Voting Behaviour & Media Flashcards
How did the 1979 election change the composition of the HoC
Labour down 62, Conservatives up 50
Con majority of 43
No small parties
Scottish National Party lost 9 of 11 seats (due devolution being non issue)
How was the political system affected by the 1979 election
Move from labour govt with no majority to Con govt with comfortable majority
First female PM
what did the public think the main issues were in 1979 (4)
Public sector strikes 1978/9
Labour punished for not controlling unions
Economy in bad shape (high inflation- although falling at election)
Free markets v state control big issue
1979 Main influences on outcome of election
Lab ran bad election campaign implying a woman should not be elected PM
Lab not trusted on the economy
Lab disunited moderates v left
Con policy of home ownership popular
Con had advantage due to shrinking working class and expanding middle class
1979 how was government affected by election outcome
UK moved from indecisive weak govt with tiny majority to one with working majority
Marked start of 18 years of Con govt
Bulk of electorate in centre or right on most issues
Summary of 1997 election
Landslide victory for Blair’s Labour Party
Lib Dem’s made breakthrough winning 46 seats
How did the outcome of the 1997 election affect the make up of the HoC
Cons lost 178 seats, Lab gained 145
Lib Dem gained 28
Lab vote risen by 8.8% and Con vote declined by 11.2% since 1987
43% of the vote converted into 63% of seats - the effect of the electoral system exaggerated the scale of the labour win
1997 Main issues (4)
Cons blamed for 1990’s recession
NHS considered to be in decline
Education funding and standards falling
Crime was high
1997 Main influences on the outcome
Personalities - Blair seen as charismatic and dynamic whereas Major seen as dull and uninspiring Blair appealed to growing middle class with 3rd way policies - got rid of reputation for being too socialist and reckless with public money Voters wanted a change Media strongly supported lab
1997 how was political system affected by outcome
Beginning of 13 years of lab govt (won 3 elections)
Lab won huge majority which made massive social, economic and constitutional reform possible
Start of 3 party system
How did the 2010 election alter the composition of the HoC
Dramatic outcome - first hung parliament since 1974
Lib Dem’s continued resurgence winning 57 seats (23% vote)
Con won 36.1% Lib Dem won 23% so coalition govt had 59.1% support
How was the political landscape changed by the 2010 election
More than previously this was a leadership election
Clear electorate had become more volatile
Because of volatility opinion polls proved inaccurate
Turnout increased from below 60% in 2005 to 65%
In 2010 what did the public think were the main issues surrounding the election
Almost a one issue election - economy post financial crisis of 2008
Lab blamed for state of economy
Growth in govt debt resurrected fears of 1970’s “tax and spend”
Key issue was spend way out of crisis (lab) or austerity (con)
What is austerity
Higher taxes and lower govt spending
2010 main influences on the outcome (4)
Leadership key - PM Gordon Brown regarded as weak and dull. David Cameron seen as fresh face and more decisive
Spectre of coalition between lab and SNP raised in media and as this was unpopular with voters many switched to Cons to stop it
Opinion polls had pointed to a hung parliament may have influenced some voters to change their vote
Relentless anti G.Brown press
2010 how was the political system affected by the outcome
Lab failed to form a coalition with Lib Dem or SNP so Con invited to join with Lib Dem
There followed 5 years of problematic, fragile coalition govt
UK seemed to move further towards 3 party system
2017 main features of the outcome (6)
Extraordinary election. Early predictions of Con landslide dispelled in last 2 weeks of campaign
Hung parliament Con largest party but without overall majority
Con increased vote share but lost seats, lab vote rose 10% and gained seats
Lib Dem revival did not happen
UKIP lost most of its vote share and its one seat, greens faltered and SNP lost seats in Scotland
Reputation of Jeremy Corbin enhanced but Theresa May’s was damaged
In order to govern Con reached a “confidence and supply” agreement with DUP (10 seats) to give them an overall majority. Grant of £1billion was awarded to the province in return for DUP support
What is a confidence and supply agreement
Confidence refers to the ability of the gov to retain the confidence of the majority of MPs tested occasionally in a vote of no confidence
Supply refers to the ability fo the government to have its financial plans (budget) approved by HoC each year
After the 2017 election what were the main changes to the political landscape
UKIP ceased to be force in UK politics
SNP lost dominance in Scotland - issue of Scottish Independence put on back burner
Cons having enjoyed a 12 seat majority in 2015 became a minority govt despite increasing their vote share by 5.5%
Lab increased vote share by 9.6%
2017 Main issues(3)
Clearest choice between parties since ideology driven election of 1983. Lab increasingly left wing and Con centre right
Cons campaigned on strong leadership and ability to conclude brexit negotiations - “strong and stable”
Lab campaigned on radical policies as nationalisation of railways, Royal Mail and water, rises in taxation on wealthy and increases in expenditure in health and education(abolition of student loans and free nursery care)
2017 main influences on the outcome (4)
Jeremy Corbyn enjoyed a successful campaign raising his profile (peaking at Glastonbury) in contrast to Theresa May who was damaged (EVERYTHING went wrong)
Young voted in larger numbers than before - boosting labour
Former UKIP voters gave their vote to one of the 2 main parties and similarly 21 SNP seats won by either Con or Lab
Majority of press still Con but lab used social media a lot to thwart the opposition in the national press
2017 how was the political system affected by the outcome
Hung parliament
Minority con govt took over supported by 10 MPs from DUP giving it a working majority on key votes
In which election did the opinion polls predict a hung parliament but one party won outright with small majority
2015
In which election did the Lib Dem vote collapse with them loosing most of their seats
2015