Unemployment Flashcards
(24 cards)
Unemployment General Definition
The number of people who are available for work (i.e. in pop of working age, have a fixed address, and are actively seeking work) and are without a paid job
To be employed have to be
- Able to work (i.e in pop. of working age, have fixed address, etc.)
- Out of work
- Actively seeking work
To be inactive have to be
- In pop. of working age
- Out of work
- Not actively seeking work
PPF includes which populations
Employed + Unemployed (i.e. working population/labour force)
Working population / labour force
= Number of employed and unemployed people, but not inactive
Effect of more inactives on PPF
Inward shift (because further from full capacity)
Effect of less inactives on PPF
Outward shift (because closer to full capacity)
Representing unemployment on PPF
X below curve
Representing unemployment on business cycle
Gap between real GDP and underlying trend when underlying trend is below real GDP (i.e. the negative output gap)
Reasons for unemployment + employment both rising at same time
- Net immigration
- Natural pop. increase
- Inactives become economically active, some of whom find a job and some of whom don’t
Reasons for unemployment + employment both falling at same time
- Emigration
- Natural pop. decrease
- Both employed and unemployed economically actives become inactive
Calculating unemployment rate
Unemployed / (Unemployed + Employed)
x 100
ILO Unemployment
- Official measure of unemployment in the UK
- Used internationally
- Measures level and rate of Uk unemployment
- Does this through carrying out the Labour Force Survey
- This is a quarterly survey produced by ONS which interviews a random sample of 40,000 households (around 80,000 people)
- From this an estimate of the number of people in the UK who fit the ILO definition of unemployed (unemployment level) can be calculated, and from this the unemployment rate
Claimant Count
- Measures number of people currently claiming Job Seeker’s Allowance (an unemployment related benefit)
- Not officially an alternative measure of employment as doesn’t use ILO definition, there is a difference set of criteria you have to fill to claim.
Differences between ILO and CC criteria
ILO: 16+ // CC: 18+
ILO: Can be in full-time education // CC: Can’t be in full-time education
ILO: ‘Without a paid job’ - so excludes underemployed // CC: Includes those working less than 16 hours a week
ILO: Can have had unlimited job offers // CC: Have to take first job offered to you
ILO: Out of work and actively seeking it - no time restrictions // CC: Have to have been unemployed for 4 weeks, ready to start work in 2
Reasons for Claimant Count underestimating unemployment
- Some ILO unemployed people choose not to bc time-consuming, have to take first job given, negative stigma surrounding it, moral objection given their circumstances
- Some ILO unemployed people not eligible bc too high savings, high-earning spouse, only recently moved to UK, etc.
- CC excludes 16-17 year olds that are ILO unemployed
- CC excludes ILO unemployed people who are in full time education
- CC excludes people who haven’t been out of work for 4 weeks, and people who are seeking work for the future but not able to start in 2 weeks.
Problems with ILO unemployment figure
Survey > statistical error, sampling issues, expensive + time consuming to collect data so only done on a quarterly basis
Lagging indicator
An indicator for which rises or falls related to economic growth happen after that of economic growth. ?
Unemployment in the Uk
Current Level - 1.6 million
Current Rate = 4.8%
Claimant Count - 800,000 (540,000 of this JSA)
Inactivity in UK
Current Level - 8.89 million
Current Rate - 21.7%
Generally decreasing, however increases in periods of economic downturn (i.e. early 1990s, 2008>2009)
Population of Working Age (Current + UK)
18-64 (but upper limit increasing with changes being made to the pension age) ???
Costs of unemployment - on individual
- Unpredicted loss of earnings > lower living standards > can also impact family
- Psychological cost
- Can lose skills if out of work for a long period of time
- Hysteresis Effect - harder for people who have been out of work for a long time to find work
Costs of unemployment - firms
- Less consumption > less profit
- Fall in demand for businesses further down supply chain ?
- Negative multiplier effect can cause small businesses to close
Costs of unemployment - Government / Boarder Society
- Rise in poverty > wider inequality gap
- More social unrest and crime (bc unemployed > less money and more time)
- If people are unemployed for a long time may choose to leave labour force > increased inactivity > PPF shifts / fall in GDP