to a fall in real wages
168
Q

Explain the Keynesian LRAS curve with a shift in AD

A
  • shift from AD3 to AD4 is purely inflationary => FoPs being utilised highly, high employment => low supply of labour so high wages for highly skilled => increased prices but no change on output
  • shift from AD1 to AD2 occurs in recession => FoPs not being fully utilised, high levels of spare capacity, high unemployment => increased output but not price
  • shift to/from AD5 would lead to a change both in price and output
  • impact of shift depends on elasticity and employment levels
169
Q

Explain the Keynesian LRAS curve with a shift in LRAS

A
  • if economy is producing at or near full employment, rise in LRAS will increase output and decrease price level
  • seen by change in equilibrium from P1Y1 to P2Y2
  • however if economy is in recession at AD2, increase in LRAS has no effect on prices or output
  • this is why Keynesians argue during recessions the government needs to work to increase AD rather than supply side policies
170
Q

Explain the significance with increasing AD and AS

A
  • in microeconomics, any factor which affects demand would not affect supply
  • however in macroeconomics, a factor affecting AD can affect AS
  • e.g. investment is a component of AD, increase in investment increases AD but it could increase LRAS as firms could produce more
  • may mean that the long run disequilibrium caused by shift in AD will be brought back to equilibrium by an increase in LRAS rather than fall in AD
  • however not al investments increase production so LRAS will not increase
171
Q

What is the multiplier process (definition)

A
  • idea that an increase in AD due to an increased injection can lead to a further increase in national income
  • ration of final change in income to the initial change in injection
172
Q

Explain the multiplier process

A
  • initial injection represents increase in spending and will increase income for someone else which leads to further consumption spending
  • size of multiplier is determined by how much of an increase in income people will spend, MPC
  • lower leakages => higher MPC => bigger multiplier
  • multiplier is able to work due to concept of circular flow
173
Q

What is a negative multiplier effect

A
  • withdrawal from the economy could lead to a further fall in income, decreasing economic growth and possibly leading to decline in economy
  • means government plans to cut deficits will lead to even further decrease of the economy
174
Q

What are the effects of the multiplier on the economy

A
  • multiplier means growth can occur quicker, as any injections lead to bigger increase in national income
  • injections can be targeted at those with biggest MPC to increase size
  • e.g. if government trying to stimulate economy, they will want to give more money to those with highest MPC => those on low incomes
  • governments use changes in spending to influence macroeconomic performance => impossible for government to know exact effect of spending
  • time lag between increase in income and consumption
  • overall effect on economy depends on change in AD and elasticity of AS
175
Q

What are the different types of marginal propensities

A
  • marginal propensity to consume => increase in consumption following increase in income
  • marginal propensity to save => increase in savings following increase in income
  • marginal propensity to tax => increase in taxation following increase in income
  • marginal propensity to import => increase in imports following increase in income
  • marginal propensity to withdraw => MPS+MPT+MPM
176
Q

What is the multiplier dependant on

A
  • dependant on MPC, so can change all the time
  • MPC depends on range of factors affecting consumption, e.g. change in interest rates
  • higher the MPC => bigger multiplier => means more money of income is spent so more money transferred through circular flow
  • other MPs show how much of a change in income is withdrawn from economy => increase in any of these will decrease MPC
177
Q

What is multiplier equal to

A

Multiplier = 1 / (1 - MPC) = 1 / MPW

178
Q

What are the effects of a change in AD from the multiplier

A
  • multiplier leads to increase in AD higher than original increase, but for it to have desired effect there must be sufficiency spare capacity for extra output to be produced
  • if AS is perfectly inelastic (classical LRAS), only impact of multiplier is to increase price and will not affect output in LR
  • more elastic AS curve => small effect on price but increased output
  • therefore, as with any increase in AD, effect of multiplier depends on shape of AS curve and whether it is SR or LR
  • size of increase in AD depends on both size of initial increase in AD and size of multiplier
179
Q

What needs to be present for economic growth

A
  • increase in quality or quantity of the FoPs
  • increased efficiency of FoPs
  • increase in LRAS will increase potential level of output in an economy
180
Q

What factors can increase economic growth

A
  • CELL
  • technological progress
  • efficiency
181
Q

How can land increase economic growth

A
  • discovery of new resources (e.g. oil), can increase economic growth
  • economists argue developing countries tend to grow most from exploiting new resources => significant impact in developed countries
  • e.g. Saudi Arabia experienced large growth rates due to discovery of oil
182
Q

