BCAR.Cdn Flashcards

1
Q

What is the purpose of A.M. Best’s financial strength ratings

A

To provide an opinion on the financial strength of an insurer (and it’s ability to meet ongoing obligations to policyholders)

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2
Q

What is the BCAR formula?

A

BCAR = (AC-NRC)/AC x 100

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3
Q

How is AC (Available Capital) calculated in the BCAR formula

A
  • Start with balance sheet reported capital (surplus)
  • Make appropriate adjustments
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4
Q

Identify adjustments to balance sheet capital to obtain BCAR Available Capital

A

EDO: lura-sd-fig

Equity Adjustments:
- Loss reserves
- Unearned premiums
- Reinsurance
- Assets

Debt adjustments:
- Surplus notes
- Debt service requirements

Other adjustments:
- Future operating costs
- Intangibles
- Goodwill

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5
Q

Why don’t we use unadjusted reported capital as the value for AC (Available Capital)

A

Incorporating these adjustments provides for a more economic and consistent view of capital available

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6
Q

Identify the risk categories in the BCAR model

A

Asset risk:
- (B1) Fixed income securities
- (B2) Equity securities
- (B3) Interest rate risk
- (B4) Credit risk

U/W risk:
- (B5) Reserve risk
- (B6) Premium risk
- (B8) Catastrophe risk

Other risks:
- (B7) Business Risk

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7
Q

What is the purpose of the covariance adjustment in the NRC formula?

A
  • Reflects the assumed statistical independence of 7 of the 8 risk components (B1-B6 and B8) and shows it’s mostly unlikely that all risks will reach their maximum values at the same time
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8
Q

Why is B7, Business risk, excluded from the covariance adjustment?

A

A.M. Best expects an insurer to maintain capital for business risks without the benefit of diversification

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9
Q

In the BCAR model, what is “gross required capital”

A

Gross required capital = direct SUM of required capital for B1 to B8

(represents total required capital if all risks developed simultaneously)

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10
Q

What is the formula for NRC

A

NRC = (B7) + SQRT [ (B1)^2 + (B2)^2 + (B3)^2 + (0.5 x (B4))^2 + (0.5 x (B4) + (B5))^2 + (B6)^2 + (B8)^2 ]

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11
Q

What is the key idea in calculating the required capital for each risk category?

A

Multiply the liability from each risk category by a specific capital factor (similar to MCT)

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12
Q

Briefly describe how BCAR “capital factors” for reserve risk are derived

A

Derivation of reserve capital factors is:
- Based on industry factors
- Then adjusted for company’s volatility in case loss development

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13
Q

Identify considerations other than BCAR score that impacts Best’s balance sheet strength assessment

A

Q^2-SALAMI

  • ## Q^2: Quality of Capital, Quality of Reinsurance
  • Stress testing (how well does the company perform under stress)
  • Adequacy of reserves
  • Liquidity of capital
  • Actions of affiliates (affiliates could drag you down or pull you up)
  • Matching of assets & liabilities (this is desirable for paying your bills on time)
  • Internal capital models (does the company have a good procedure for assessing its own capital needs)
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14
Q

Identify the 6 steps in A.M. Best’s rating process (leading to the final issuer credit rating)

A

BOB-ECL
- Balance sheet strength (mainly based on the BCAR scores, but subject also to Q^2-SALAMI)
- Operating performance
- Business profile
-
- Entreprise risk management
- Comprehensive adjustment
- Rating lift and/or drag

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15
Q

Identify company characteristics that may tend to lower a company’s BCAR score (5)

A
  • Aggressive investment portfolio (increases NRC for investment risk categories B1, B2, B3)
  • Loans to high-risk entities or reinsurance with low-rated reinsurers (increases NRC for credit risk category B4)
  • Reserve deficiency (increases NRC for reserve risk category B5)
  • Excessive growth or high U/W leverage (increases NRC for premium risk category B6)
  • Concentration of property risks in certain CAT prone area (increases NRC for catastrophe risk category B8)
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16
Q

Why does A.M. Best calculate NRC and BCAR at more than 1 level of VaR?

A
  • To gain more insight into the company’s balance sheet strength
  • To assess its ability to withstand tail events
17
Q

Why does A.M. Best use a sensitivity analysis to supplement its BCAR calculation?

A
  • Assess capital required to support future business
  • Assess impact of a pro-forma transaction (acquisition of a subsidiary)
  • Assess projected year-end capital position

Can also reflect other changes, such as those expected to affect business mix and the investment portfolio.

18
Q

Identify an aspect of the BCAR model that may make it more robust than MCT

A

BCAR model permits qualitative adjustments to final assessment for economic conditions such as:
- Interest rate changes
- Stage of U/W cycle
- Changes in reinsurance arrangements

(these are essentially market adjustments within the BCAR framework)

19
Q

Describe 3 similarities between the BCAR model and MCT

A
  • Purpose: assess financial strength & ability to meet policyholder obligations
  • Key idea: apply capital factors to liabilities in various risk categories
  • Covariance adjustment (to account for the statistical independence between risk categories)
20
Q

Describe 3 differences between the BCAR model and MCT

A

Formula is different and:
- BCAR max = 100%, no minimum
- MCT min = 0%, no maximum

Robustness is different:
- A.M. Best is more robust because final assessment includes qualitative economic conditions

Time horizon is different:
- BCAR capital must support current & future premium risk
- MCT focuses more on current year’s risk

21
Q

BCAR Assessment Formulas (Strongest, very strong, strong, adequate, weak, very weak)

A

Strongest: 25 < BCAR at VaR(99.6) ≤ 100

Very Strong: 10 < BCAR at VaR(99.6) ≤ 25

Strong: BCAR at VaR(99.6) ≤ 10 and BCAR at VaR(99.5) > 0

Adequate: BCAR at VaR(99.5) ≤ 0 and BCAR at VaR(99) > 0

Weak: BCAR at VaR(99) ≤ 0 and BCAR at VaR(95) > 0

Very Weak: BCAR at VaR(95) ≤ 0