Unit 3 Flashcards

(59 cards)

1
Q

Public Opinon Poll

A

We ask a sample and make sure it is representative. Ask over 1,000 people.

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2
Q

Confirmation Bias

A

tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one’s preexisting beliefs. We use critical thinking more rigorously to argue against information we agree with more easily

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3
Q

Who gets what they want?

A

Voters, and typically more wealthy class

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4
Q

Party Identification

A

Degree to which an individual identifies herself, himself with a political party

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5
Q

Status Quo Bias

A

US gov’t system has a strong status quo bias. It’s hard to change anything. To change most things you need House, Senate, and President to argue

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6
Q

Voter Turnout

A

How many people vote - people say that Trump won because Democrats didn’t turn out

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7
Q

GOTV

A

Get out the Vote - parties spend millions on this

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8
Q

Turnout in US vs. other countries

A
  1. Legal reasons
    - registration requirement
    - not required to vote
    - vote on a Tuesday
    - more elections in US
  2. Political reasons
    - 2 major political parties
    - other ways to participate in the US
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9
Q

Turnout in Presidential vs. Midterm Years

A

It is much higher during Presidential elections

-2018 was the highest midterm turnout in 100 years b/c young ppl don’t like trump

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10
Q

Political Efficacy

A

How much you understand/know about politics and believe that you can influence what happens in the political role. This increases after college and makes you more likely to vote

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11
Q

Political Interest

A

Increases because of Education

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12
Q

Socioeconomic Status

A

Increases because of education, makes you more likely to vote

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13
Q

Electoral College

A
  1. Each State has an election
  2. Each state is worth a certain # of electoral votes
  3. Each state - most votes in a State gets all the state’s electoral votes
  4. Need a majority of electoral votes to win
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14
Q

Campaign Messages

A

Boost Name Recognition
I am like you
I am better b/c status quo is unnacceptable

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15
Q

Caucus

A

meeting held to choose political candidates (open meeting, voters publicly declare support)

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16
Q

Primary Election

A

an election in which votes choose the candidates of their party

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17
Q

Electoral College Calculations

A

votes = # of senators (2) + # of house members
each state has at least 3 electoral votes
unequal in proportion b/c ex. Wyoming vs. CA
Winner take all system
Nebraska is an exception

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18
Q

Swing States

A

Some of the best states to campaign in; states that either party could win

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19
Q

Why are Campaign Messages negative?

A

If there is nothing positive for incumbent to say, they have to be negative

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20
Q

what percentage of evangelicals support Trump

A

80% voted for trump

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21
Q

Krauthammer quote

A

To understand the working of American Politics, you have to understand that conservatives think liberals are stupid; liberals think Conservatives are evil

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22
Q

What percent of US approve of Trump as president?

A

43%

Trump’s approval ratings have been lower and more stable tan the historical average

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23
Q

“Do you think Donald Trump should be impeached and removed?”

A

May - 42% yes

Oct - 51% yes

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24
Q

The strongest driver of public opinion in the US today is…

A

Political party

25
Trump is more ______ than previous presidents
polarizing
26
Trump's approval by party
79-80% republicans 4-10% dems 30-39% independents
27
Party ID is important bc
it is more connected to other parts of our identity than before
28
Types of Trump Voters
``` Staunch Conservatives: 31% Free Marketers: 25% American Preservationists: 20% Anti-Elites: 19% Disengaged: 5% ```
29
How can Trump win again?
By hating on the Democrats
30
What are white people afraid of and why?
Afraid of becoming a minority 1. perceive anti-white discrimination (employment & schools) 2. Nation risks losing identity bc of openness to foreigners 3. Concern about loss of white majority status
31
Democrats perceive more...
minority discrimination
32
The public as a whole thinks:
other groups encounter more discrimination than whites
33
Trump tends to recast:
every potential scandal and policy issue as a battle against the dems and other outside groups
34
Whiteness is increasingly:
part of identity; people (white) previously thought of whiteness as normal, and all other races as deviations
35
What are good predictors of vote choice?
Racial attitudes are better predictors of vote choice than 10 years ago
36
Younger Republicans vs. Older Republicans
Younger Republicans think more liberally about LGBTQ+, race, etc. Don't love trump, more diverse, think government should do more to solve problems
37
Does American Public know much about politics?
no
38
Framing Effects
situations in which different ways of posing or framing an issue will get different responses
39
Reciprocity
if we want someone to do something for us, we should be willing to do the same thing for them
40
Social Desirability
respondent gives the answer that is socially appropriate; not the respondent's true view
41
Non-attitudes
respondent doesn't have a true view, but provides an answer anyway
42
Measurement Error
respondent provides an answer to a question that is different than the question the survey designer intended
43
Rule by the People
This ideal is good, but often opinions are uninformed and we don't know what people want Elections make leaders responsive to the people Officials are responsive bc we can fire them
44
Why is it hard to make changes in the USA
We are biased toward status quo probability of passing legislation/policy sits at 30% for lower income earners policies tend to reflect preferences of higher income earners
45
Evangelicals
Someone who believes: biblicism, conversionism, crucicentrism, actuism. In politics, journalists are normally talking about white evangelicals 70% approve of Trump 80% voted for Trump Evangelicals view the US as a place where they feel mocked and threatened for their beliefs
46
IV League
Only 15% of kids at IV league are from lower income background Not economically diverse trapped in a bubble of privilege
47
People say Trump won bc
The democrats didn't turn out
48
Most important factor in who votes
Education 1. college or not b/c we are having political conversations 2. students are mobilizing each other to vote provides greater sense of political efficacy 1. individuals belief that he or she can influence what happens in the political world provides greater interest in politics
49
Other important factors in who votes
``` Income 1. earn more, vote more 2. SES, combination of an individual's occupation, income, and education levels Age 1. young - vote less Legal Factors 1. tend to reinforce SES Mobilization 1. parties/campaigns spend $ on people likely to vote ```
50
Primary
1st round of elections Election within the party Determines who the party's nominee will be
51
"The Media"
doesn't exist because Media is plural
52
Media Outlet
a specific program, station, website
53
Media System
all media outlets in a country
54
Subscription and views of media...
are up in the Trump administration
55
Government
Doesn't have much influence on news coverage 1st Amendment (free press, free speech) Prior Restraint: government preventing publication of material it finds objectionable Media outlets are privately owned PBS is govt funded
56
Journalistic Values
objectivity wasn't always a value Partisan Press Penny press Broadcast Media
57
Media Goals
What are the US's media outlet's primary goals? entertain watchdog rule make $$$ consequences of media outlets being businesses
58
Politicians and Media
``` act differently b/c of the media campaign and govern via ads paid media means politicians need to raise $ Free media - try to get covered sometimes called earned media News management Strategies Sound bytes Talking points Provide dramatic visuals ```
59
Agenda Setting Effects
when media cover an issue, we think it is important oversimplified coverage 30 sec ads incentives to entertain us