Govt.FloodSolutions Flashcards

1
Q

Why was the Task Force on Flood Insurance and Relocation established?

A

To explore solutions for high-risk areas and potential relocation strategies (note that the task force prioritized engagement with Indigenous communities)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Identify and briefly describe 3 types of flooding

A

Fluvial (river flooding)
- when the water level in a river, lake or stream rises and overflows onto the neighboring land

Pluvial
- when an extreme rainfall event creates a flood independent of an overflowing water body

Coastal
- when dry and low-lying land is submerged by seawater

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

Identify 5 priority areas for action under EMS (Emergency Management Strategy)

A
  1. Enhance whole-of-society collaboration and governance to strengthen resilience
  2. Improve understanding of disaster risks in all sectors of society
  3. Increase focus on whole-of-society disaster prevention and mitigation activities
  4. Enhance disaster response capacity and coordination and foster the development of new capabilities
  5. Strengthen recovery efforts by building back better to minimize the impacts of future disasters
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

What does Priority 3 include as a priority outcome?

A

FPT governments assist in the development of options for sharing the financial risks of disasters
- could include engaging the private sector to develop an affordable private flood insurance model for the entire population, including clear incentives for mitigation of flood risks

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

Define the term “risk” in the context of disasters

A

Disaster risk is the combination of the likelihood and the consequence of a specified hazard being realized

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Identify and briefly describe the key drivers of Canada’s flood risk

A

Population growth and urban development:
- Urban densification in flood-prone areas contributes to flood risk (70% of Canada’s population)
- Urban centers are more prone to flood risks due to their location on or near floodplains and coastlines

Climate Change:
- Heat-induced risks - heat promotes wildfires and droughts, destroying vegetation and increasing runoff
- Extreme precipitation - due to warmer temperatures (creates pluvial risk, especially in urban areas with impermeable surfaces that can’t absorb water)
- Accelerated Warming - Canada’s climate is warming twice as fast as the global rate
- Rising Sea Levels - coastal flooding

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

Identify 3 problems pertaining to flood insurance in Canada

A

High cost (especially for low-income households)
- Recent flood events cause increased premiums and possibly withdrawal of coverage altogether

Low Risk Awareness
- Information about floods, including flood maps, may be unavailable

Misaligned incentives
- Taxpayer-funded DFA programs contribute to moral hazard (because people may rely on that instead of buying insurance)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Fully describe 3 problems due to low risk awareness of Canadians in high-risk areas

A
  1. When and where flood insurance is available, Canadians may not purchase it due to a lack of awareness of their level of flood risk, or they may erroneously assume flood risk is covered by standard home insurance.
  2. Homeowners who have purchased optional flood coverage may not have sufficient protection for the amount of risk they face
    - Unfortunately, only after an event that homeowners discover they are under/un-insured.
  3. Low-risk awareness means homeowners are less likely to make investments in property-level protections for flooding, whether or not they have insurance.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

Fully describe the moral hazards associated with misaligned incentives regarding flood risks in Canada

A

In general:
- A moral hazard is the expectation that governments will provide post-disaster financial assistance (regardless of poor decisions by individuals and communities on where to build)

In particular:
- Homeowners: at the homeowner level, DFA doesn’t encourage risk reduction or insurance purchase
- Communities: at the community level, local governments & developers, benefit from property sales & tax revenues, but flood recovery costs fall largerly on other levels of government
- Regional & national: Cost-sharing of disaster recovery reduces incentives for risk reduction (which may include expensive infrastructure)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Provide 3 examples of things outside the scope of the Task Force on Flood & Relocation’s report

A
  1. Federal commitment to complete all flood maps in Canada
  2. Federal commitment to provide interest free loans to homeowners for climate change mitigation and adaptation improvements to their domicile
  3. Promote flood risk awareness in Canada through a public-facing information portal
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

Briefly describe the concept of FRM (Flood Risk Management) (4)