How can labour increase economic growth

A
  • increase size of workforce (immigration, demography, country participation rates) => increased production
  • increase quality of workforce => increases efficiency, less structural unemployment, greater occupational mobility => less unused resources
183
Q

How can capital increase economic growth

A
  • if a country receives sustained investment, they can access/develop new technology to improve productivity
  • also means more machines can be bought allowing for greater production
184
Q

How can enterprise increase economic growth

A
  • tax benefits and grants by government can encourage development of business
  • creates jobs => more production
  • if there is too much wealth distribution, there is little incentive to work as rich know most of money will be taken and poor know they will receive benefits
  • lack of incentive also means businesses won’t invest
185
Q

How can technological progress increase economic growth

A
  • improved technologies means AC is lowed
  • creates new products for market => increases consumption and keeps MPC high
  • without increased spending, there would be little economic growth
186
Q

How can efficiency increase economic growth

A
  • government keep up competition => producers lower prices or increase quality so improve efficiency
  • market mechanism should work properly => not the case in some countries due to lack of protection of property rights => government needs to intervene and protect so people will invest
  • efficiency capital market (banks) needed
  • profit motive (capitalist society) => communists societies experience government failure through inefficiency
187
Q

What is actual growth

A
  • percentage change in GDP
  • when the economy is actually producing more goods and services
188
Q

What is potential growth

A
  • change in the productive potential of the economy over time
  • LRAS or PPF curve shifts
189
Q

What is the productive potential of an economy determined by

A
  • FoPs
  • potential growth means there have been resourced discovered or more technology developed
  • they have not yet produced the extra goods/services so GDP hasn’t grown
  • difficulties in measuring productive potential means changes in GDP are used as a measure of growth
190
Q

How can international trade lead to economic growth

A
  • AD can affect economic growth => export led growth => rise in AD through increased exports
  • been effective in Germany, Japan and China
  • prevents poor BoP which tends to occur as a result of economic growth
  • although increased exports initially increases AD rather than LRAS, sustained high exports levels encourages/forces firms to investment and increase demand for labour
  • to be competitive in international market, firms need to be more efficient
191
Q

What is the link between actual growth rates and long term trends

A
  • long run trend rate of growth is average sustained rate of economic growth over a period of time
  • actual growth is actual change (change in real GDP) over time
  • changes in actual growth make businesses cycle
  • difference between long run trend rate of growth and actual growth is an output gap
192
Q

What is an output gap

A
  • difference between actual level of GDP and estimated long term value for GDP
  • shown on trade cycle diagram => demonstrates how the actual GDP is not always on the trend
  • difficult to measure
193
Q

What are positive and negative output gaps

A
  • positive output gap is when GDP is higher than estimated
  • negative output gap is when GDP is lower than estimated
  • with a negative output gap, there is spare capacity in the economy
194
Q

Why are output gaps difficult to measure

A
  • exact position of LRAS is unknown
  • initial estimates of real GDP are often inaccurate
  • some economists believe they are so difficult to measure that they are not a valid concept to use for the purpose of economic policy
195
Q

How can output gaps be shown

A
  • illustrated using AS and AD diagrams
  • LRAS shows full capacity output
  • equilibrium to right of LRAS shows economy working over capacity in SR
  • equilibrium to left of LRAS shows economy working under capacity
  • classicists would argue positive output gap would be filled by LR economic growth moving LRAS curve, recession which would decrease AD or revise in costs of production decreases SRAS
  • also argue negative output gap would be brought back by rising AD or fall in costs of production
196
Q

Draw and explain and AD and AS diagram for output gaps

A
  • equilibrium where AD=SRAS=LRAS
  • negative output gap at AD3 because SRAS equilibrium is less than LRAS equilibrium
  • means full capacity is not being met
  • at AD2, positive output gap as SRAS is higher than LRAS
197
Q

What is the trade cycle

A
  • periodic by irregular up and down movements in economic activity
  • measured by fluctuations in real GDP and other macroeconomic variables
  • 4 phases
  • two types of trade cycle
198
Q

What are the four phases of the trade cycle

A
  • boom
  • downturn
  • recession
  • recovery
199
Q

What are the two types of trade cycles

A
  • mild trade cycle where GDP does not fall during recessions but instead doesn’t grow as much as trend
  • extreme trade cycle where GDP falls
200
Q

