Voting Behaviour Flashcards
(38 cards)
Why do parties run campaigns?
Pinch votes from other parties.
Persuade the voting voter.
Get your core voter out.
For campaigns importance:
Neil kinnock vs John major- 1992
2015- cons employed Linton Crosby and spent £100,000 on social media.
Alistair Campbell- new labour
“Things can only get better”
Long term factors importance:
Identification and class Gender Age Ethnicity Past performance
Partisan dealignment
When an electorate abandons the party that previously has been attached or loyal to. - Clarke et al suggests influence is decreasing- Cons 1964- 45%
1979- 21%
2001- 13%
What did Pulzer say?
Class is the basis of British politics; all else is embellishment and detail -1967
How has the working class experienced class dealignment?
Embourgeoisement. During the thatcher era - right to buy
Decade of dealignment (1983) Crewe
What is rational choice based on?
Rational choice decisions
Manifesto reviewed
Self interest
Leader image
Example of bad leader image
Michael foot (1983) Scruffy- not well presented Bad first impressions Old Donkey jacket- breakfast down shirt
What is the study of voting behaviour
Psephology
Dominant ideology theory?
Dunleavy and husbands- 1985
What did sanders say?
1996 - economy is the key issue, in particular how it affects the voter
Examples of headlines?
Kinnock light bulb- 1992
It’s the sun wot won it
Sun backs Blair- 1997
It’s a Tory- 2015
What is a floating voter?
Electorate with no political allegiance, will vote for all parties
Short term issues?
Events leading up to election
Party image
Leaders debate
What is the opposite of a safe seat?
Marginal constituency.
Two contrasting leaders debate?
2010- Cleggmania
2015- Miliband fell off stage
Rational choice?
Past performance
Policies- manifesto reviewed
Self interest
Valence issues
Evidence for importance of Valance issues?
“It’s the economy stupid”
“Educationx3”
“NHSx3”
Sanders 1996- Low interest rate and inflation - Gordon brown quote
Describe post war voting?
1945-70
People remained loyal
Elections won and lost by floating voters in marginals
Swing was uniform across the UK
Geographic proof of class being important?
North South divide
Counter urbanisation eroded labour support
Proof for leader image important?
Kinnock vs Major
Foot vs Thatcher
DC “heir to Blair”
Campaigns not important
1987
we won the campaign 10-nill and lost the election 11-nill- Roy hattersley
Tory campaign 2015
Lynton Crosby Targeted lib dem seats Micro targeted women in 30-40's Used SNP as a wedge tactic 100,000 a month on social media Got rid of Gove - politically toxic
Labour poor campaign
Edstone mocked by media
Fell of stage at leaders debate
Bacon sandwich
35% strategy a failure