Week 7: Exchange Rate Changes Flashcards
(13 cards)
What 5 factors influence exchange rates?
- Inflation
- Interest
- Income
- Government Controls
- Expectations of future exchange rates
How do interest rates affect exchange rates (£)?
Demand for UK bank deposits increase and so does the £.
What is the formula for the real interest rate (Fisher Effect)?
Real Interest Rate = Nominal Interest Rate - Inflation Rate
How does income affect the exchange rate?
If foreign income increases, demand for British goods increases- increasing demand for £
How may governments influence the equilibrium exchange rate?
-Imposing foreign exchange barriers
-Imposing foreign trade barriers
-Affecting Macro variables (inflation/interest rates)
What do many institutional investors take currency positions based on?
Expectations (anticipated interest movements)
What causes a shift in demand for domestic assets?
-Domestic interest rate
-Foreign interest rate
-Expected future exchange rate
What shifts with a rise in domestic interest rate?
Demand rightward
Explain how interest rate changes function?
Domestic real interest rates rise => domestic currency appreciates.
When domestic interest rate rises due to expected increase in inflation => domestic currency depreciates
What does a higher domestic money supply cause?
Depreciation of domestic currency
What is Country Risk?
The potentially adverse impact of a country’s environment on forex returns
How can country risk analysis be used?
To devise risk management strategies appropriate to the country.
A screening process to avoid conducting business with excessive risk