Why does the trade cycle exist

A
  • demand and supply side shocks
  • demand side shocks include collapse of housing bubble, political issues, changes in exchange rate or recession in world economy
  • supply side shocks include trade union action, change in oil prices or changes in exchange rate
  • shocks can be positive and negative and cause boom or recession
201
Q

What are the characteristics of a boom

A
  • when economy is at peak, national income is high and economy is likely to be working above PPF => positive output gap
  • consumption, investment and tax revenue are high with wages increasing
  • country will increase imports to meet demands of high income consumers
  • inflationary pressure
202
Q

What are the characteristics of a recession

A
  • high unemployment, causing low consumption, investment and imports
  • inflationary pressure is low and there may be deflation
  • government defines recession as where real GDP falls in at least two successive quarters
203
Q

What is the impact of economic growth on consumers

A
  • increase in demand for housing => people have more money and are able to afford properties => increases house and share prices => wealth effect
  • improve productive efficiency due to better technology => lower prices/higher quality
  • increased happiness => not always the case
  • increased inequalities and inflation
204
Q

What is the impact of economic growth on firms

A
  • investment increases
  • business confidence improves
  • technology improves as a result of investment => lower costs and increase productive efficiency
  • higher profits => high demand + low costs
  • opportunity for new firms to establish themselves
  • firms selling interior goods may lose out
205
Q

What is the impact of economic growth on the government

A
  • tax revenue raised => money can be spent on improving living standard
  • reduce budget deficit
  • people may expect more from the government
206
Q

What is the impact of economic growth on living standards

A
  • lower poverty levels => increased production increases jobs
  • more goods and services for people to enjoy
  • housing standards, health and quality of food increase
  • investment into future living standards
  • exploitation of environment => decreases living standards in future
  • people can buy cleaner fuels and richer countries can devote resources for research and development
  • increased inequalities
207
Q

What is economics growth as a macroeconomic objective

A
  • in the UK, long run trend of economic growth is about 2.5%
  • governments aim to have sustainable economic growth for the long run
  • in emerging and developing economies, governments may aim to increase economic development before economic growth, which will improve living standards, increase life expectancy and improve literacy rates
208
Q

What is low unemployment as a macroeconomic objective

A
  • governments aim to have as near to full employment as possible
  • they account for frictional unemployment by aiming for an unemployment rate of around 3%
  • labour force should also be employed in productive work
209
Q

What is low and stable inflation as a macroeconomic objective

A
  • UK government’s target is 2%, measured by CPI
  • aims to provide price stability for firms and consumers and will help make decisions for long run
  • if inflation falls 1% outside of target, Governor of the Bank of England has to write a letter to Chancellor of the Exchequer explaining why this happened and what the Bank intends to do about it
210
Q

What is balance of payment equilibrium on the current account as a macroeconomic objective

A
  • important to allow the country to sustainably finance the current account, which is important for long term growth
211
Q

How can governments achieve their macroeconomic objectives

A
  • manage demand through monetary or fiscal policy
  • supply side policies to bring about long term growth
212
Q

What are demand side policies

A
  • policies designed to manipulate consumer demand
  • expansionary policy is aimed at increasing AD to bring growth
  • deflationary policy is aimed at decreasing AD to control inflation
213
Q

What are the different types of demand side policies

A
  • monetary policy
  • fiscal policy
214
Q

What are the different types of monetary policy

A
  • interest rates
  • monetary supply => quantitative easing
215
Q

How do interest rates play a role in monetary policy

A
  • interest rate is price of money
  • MPC is able to change official base rate to tackle inflation => repo rate, rate BoE charge for short term loans to other banks or financial institutions
  • change in repo rate affects market rates offered by banks as BoE is lender of last resort
  • if they are short of money, they have to borrow from BoE at repo rate, and therefore need to make sure that their interest rates are based on this rate so they can make a reasonable return
216
Q

What mechanisms affect AD when there is a change in interest rates

A
  • cost of borrowing
  • price of assets
  • confidence
  • value of pound
217
Q

How do changes in interest rates affect cost of borrowing and how does this affect AD

A
  • rise in interest rates will increase cost of borrowing for firms and consumers
  • leads to fall in investment and consumption, reducing AD
  • consumption of consumer durables and houses will especially fall
  • higher interest rates require higher rates of return for investment
  • also makes savings more attractive, as interest earned will be higher
218
Q

How do changes in interest rates affect price of assets and how does this affect AD

