Week 5 Flashcards

(46 cards)

1
Q

Risk

A

Uncertainty of cash flows; in timing and magnitude.

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2
Q

How is risk measured?

A

Through the standard deviation of cash flows.

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3
Q

Are both assets and liabilities considered to have risk?

A

Yes!

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4
Q

For asset holders, where is the uncertainty?

A

Uncertainty in earnings (cash inflow).

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5
Q

For liability holders, where is the uncertainty?

A

Uncertainty in cost.

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6
Q

Risk upside

A

Uncertainty in timing and magnitude of future cash flows that provides benefit.

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7
Q

Risk downside

A

Uncertainty in timing and magnitude of future cash flows that provides disadvantages or added cost.

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8
Q

Asset upside risk

Asset downside risk

A

Upside: receiving greater future earnings than expected or receiving future earnings sooner than expected.
Downside: receiving less future earnings than expected or receiving future earnings later than expected.

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9
Q

Liability upside risk

Liability downside risk

A

Upside: paying lesser future cost than expected or paying future cost later than expected.
Downside: paying greater future cost than expected or paying future cost sooner than expected.

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10
Q

When considering the risk of future cash flows our expectation of risk needs to be …. (2)

A

Nuanced and specific.

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11
Q

What can help us form perceptions of risk?

A

Historical and recent cash flows or return pattern of assets/liabilities.

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12
Q

When downside risk increases, what is needed to compensate for the added risk burden?

A

A greater return.

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13
Q

As risk increases, return ….?

A

Increases

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14
Q

When future CFS become more uncertain (risk increases) the present value of their worth ______

A

Falls.

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15
Q

Greater downside risk = _____ value

A

Less

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16
Q

Greater downside risk = ______ value = _______ price

A

Less value, lower price

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17
Q

Capital budgeting

A

The process by which organisations determine whether their long term investments, such as new machinery, are worth pursuing.

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18
Q

Objective of capital budgeting decisions (2)

A

To select investments in assets that will increase the value of the company and will maximise shareholders’ wealth.

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19
Q

3 reasons why capital budgeting is important

A
  1. These investments involve large cash outlays.
  2. They create value when cash flows they generate are worth more than they cost.
  3. Once made, these investments are not easily reversed.
20
Q

Why does higher risk = higher return? 4 steps

A
  1. Higher risk means higher uncertainty of future CFS.
  2. = lower value as future CF of greater risk are worth less today.
  3. = lower price as buyers will pay less for lower value.
  4. = higher return to compensate for higher risk.
21
Q

A project is accepted if NPV …. and/or IRR ….

A

NPV > 0

IRR > discount rate (usually WACC)

22
Q

2 project types

A
  1. Independent.

2. Mutually exclusive.

23
Q

NPV

A

The dollar value added by the project.

24
Q

IRR

A

The periodic yield/return of the project.

25
Net Present Value NPV = present value - ?
Price
26
A negative NPV implies? | Should you invest?
That the cost > worth; do not invest.
27
A positive NPV implies ...? | Should you invest?
Cost < worth; invest if possible.
28
0 NPV implies?
Cost = worth
29
RRoR (required rate of return)
The minimum return that a project must earn in order to be acceptable.
30
What is often used as the RRoR?
WACC
31
^ WACC = __ NPV
^ WACC = deceased NPV
32
Decreased WACC = __ NPV
Decreased WACC = ^ NPV
33
Through what 2 ways might WACC change?
1. Through changes in capital. | 2. Through changes in the cost of debt and/or cost of equity.
34
When the credit worthiness of a company improves (the credit rating goes from BB to AA, what is the impact on Kd and the flow on impact opon WACC?
Kd goes down, WACC goes down.
35
Ke
Cost of equity
36
Kd
Cost of debt
37
For any given company Ke is greater than or less than Kd?
Ke > Kd
38
Who are the last 2 stakeholders to be paid in a company?
Debt holders (capital creditors) and finally equity holders.
39
Why are equity investors' risk higher than that of debt capital creditors?
Because they are paid last, or not at all.
40
So why is Ke > Kd?
A rational investor would always require a higher rate of return of the company's equity.
41
Is it cheaper to finance capital through debt or equity?
Debt
42
A capital structure favouring debt = ___ WACC
Decreased WACC
43
However, when debt repayments increase (^ D/V) there is greater risk of less residual cash flow left to pay equity holders, so equity holders require .... ^ Ke = ____ WACC
A greater return. | ^ Ke = ^ WACC
44
If there is a lower weighting on the cheaper form of capital (decreased D/V) WACC ___, but then Ke ____ as equity holders face less risk with less debt in the company, so WACC ___
WACC ^, Ke decreases, WACC decreases.
45
What 2 negative side effects can an ^ in WACC have?
1. A decrease in valuation. | 2. A much higher risk.
46
Invest if IRR > or < than RRoR (WACC)
Invest if IRR > RRoR