A
  • An alternative approach to conventional flood control measures
  • Promotes the use of non-structural mitigation measures to complement and enhance other types of mitigation
  • Stakeholders include: government, industry, communities, non-government organizations, individuals
  • An iterative process of: acting, monitoring, reviewing, adapting
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: federal government

A

Roles:
- Support provincial/local efforts to mitigate/manage flood emergencies

Responsibilities:
- Monitor/manage emergencies in their respective areas of responsibility
- Financial assistance through the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangement

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: Provincial/Territorial government

A

Roles:
- Regulate insurers
- Implement land use & flood risk management policies

Responsibilities:
- Make infrastructure investments
- Develop flood maps

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: Municipal government

A

Roles:
- Collaborate with PT governments to identify flood risks
- Lead local response and recovery during emergencies

Responsibilities:
- Enforce local construction and land-use by-laws
- Invest in structural and non-structural flood mitigation

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: Indigenous Communities

A

Roles:
- Develop community emergency management plans
- Coordinate with all other stakeholders

Responsibilities:
- Address unique challenges (geographical, social/cultural) particularly in northern & remote communities
- Ensure that emergency management plans are implemented and maintained

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: Insurance Industry

A

Roles:
- Provide flood insurance
- Data collection, research, public outreach

Responsibilities:
- Offer overland flood endorsements (fluvial, pluvial flooding, coastal coverage remains limited)
- Incentivize policyholders to engage in risk reduction (shift economic recovery burden away from DFA)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
17
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: Non-Governmental Organizations

A

Roles:
- Act as initial responders during flood incidents

Responsibilities:
- Coordinate volunteers in recovery efforts

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
18
Q

Regarding FRM (Flood Risk Mgmt), identify the roles & responsibilities of: Communities & Individuals

A

Roles:
- Seek information to understand their property’s flood risk
- Pay taxes to support governmental relief

Responsibilities:
- Purchase flood insurance
- Cover their own uninsured losses

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
19
Q

Identify the necessary preconditions for success of a private flood insurance market

A
  1. improved Public awareness of flood risk
  2. Accurate and up-to-date flood mapping across Canada
  3. adequate and ongoing Investments in public and private flood defences
  4. Limited or restructured post-disaster financial assistance to encourage flood mitigation investments
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
20
Q

Identify prevention and mitigation measures an individual household can implement (4) (Benefit-to-cost: 11:1)

A
  • Installing a backwater valve
  • Having a basement sump pump
  • Maintaining appropriate lot grading
  • Clearing eavestroughs and extending downspouts
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
21
Q

Identify prevention and mitigation measures a community can implement (3) (Benefit-to-cost: 6:1)

A
  • Adopt climate-resilient best practices for: regulations, land use, urban planning, development
  • Upgrade infrastructure
  • Invest in natural infrastructure
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
22
Q

Identify prevention and mitigation measures that can be implemented on a national level (4) (Benefit-to-cost: 7:1)

A
  • Stricter building codes
  • Improved flood risk information
  • Investments in climate resilience (Ex: infrastructure resilience, environmental resilience)
  • Funding for watershed level mitigation projects
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
23
Q

Describe the concept of strategic relocation (4)

A
  • Buy a high-risk property (government if often the buyer)
  • Remove assets from high-risk property
  • Restore site to undeveloped state
  • Repurpose site as green infrastructure to better absorb floodwater (further reduces flood risk)
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
24
Q

Identify the inputs for the PS (Public Safety) approach for estimating flood damages (3)

A

Flood hazard:
- Refers to extent, magnitude (such as water depth or flow velocity) and probability of occurrence

Flood Exposure:
- Refers to the people, property, infrastructure and other social or economic assets which may become affected by flood hazard

Consequence (Flood Damages):
- How much damage floodwater is likely to cause to particular exposured people or assets

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
25
Q

Identify the output for the PS (Public Safety) approach for estimating flood damages

A

Risk
- Estimates of average annual loss (AAL) from flooding as well as return-period level losses for residential properties in Canada

