Week 8 Flashcards
(12 cards)
What is sensitivity analysis?
a method used to assess how changes in specific input variables affect the output or outcome of a model or decision
what are the 3 types of sensitivity analysis?
mathematical, statistical, graphical
how does mathematical sensitivity analysis work?
assess sensitivity of a model output to the range of variation of an input (one-at-a-time OAT)
how does statistical sensitivity analysis work?
involves running simulation in which inputs are assigned probability distributions and assessing the effect of variance in inputs on the output distribution
how does graphical sensitivity analysis work?
gives representation of sensitivity in the form of graphs, charts, or surfaces
what is a local sensitivity analysis?
one factor is changed and the others are held constant (OAT)
what are the advantages of OAT?
easily applied and interpreted, often needs fewer simulation runs compared to global sensitivity analysis
what are the disadvantages of OAT?
explores a reduced space of inputs, interactions are not considered, sampling is inefficient when the number of parameters is large
what are the 4 steps of the invariant-variant method?
identify values of interest, create binary maps, conduct index overlay, and partition the resulting raster into two parts (invariant and variant)
how can you determine what is invariant and variant?
look at frequency of high values, consider how many locations are derived
what is path dependence?
the dependence of future societal decision processes and/or socio-ecological outcomes on those that have occurred in the past
what is lock-in?
when the trajectory of the path becomes so fixed that its almost impossible to alter or reverse