Theme 2 Topic 6 Flashcards
(64 cards)
What are the 4 key objectives used to measure national economic performance and form the basis of the government’s macro economic policy objectives ?
- Economic growth
- Low unemployment
- Low and stable inflation
- Balance of payments
economic growth (objective)
measures rate of change of a country’s output.
key measure is GDP.
in the UK, the long run trend of economic growth is 2.5%.
governments aim to have sustainable economic growth in the long run.
in developing countries, the governments may aim to increase economic development before economic growth.
this would improve living standards, increase life expectancy and improve literacy rates.
low unemployment (objective)
high unemployment means poor economic performance.
economies that have strong economic growth have low unemployment.
govern,ents aim to have as near as full employment as possible.
they account for frictional unemployment by aiming for an unemployment rate of around 3%.
the labour force should be employed in productive work.
low + stable inflation (objective)
The inflation target has been made independent of the UK government to give a key component of macroeconomic policy more credibility.
Government target is 2% for the UK (measured by CPI).
it aims to provide price stability for firms and consumers and will help them make decisions for the long run.
if the inflation rate falls 1% (+ or -) outside the target, the governor of the BoE has to write a letter to the chancellor of exchequer to explain why this has happened and what the Bank intends to do about it.
balance of payments (objective)
Given that deficits have to be funded (often by borrowing) it is assumed that a surplus or equilibrium on the current account is the desired objective.
It’s is important to allow the country to sustainably finance the current account, which is important for long term growth.
The UK economy is heavily skewed towards the tertiary sector, which is a key driver of jobs and income.
It’s viewed by many economists that a deficit overall may not be detrimental to the wider economy.
Consumers have a wider choice of goods (higher quality + lower prices), increasing standards of living and welfare.
Producers can benefit from cheaper + higher quality raw materials which reduce costs.
How can the government achieve their objectives ?
Governments are able to manage demand through monetary + fiscal policy.
Recession = increase AD to increase employment + economic growth.
Boom = decrease AD to decrease inflation.
They may also use supply side policies to cause long term growth.
Emphasis on each individual government objective changes over time so the current government will focus on :
- A balanced government budget
- Protection of the environment
- Greater income equality
Balanced government budget (objective)
Government revenue = government expenditure
No budget surplus (revenue > expenditure)
No budget deficit (revenue < expenditure)
Ensures the government keeps control of state borrowing, so the national debt doesn’t escalate.
Allows governments to borrow cheaply in the future should they need to and make repayments easier.
Protection of the environment (objective)
Aims to provide long run environmental sustainability.
Ensures resources used aren’t exploited (e.g. oil and natural gas), and that they are used sustainably so future generations can access them too.
Avoids excessive pollution.
May involve supporting businesses through the form of investment grants.
Greater income equality (objective)
Minimises the gap between rich + poor.
Associated with a fairer society.
Extreme income inequality is seen as socially unacceptable.
Society believes all citizens should be able to access fair wages for a fair day’s work.
Many studies suggest that increasing income equality causes higher levels of economic growth + better standards of living and a happier overall society.
What are demand side policies ?
Demand side policies are policies designed to manipulate consumer demand.
Expansionary policy is aimed at increasing AD to bring about growth.
Deflationary policy attempts to decrease AD to control inflation.
What is the monetary policy ?
Managed by the Bank of England. Controls inflation and AD using interest rates and QE.
Used to influence the level of economic activity.
What is the fiscal policy ?
Managed by the government. Changes tax and spending to influence AD.
2 types of monetary policy instruments :
- Interest rates
- Quantitative easing
A rise in interest rates causes a fall in AD through 4 mechanisms
- Fall in investment + consumption
- Negative wealth effect
- Decreased consumer + business confidence
- Impacts on exchange rates + net trade
Negative wealth effect
Higher interest rates reduce the value of assets (stocks, shares, government bonds) due to lower demand.
Consumers experience a negative wealth effect, leading to a fall in consumption.
Firms’ investment becomes less attractive as falling asset prices reduce expected profits.
Decreased consumer and business confidence
Higher interest rates lower confidence in borrowing and spending.
Fall in consumer and business confidence leads to reduced consumption and investment, further decreasing AD.
Impact on exchange rates and net trade
Higher interest rates attract foreign capital due to higher returns.
Increased demand for pounds causes the currency to appreciate.
Stronger pound makes imports cheaper and exports more expensive, reducing net trade and AD.
positive effects of QE on the economy
- Positive wealth effect
- Increased money supply
- Lower commercial bank interest rates
Positive wealth effect (QE advantage)
Bank buys assets, increasing demand and causing asset prices (e.g., shares, houses) to rise.
Wealth effect: As asset values rise, people feel wealthier and increase consumption.
Lower Borrowing Costs: Higher asset prices reduce yields (returns on assets), making borrowing cheaper for households and businesses.
Increased money supply (QE advantage)
More money enters the economy as private sector companies receive funds, which they can spend on goods, services, or financial assets.
This can increase consumption and investment, boosting aggregate demand (AD).
Higher reserves in banks enable more lending, increasing both consumption and investment through credit.
Lower commercial bank interest rates (QE advantage)
Banks receive more money from the Bank of England, allowing them to offer lower interest rates to customers.
Lower interest rates reduce the cost of borrowing, encouraging more borrowing, investment, and consumption, thus increasing AD.
If many banks lower their interest rates, similar effects are seen as when the base rate is reduced.
Problems with QE :
- It is very risky and, if not controlled properly, could cause high inflation and even hyperinflation.
- There is no guarantee that higher asset prices lead into higher consumption through the wealth effect, especially if confidence remains low.
- It was not meant to be permanent and there are concerns that banks and economies are too dependent on QE, particularly within the Eurozone.
How effective is the monetary policy ?
- Size of Interest Rate Changes: The impact of monetary policy depends on how large the interest rate changes are.
- Timing of Rate Changes: The effectiveness depends on when the changes are made in relation to the economic cycle.
- Stage of the Economic Cycle: The effectiveness varies depending on whether the economy is in a boom, recession, or stagnation.
- Inflation Control: The primary target of monetary policy is inflation control, but it may conflict with other objectives like economic growth.