A
  • as less people are borrowing and more are saving, there is a fall in demand for assets such as stocks, shares and government bonds
  • leads to fall in prices for these assets
  • therefore consumers experience negative wealth effect since value of assets falls, leading to fall in consumption
  • also investment is less attractive since firms likely to see lower profits if prices fall
  • AD falls because of fall in consumption and investment
219
Q

How do changes in interest rates affect confidence and how does this affect AD

A
  • people become less confident about borrowing and spending if interest rates rise
  • fall on confidence leads to fall in consumption and investment
  • also, loans will become more expensive to repay so consumers have to dedicate more of their income to pay back debts
  • means they have less income to spend
220
Q

How do changes in interest rates affect the value of the pound and how does this affect AD

A
  • high interest rates increase inventive for foreigners to hold money in British banks as they can see a higher rate of return
  • as a result, increased demand for pounds and value of pound will rise
  • means imports are cheaper and exports are expensive SPICED
  • decreases net trade and therefore AD
221
Q

What are issues associated with using interest rates as a form of monetary policy to control AD

A
  • exchange rate may be affected that exports fall significantly and imports rise causing balance of trade deficit
  • change in interest rate has time lag, up to 2 years to have full effect and small changes in rates may not affect people’s decisions
  • sometimes interest rates are so low that they cannot be decreased further to stimulate demand
  • range of different interest rates and not all are affected by BoE base rate
  • high interest rates over long period of time will discourage investment and decrease LRAS
222
Q

What is quantitative easing

A
  • BoE buys assets for money to increase money supply and get more money moving around economy during times of low demand
  • quantitative means set amount of money is being created and easing refers to reducing pressure on banks
  • can prevent liquidity trap, where even low interest rates cannot stimulate AD
223
Q

How does quantitative easing work

A
  • BoE increase size of banks’ accounts at BoE => reserves, which encourages them to lend money
  • following financial crisis, BoE found many banks preferred to keep money in reserves than lending it out, so buying assets from bank did not have effect they wanted
  • therefore, Bank bought securities or bonds from private sector institutions
224
Q

How can quantitative easing increase AD

A
  • bank is buying assets, rise in demand so prices rise => wealth effect => increases consumption. Moreover cost of borrowing will decrease as higher asset prices mean lower yields, making it cheaper to finance spending
  • money supply increases => increases consumption and investment. Can also push asset prices up further
  • commercial banks lower interest rates => encourages borrowing thus investment and consumption increase
225
Q

What are problems with using quantitative easing

A
  • risk and can cause high inflation, even hyperinflation, if not controlled properly
  • some suggest it only increases demand for second hand goods
  • no guarantee higher asset prices lead to higher consumption through wealth effect, especially if confidence remains low
  • large effect on housing market by stimulating demand leading to rapid price rises => worsens issues of geographical mobility. Also leads to rising share prices increasing inequality
  • economies can be too dependent e.g. Eurozone
226
Q

What is the role of the Bank of England in monetary supply

A
  • monetary supply controlled by BoE
  • MPC makes most important decisions
  • main aim is to keep inflation at 2%
  • committee made of 9 people; 5 from BoE including Governor of BoE and other 4 are independent outside experts
227
Q

What are the different types of fiscal policy

A
  • government budget
  • taxation
228
Q

How do government budgets affect fiscal policy

A
  • government’s fiscal (spending, borrowing and taxation) plans are outlined in the budget
  • budget deficit is when government spends more money than they receive
  • budget surplus is when the government receives more money than they spend
  • rise in government spending will increase AD
229
Q

How does taxation affect fiscal policy

A
  • rise in income tax reduces disposable income and reduces consumption
  • rise in corporation tax decreases firm’s post tax profits, reducing investment
230
Q

What are problems with fiscal policy

A
  • government spending also impacts LRAS, e.g. cutting government spending to reduce AD may reduce quality of education
  • taxes have an impact on inequality so some decisions to reduce/increase demand may increase inequality
  • government has to worry about political issues as some policies may be unpopular and have them voted out
  • expansionary fiscal policy is difficult to undertake during period of austerity, government needs to consider effect of policies on budget
  • impact of fiscal policy depends on multiplier
231
Q

How can demand side policies be evaluated

A
  • classical economists argue any demand management will have no effect on long run output so supply side policies should be used => increasing AD during depression will have no effect but increasing prices
  • impact of changes in AD depend on where economy is operating on Keynesian LRAS; if full employment then rise in AD is purely inflationary
  • time lag for full effect
  • expansionary policy tends to be inflationary while a deflationary policy brings unemployment
232
Q