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
26
Q

Briefly discuss the methodology for estimating flood hazards

A

Canada has 2 types of flood hazard information:
- Local regulatory flood mapping
- Broad-coverage models mainly used by insurance firms

Regulatory mapping is very accurate but available only in select areas

Broad coverage models provide nationwide data (including flood depths for standard return periods and diverse flood types)

Both were used for the estimation of flood hazard across Canada, due to their specific advantages in some areas

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
27
Q

Identify 3 advantages of broad-coverage models over local regulatory flood mapping

A
  1. Nationwide coverage
  2. Provides flood depths for standard return periods
  3. Captures different flood types of fluvial, pluvial and coastal
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
28
Q

Briefly discuss the methodology for estimating flood exposure (3)

A

Requires a comprehensive residential properties database (on the “block” level of 20-30 properties)
- Variety of databases were procured, combined and evaluated for completeness

Information was then combined with building attributes, informed risk and flood susceptibility

Finally, dataset was further broken down to individual households for consequence estimation

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
29
Q

Briefly discuss the methodology for estimating consequences

A

Relate flood depths in the models to estimate flood losses of residential properties
- This is done using depth-damage models

Was then possible to create 6 unique estimates of AAL expected from flooding per residential address across Canada, with two estimates of average annual loss in the northern portions of Canada.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
30
Q

Briefly discuss the outputs of the flood damage assessment

A
  • Estimates of AAL for residential properties throughout Canada based on the best available data.
  • Mean of 6 different damage estimates was used at each location to combine the intelligence from numerous flood damage model (this is more robust than having just 1 estimate)
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
31
Q

Identify the advantages of the flood damage analysis

A
  • Involvement of 3 different operational flood hazard models currently in use by the Canadian insurance industry
  • Use of highest quality residential address database currently possible using several input datasets
  • Implementation of 4 different operational flood damage estimation methodologies
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
32
Q

Identify the design characteristics of flood insurance programs (4)

A
  • Administration: Role of Government vs Role of Private Insurers
  • Choice: Voluntary or Compulsory
  • Packaging: Standalone Product or Bundled with Other Perils
  • Premiums: Risk-based or Uniform Pricing
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
33
Q

Desribe the flood insurance program in: Australia

A

Administration: government regulates the industry with minimum financial burden
- Promotes private partnerships for risk management

Choice: Voluntary (both offering and uptake)
- Varied availability based on flood risk levels

Packaging: often bundled with other perils
- Coverage and specific flood-related perils vary by insurer

Premiums: Risk-based
- Not regulated or subsidized by the government
- Potentially high for highest risk properties
- Retrofits recognized in premium calculations (& encouraged)

34
Q

Desribe the flood insurance program in: France

A

Administration: government oversees CatNat scheme
- CatNat is supported by state-owned CCR (that reinsures insurers)
- Local governments are encouraged to adopt risk reduction plans

Choice: depends
- Home insurance (including CatNat) complusory for property owners with a mortgage
- Voluntary otherwise

Packaging: Bundled
- CatNat, covering flood and other natural disasters, is added to all property insurance contracts

Premiums: Uniform pricing
- 12% surcharge on home insurance policies for natural disasters
- No incentive for property-level mitigation

Note: CCR = Caisse Centrale de Reassurance

35
Q

Desribe the flood insurance program in: United Kingdom

A

Administration: Flood Re manages the flood insurance system
- The Flood Re pool is a private sector entity accountable to the government

Choice: depends
- Not compulsory by law but often required by mortgage lenders for high-risk properties
- Voluntary for properties without a mortgage or for low-risk properties
- Availability for high-risk properties limited to those built prior to 2009

Packaging: Bundled with homeowner’s policies
- Ceded to Flood Re when premiums exceed an affordability cap

Premiums: reflect home values rather than risk level
- Affordability is priortized
- Supplemented by a levy on all residential properties
- A criticism is that high-value properties (wealthy homeowners) are effectively subsidized

