Voting Behaviour Flashcards

(38 cards)

1
Q

Why do parties run campaigns?

A

Pinch votes from other parties.
Persuade the voting voter.
Get your core voter out.

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2
Q

For campaigns importance:

A

Neil kinnock vs John major- 1992
2015- cons employed Linton Crosby and spent £100,000 on social media.
Alistair Campbell- new labour
“Things can only get better”

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3
Q

Long term factors importance:

A
Identification and class
Gender 
Age 
Ethnicity 
Past performance
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4
Q

Partisan dealignment

A

When an electorate abandons the party that previously has been attached or loyal to. - Clarke et al suggests influence is decreasing- Cons 1964- 45%
1979- 21%
2001- 13%

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5
Q

What did Pulzer say?

A

Class is the basis of British politics; all else is embellishment and detail -1967

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6
Q

How has the working class experienced class dealignment?

A

Embourgeoisement. During the thatcher era - right to buy

Decade of dealignment (1983) Crewe

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7
Q

What is rational choice based on?

A

Rational choice decisions
Manifesto reviewed
Self interest
Leader image

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8
Q

Example of bad leader image

A
Michael foot (1983)
Scruffy- not well presented 
Bad first impressions
Old
Donkey jacket- breakfast down shirt
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9
Q

What is the study of voting behaviour

A

Psephology

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10
Q

Dominant ideology theory?

A

Dunleavy and husbands- 1985

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11
Q

What did sanders say?

A

1996 - economy is the key issue, in particular how it affects the voter

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12
Q

Examples of headlines?

A

Kinnock light bulb- 1992
It’s the sun wot won it

Sun backs Blair- 1997

It’s a Tory- 2015

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13
Q

What is a floating voter?

A

Electorate with no political allegiance, will vote for all parties

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14
Q

Short term issues?

A

Events leading up to election
Party image
Leaders debate

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15
Q

What is the opposite of a safe seat?

A

Marginal constituency.

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16
Q

Two contrasting leaders debate?

A

2010- Cleggmania

2015- Miliband fell off stage

17
Q

Rational choice?

A

Past performance
Policies- manifesto reviewed
Self interest
Valence issues

18
Q

Evidence for importance of Valance issues?

A

“It’s the economy stupid”
“Educationx3”
“NHSx3”
Sanders 1996- Low interest rate and inflation - Gordon brown quote

19
Q

Describe post war voting?

A

1945-70
People remained loyal
Elections won and lost by floating voters in marginals
Swing was uniform across the UK

20
Q

Geographic proof of class being important?

A

North South divide

Counter urbanisation eroded labour support

21
Q

Proof for leader image important?

A

Kinnock vs Major
Foot vs Thatcher
DC “heir to Blair”

22
Q

Campaigns not important

A

1987

we won the campaign 10-nill and lost the election 11-nill- Roy hattersley

23
Q

Tory campaign 2015

A
Lynton Crosby 
Targeted lib dem seats 
Micro targeted women in 30-40's 
Used SNP as a wedge tactic 
100,000 a month on social media 
Got rid of Gove - politically toxic
24
Q

Labour poor campaign

A

Edstone mocked by media
Fell of stage at leaders debate
Bacon sandwich
35% strategy a failure

25
Affect of opinion polls?
Started 1938 Bandwagon affect Boomerang affect
26
Different media theories?
Hypodermic needle theory - people accept what they are told Reinforcement theory - people have pre-held views and only expose themselves to the media they agree with
27
Points for by-elections
``` Unpredictable Bloody nose John major- lost 26 consecutive Weather vane Between 2010 and 2015 lib den lost deposit 7 times ```
28
Local election points?
Low turnout- less than 29% in 1998 | FPTP encourages low turnout
29
Devolved election points?
Turnout lower than general but higher than Westminster AMS system used- smaller parties gain seats, less tactical voting Nationalism parties do well
30
Tory and the elderly?
"Senescent conservatism" butler and stokes 1960
31
Labour and the young?
1997- Labour won all age categories bar 65+ | 2015- only 18-24 and 24-35 - both low turnout
32
Ethnicity and voting behaviour?
Sagar 2000- 1997 review 89% black vote labour 81% Asian vote labour
33
Further proof of dominant ideology?
"Rupert Murdoch is effectively a member of blairs cabinet" Lance price
34
Who came up with rational choice?
Heimmelwiet et al
35
Class in the 2015 general election?
C2 vote not won back by labour equal on 32% | Rise of UKIP in Labour heartlands
36
Partisan dealignment in 2015?
Floating voters- 20% undecided on Election Day Labour lost 28% to all parties gained some back to churn Loss of lib dem heartland Rise of SNP
37
Dominant ideology in 2015 election?
Cameron refuses 3 way leader debate "It's a Tory" and wedge tactic Miliband monstered
38
Rational choice in 2015?
Tori seen as more economically competent following- Byrne " there's no money left" NHS x3 Referendum promised on EU