Unit 2 Flashcards
the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it
(I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon)
Hindsight bias
the tendency to be more confident than correct- to overestimate the accuracy of our beliefs and judgements
Overconfidence
thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions. Rather, it examines assumptions, assesses the source, discerns hidden values, evaluates evidence, and assess conclusions
Critical thinking
an explanation using an integrated set of principals that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events
Theory
a testable prediction, often implied by a theory
Hypothesis
a carefully worded statement of the exact procedures (operations) used in a research study
Operational definition
repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations, to see whether the basic finding extends to other participants and circumstances
Replication
research method in which one individual is studied in depth in hope of revealing universal principles
Case study
observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate and control the situation
Naturalistic observation
a technique for ascertaining the self-reported attitudes or behaviors of a GROUP (less depth), usually by questioning a random, representative sample of the group
Survey
a flawed sampling process that produces an unrepresentative sample
Sampling bias
ALL those in a group being studied, from which samples may be drawn
population
a sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
Random sample
a measure of the extent to which two variable change together, and thus of how well either variable predicts the other
Correlation
the perception of a relationship where none exists
illusory correlation