Compare the demand side policies

A
  • monetary policy is useful as government is able to increase demand without increasing spending which would result in larger fiscal deficit
  • classicists argue if demand management is going to be done, only monetary policy should be used
  • fiscal policy can have significant impacts on the supply side of the economy, e.g. increases in spending on education to increase AD will also increase LRAS
  • it is also more effective at targeting specific groups and reducing poverty
233
Q

What was the Great Depression

A
  • in 1930s, the world experienced a severe depression
  • unemployment was over 15% in the Uk and over 25% in the US
  • areas most affected in UK were primary industry and manufacturing industry, which relied on exports so were impacted by collapse of world trade
234
Q

What caused the Great Depression

A
  • set off by Wall Street Crash of 1929 => sharp fall in share prices on NYSE, but economists have different views:
  • loss of confidence => decrease in AD
  • US banking system => lent too much during 1920s creating unsustainable boom
  • protectionism reduced world trade reducing AD and lowering confidence
  • UK affected by commitment to gold standard meaning pound was appreciated rapidly and exports fell
235
Q

What were policy responses in the UK to the Great Depression

A
  • government believed balancing government budget was key to recovery
  • introduced emergency budget cutting public sector wages and unemployment benefits while raising income tax, reducing AD at a time it needed to be increased
  • pound came under attack from speculators and needed to be prevented from being forced out the gold standard
  • UK wad forced to leave gold standard in 1931 causing value of pound to fall which meant BoE cut interest rates
  • recovery in London and south east, rest of UK did not reach full employment until 1941
236
Q

What were policy responses in the ISA to the Great Depression

A
  • government originally had same view over balanced budget as UK
  • however Roosevelt was elected with him New Deal promising public sector investment, work schemes for unemployed and fiscal stimulus
  • USA reached full employment in 1943
  • New Deal is an example of Keynesian expansionary fiscal policy but can be argued it was not large enough to be successful
237
Q

What was the Global Financial Crisis (2008/09)

A
  • many parallels between Great Depression and Global Financial Crisis
  • both started in US and spread throughout the world
  • large, long term effects on the economy
  • less severe than Great Depression
238
Q

What were the causes of the Global Financial Crisis

A
  • issues in mortgage lending in US => poor were encouraged to take out mortgages to buy homes => moral hazard
  • low interest rates but people were no longer able to pay with higher repayments => houses repossessed, demand fell and prices fell
  • banks had been grouping prime mortgages and sub prime mortgages and selling packages to other banks and investors => aim was to reduce risk however it increased risk
  • when this was revealed, there was a fall in confidence
239
Q

What were policy responses in the UK and US to the Global Financial Crisis

A
  • both governments forced to nationalise banks and building societies and guarantee savers their money to prevent chaos of collapsed banking system
  • used expansionary monetary policies with record low interest rates and QE => BoE said QE led to lower unemployment and higher growth
  • US had a more expansionary fiscal policy and perhaps is why it recovered faster
  • in 2010, UK prioritised reducing national debt over providing a fiscal stimulus but US did not do this until 2013
240
Q

What are supply side policies

A
  • government policies aimed at increasing productive potential of the economy and moving the supply curve to right right
  • tends to be supply side improvements independent on the government over time => private sector investment
  • government is able to use supply side policies to speed up improvements
241
Q

How can supply side policies be split

A
  • market based
  • interventionist
  • free market economists tend to argue for market based policies as they want the government to have as small a role as possible
  • economists who support policies suggest the free market is not as efficiency as people believe and so the government needs to intervene to improve it
242
Q

What are market based policies

A
  • designed to remove anything that prevents free market system working efficiently, causing lower output or higher prices
  • barriers include those which reduce willingness of workers to take jobs or lead to inefficient production, high prices or a lack of risk taking
243
Q

What are interventionist policies

A
  • designed to correct market failure
  • e.g. free marker under provides education so government provides it
  • also, firms may only look into short term and look to maximise short run profits to give shareholders instead of investing, so governments may take actions to encourage investment
244
Q

What are the different supply side policies

A
  • increase incentives
  • promote competition
  • labour market reforms
  • improve skills and quality of labour force
  • improve infrastructure
245
Q

