Topic 2 (demographic trends in the UK since 1900: birth rates, death rates, fam size, life expectancy, ageing pop, migration and globalisation) Flashcards
(42 cards)
What are the reasons for the decline in the birth rate 1900-2001?
changes in the position of women
decline in the infant mortality rate
children now being seen as economic liabilities
child centredness
What is the IMR?
How has the decline in the infant mortality rate lead to the decline in birth rate?
IMR- measures the number of infants who die before their first birthday, per thousand babies born alive, per year.
HARPER - fall in IMR leads to fall in birth rate. because , if many infants die, parents have more children to ‘replace’ those they have lost, thereby increasing the birth rate. if infants survive, parents will have fewer of them
The reasons for the fall in UK’s IMR:
improved housing and better sanitation (flushing toilets + clean drinking water, reducing infectious disease.
better nutrition
better knowledge of hygiene, child health + welfare
a fall in the number of married women working may have improved their health
improved services for mother + children, antenatal + postnatal clinics.
Statistic to show medical developments as a contribution to the decline in IMR
By 1950 UK’s IMR had fallen to 30 and by 2012 it stood at 4.
How has children as economic liabilities impacted the decline in birth rate?
until late 19th century, children were economic asset to their parents. sent out to work from an early age to earn an income.
since late 19th century, children have gradually become an economic liability.
laws banning child labour, introducing compulsory schooling and raising school leaving age mean that children remain economically dependent on their parents for longer and longer. changing norms about what children have a right to expect from their parents in material terms mean that cost of bringing up children has risen. as a result of these financial pressures, parents now feel less willing/ able to have a large family.
How has child centredness impacted the decline in birth rate?
increasing child centredness of both family and society as a whole means that childhood is now socially constructed as a uniquely important period in the individual’s life. in terms of family size, this encouraged a shift from ‘quantity’ to ‘quality’ - parents now have fewer children and pay more attention and provide more resources on the few they have.
What were the future trends in birth rates ?
There had been a increase in births since 2001 because of migration.
babies born outside of UK accounted for 25% of all births in 2011.
the projection for period up to 2041 expects that the annual number of births to be fairly constant at around 800 000 per year.
What was the impact of fertility changes on public services and policies?
lower birth rate means fewer schools and maternity/child health services may be needed. also affects the cost of maternity/ paternity leave and the types of housing that need to be built. there are political decisions that need to be made:government could decide to have smaller class sizes instead of reducing the number of schools. one effect of women having fewer children is that the average age of the population is rising: therer are more old people relative to young people.
What was the impact of fertility changes on the family?
smaller families mean women are more likely to be able to go out to work, creates dual earner couple typical of many professional families. However, better off couples may be able to have larger families + still afford childcare that allows them to work full time.
Failing fertility rates means fewer children. childhood may become a lonelier experience as fewer children will have sibling + more childless adults may mean fewer voices speaking up in support of children’s interests . fewer children could mean that they will come to be more valued.
What was the impact of fertility changes on the dependency ratio?
dependency ratio: relationship between the size of the working/ productive part of the population and the size of the non-working/dependent part of the population.
earnings, savings + taxes of working population must support dependent population. children make up a large part of the dependent population, so a fall in the number of children reduces the ‘burden of dependency’ on the working population. However, in longer term, fewer babies being born will mean fewer young adults and a smaller working population + so the burden of dependency may begin to increase.
How has changes in the position of women caused the decline in the birth rate (1900-2001)?
the changes in position of women:
-legal equality w/ men, including the right to vote.
-increased educational opportunities - girls now do better at school than boys.
-more women in paid employment, laws outlawing unequal pay and sex discrimination.
-changes in attitudes to family life and women’s role
-Easier access to divorce
-access to abortion + reliable contraception, gives women more control over their fertility.
HARPER (2012) - education of women is the most important reason for the long-term fall in birth rates. this has led to a change in mind-set among women, results in fewer children. many women are choosing to delay childbearing or to not have children at all, to pursue a career.
Statistic to show the fall in death rate
1900 death rate at 19.
2012 dramatically fallen to 9.8.
What are the reasons for the decline in the death rate during the 20th century?
The decline in deaths from infectious diseases
Improved nutrition
Medical improvements
Smoking and Diet
Public health measures and environmental improvements
Explain the decline in deaths from infectious diseases:
TRANTER (1996) = over 3/4 of decline in death rate (from 1850 to 1970) was due to fall in deaths from infectious diseases. most of the decline in death rate occurred among infants, children + young adults.
By 1950’s, ‘disease of affluence’ (heart disease + cancers) replaced infectious diseases as main cause of death. these diseases affect middle aged and old, more than young.
possible reason for decline in deaths from infection: population began to develop natural resistance or some diseases became less powerful. however thought that social factors had a greater impact.
How has improved nutrition led to the decline in death rate?
MCKEOWN Improved nutrition and living standards accounted for up to half the reduction in death rates.
Better nutrition increased resistance to infection + increased survival chances of those who did become infected.
How have medical improvements led to the decline in death rate?
before 1950s, played no part in reduction of deaths from infectious disease. after this, improved medical knowledge, techniques + organisation did help to reduce death rates.
advances: intro of antibiotics, immunisation, blood transfusions, improved maternity services, NHS was set up in 1948.
recently, improved medication reduced deaths from heart disease by one-third.
How has patterns in smoking habits and diet led to the decline of death rate?
HARPER believes greatest fall in death rates in recent decades has come from reduction in no. of people smoking.
21st cent > obesity replaced smoking. in 2012 1/4 of adults were obese. Harper suggest we may be moving to ‘american’ health culture where lifestyles are unhealthy but where long lifespan is achieved by use of costly medication.
How has public health measures and environmental improvements led to the decline of death rates?
20th century = more effective central/ local gov. with power to pass + enforce laws led to range of improvements in public health and quality of environment.
included improvements in housing, purer drinking water, improved sewage disposal methods. the clean air acts reduced air pollution.
What does Life expectancy mean?
what are the trends/ patterns regarding life expectancy?
life expectancy = refers to how long on average a person born in a given year can expect to live.
as death rates fallen, life expectancy increased.
If trend to greater longevity continues, HARPER 2012 predicts that we will achieve ‘radical longevity’ with many more centenarians (people over 100).
what are the gender, region and ethnic differences around life expectancy?
- women generally live longer than men , although gap has narrowed due to changes in employment and lifestyle.
- those living in the north and Scotland have lower life expectancy than those living in the south.
- working class men in unskilled/ routine jobs are nearly 3 times as likely to die before they are 65 compared with men in professional jobs.
- those in poorest areas of England die on average 7 years earlier than those in richest areas (WALKER 2011)
Statistic to show the average age of UK pop increasing
1911 - 25
2013 - 40.3
2037 - projected to reach 42.8
What is the ageing population a result of ?
increasing life expectancy: people are living longer into old age.
declining infant mortality: nowadays very few infants die early in life.
declining fertility: fewer younger people are born in comparison to the number of old people in the pop.
What are the effects of an ageing population?
need for public services changes in family structure single-person pensioner households the dependency ratio policy implications ageism
What effect has the ageing population made on the dependency ratio?
The non-working old are an economically dependent group who need to be provided for those of working age (through taxation, to pay for pensions and health care).
As the number of retired people rises, this increases the dependency ratio and the burden on the working population.
However, it would be wrong to assume that ‘old’ means that someone is economically.
The age at which people can draw their pension is rising; from 2020 both men and women will have to wait till they are 66 to access the state pension.
It should also be noted that the ageing population is offset by a declining number of dependent children.