Week 5 Flashcards
(46 cards)
Risk
Uncertainty of cash flows; in timing and magnitude.
How is risk measured?
Through the standard deviation of cash flows.
Are both assets and liabilities considered to have risk?
Yes!
For asset holders, where is the uncertainty?
Uncertainty in earnings (cash inflow).
For liability holders, where is the uncertainty?
Uncertainty in cost.
Risk upside
Uncertainty in timing and magnitude of future cash flows that provides benefit.
Risk downside
Uncertainty in timing and magnitude of future cash flows that provides disadvantages or added cost.
Asset upside risk
Asset downside risk
Upside: receiving greater future earnings than expected or receiving future earnings sooner than expected.
Downside: receiving less future earnings than expected or receiving future earnings later than expected.
Liability upside risk
Liability downside risk
Upside: paying lesser future cost than expected or paying future cost later than expected.
Downside: paying greater future cost than expected or paying future cost sooner than expected.
When considering the risk of future cash flows our expectation of risk needs to be …. (2)
Nuanced and specific.
What can help us form perceptions of risk?
Historical and recent cash flows or return pattern of assets/liabilities.
When downside risk increases, what is needed to compensate for the added risk burden?
A greater return.
As risk increases, return ….?
Increases
When future CFS become more uncertain (risk increases) the present value of their worth ______
Falls.
Greater downside risk = _____ value
Less
Greater downside risk = ______ value = _______ price
Less value, lower price
Capital budgeting
The process by which organisations determine whether their long term investments, such as new machinery, are worth pursuing.
Objective of capital budgeting decisions (2)
To select investments in assets that will increase the value of the company and will maximise shareholders’ wealth.
3 reasons why capital budgeting is important
- These investments involve large cash outlays.
- They create value when cash flows they generate are worth more than they cost.
- Once made, these investments are not easily reversed.
Why does higher risk = higher return? 4 steps
- Higher risk means higher uncertainty of future CFS.
- = lower value as future CF of greater risk are worth less today.
- = lower price as buyers will pay less for lower value.
- = higher return to compensate for higher risk.
A project is accepted if NPV …. and/or IRR ….
NPV > 0
IRR > discount rate (usually WACC)
2 project types
- Independent.
2. Mutually exclusive.
NPV
The dollar value added by the project.
IRR
The periodic yield/return of the project.