How do increased incentives act as a supply side policy

A
  • size of workforce increases=> increase in production
  • ways to increase incentives including reducing benefits/tax
  • could increase incentives for people to take risks or firms to invest => lower taxes
  • reducing taxes however can arguably have a very minimal change
  • reducing tax on high income earners increases inequality
  • reducing benefits increases inequality
246
Q

How does promoting competition act as a supply side policy

A
  • privatisation => selling nationalised companies to private sectors
  • deregulation => reducing business restrictions to entry to market
  • competition policy used to prevent monopolies
  • competition increases efficiency
247
Q

How do labour reforms act as a supply side policy

A
  • increasing retirement age => more working people => increased productivity
  • could become more flexible to make labour market efficient to external changes => weakening of unions, changing employment contracts, increase mobility of labour
  • reduce benefits increasing labour market size
  • unemployment reduces
248
Q

How does improving skills and quality of the labour force act as a supply side policy

A
  • increased spending on education and training creates a more educated workforce => increased efficiency doing higher skilled jobs
  • introduce regulation => businesses continuously train staff
  • increase in high skilled migrants increases quality of workforce
  • improvements allow for increases efficiency, production and quality
249
Q

How do infrastructure improvements act as a supply side policy

A
  • can be done through offering tax incentives or subsidies on investment
  • investment is just 17% of UK GDP compared to 35% in South Korea
  • government could also spend money to improve infrastructure, e.g. HS2, CrossRail
  • means new technology will be developed and more will be invested in buy new technology => increased efficiency
250
Q

How could supply side policies be evaluated

A
  • able to increase output and decrease prices
  • more long term policies leading to long term economic growth => time lag
  • can be directed at increasing exports => improve BoP
  • Keynesian LRAS shows supply side have no impact when LRAS is elastic, so demand side are needed to fix short run problem
  • not all supply side policies work
  • government has to spend more => budget deficit
  • undesirable impacts on AD => higher unemployment or inflation
251
Q

What is the trade off between economic growth and protection of the environment

A
  • as economy grows, more resources are used
  • as more resources used, and goods produced => increased pollution and nouse and destruction of habitats
  • economic growth in China has been rapid but led to high levels of pollution
  • economic growth can be achieved without damaging environment, but growth is likely to be slower and have higher costs
252
Q

What is the trade off between economic growth and balance of payments

A
  • some countries like India has seen rapid economic growth leading to BoP problems
  • the country is so large that its industry is largely producing goods for its own people and the wealth of the people has led to increased demand for imports
  • in comparison, China has sene massive growth but that has largely been by producing goods for exports, therefore BoP is in a surplus
253
Q

What is the trade off between unemployment and inflation

A
  • Phillips Curve => rate of change in wages increased as rate of unemployment fell
  • later generalised into relationship between unemployment and inflation, arguing firms pass on increases in wages to customer in increased prices
  • high unemployment => low wages, high employment => high wages
  • initially Phillips curve showed relationship well, but during 1970s, we saw high levels of unemployment and low inflation => stagnation
254
Q

What is the trade off between expansionary and deflationary fiscal and monetary policy

A
  • expansionary policies increase AD to increase output, employment and economic growth but lead to increased inflation and may worsen BoP as imports will increase
  • deflationary policies will decrease AD to improve inflation but will decrease employment and economic growth
255
Q

What is the trade off between changes in interest rates

A
  • increase will be used to decrease inflation
  • however continuous high rates damage long term investment => decreases LR growth
  • moreover, value of pound raises, SPICED => worsen BoP
  • also affects distribution of wealth => high rates benefit savers and lenders
  • low rates tend to increase income inequality => richest hold larger proportion of wealth in non-money assets so aren’t affected
256
Q

What is the trade off between supply side policies

A
  • intend to increase AS => improve LR economic growth
  • also able to decrease LR inflation, but may increase it in SR if they encourage investment to increase AD
  • moreover policies which decrease trade union power, reduce wages, lower benefits, change taxation etc. may increase income inequality => negatively affecting poorest
  • some supply side policies have adverse effects on budget or environment
257
Q

What is the trade off between fiscal deficits

A
  • to reduce fiscal deficits, government may decide to reduce government spending and increase taxes
  • will reduce AD and decrease SR economic growth and lead to higher unemployment
  • also, the higher the fall in output as a result of these measures, the higher the fall in tax revenues will be => more ineffective the policy
  • likely to affect income equality as poor are the ones who use government services most and so will be worst affected