36
Q

Desribe the flood insurance program in: United States

A

Administration: NFIP (National Flood Insurance Program) administered through FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)
- Some involvement from private insurers (roles of varying degree and are paid a fee)

Choice: Depends
- Compulsory for homeowners with federally-backed mortgage in flood-prone areas
- Voluntary elsewhere

Packaging: standalone

Premiums: risk based
- Some older government-subsidized policies will transition to risk-based
- Discounts for communities implementing risk-reduction measures

37
Q

Identify the 4 themes identified to help guide the development of policy options in Canada

A
  1. Uncertainty (want to minimize this)
  2. Market Penetration, adverse selection and mutuality (want to maximize this)
  3. Affordability (design for this or uptake of flood insurance will be low, espcially for high risk areas)
  4. Moral Hazard (want to minimize this)
38
Q

Identify 3 considerations to help guide the development of policy options for Canada under this theme: Uncertainty

A
  1. Locate, map, profile and publicize high-risk flood areas
  2. Invest in risk reduction in high-risk areas to expand insurability
  3. Deter new property exposure in flood risk areas
39
Q

Identify 3 considerations to help guide the development of policy options for Canada under this theme: Market Penetration, adverse selection and mutuality

A
  1. Leverage federal and provincial programs to incentivize or require the purchase of flood insurance in high-risk areas
  2. Adopt the bundling of flood risk with other perils as a design priority
  3. Collaborate with insurers to manage financial risk of high-risk properties, and aling incentives across low, medium, and high-risk properties
40
Q

Identify 3 considerations to help guide the development of policy options for Canada under this theme: Affordability

A
  1. Negotiate an operational and simple definition of flood insurance affordability
  2. Prioritze means-testing to guide any public subsidy to households for flood insurance affordability
  3. Insurance affordability measures for high-risk properties should be explicitly temporary with the goal of levelling up to risk-based rates
41
Q

Identify 3 considerations to help guide the development of policy options for Canada under this theme: Moral Hazard

A
  1. Ensure policies clearly outline exclusions
  2. Implement a minimum deductible to share costs with the insured
  3. Avoid incentivizing new development in high-risk areas, including areas that are likely to become high-risk in the future as climate change continues to change the risk landscape
42
Q

Briefly describe the policy goals/objectives of Canada’s Task Force on Flood Insurance (1-2)

A
  1. Provide adequate and predictable financial compensation for residents in high-risk areas
    - Key themes: adequate coverage, reliability/consistency/clarity of coverage
  2. Incorporate risk-informed price signals and other levers that promote risk-appropriate land use, mitigation, and improved flood resilience
    - Key themes: Improve risk awareness for people, communities, and governments, Reduce perverse incentives that sustain/increase residential flood risk
43
Q

Briefly describe the policy goals/objectives of Canada’s Task Force on Flood Insurance (3-4)

A
  1. Be affordable to residents of high-risk areas, with specific considerations for marginalized, vulnerable, and/or diverse populations
    - Key themes: Inclusive, equitable access to insurance
  2. Provide coverage that is widely available for those at high-risk across all regions
    - Key themes: availability (fluvial, pluvial, coastal) in all geographic regions, incorporating dynamic changes to risk over time. Coverage should be available in practical ways for people to access
44
Q

Briefly describe the policy goals/objectives of Canada’s Task Force on Flood Insurance (5-6)

A
  1. Maximize participation of residents in high-risk areas
    - Key themes: Ensure that within any option selected, uptake is maximized
  2. Provide value for money for governments and taxpayers
    - Key themes: Flood insurance solution should (over time) reduce burden on public DFA for flooding, shifting expenditures from recovery to mitigation and adaptation. Should be cost-effective and sustainable
45
Q

Briefly describe the assumptions related to the 4 actuarial flood insurance models of the Task Force on flood insurance (5)

A
  1. Total Flood Risk: 2.9B annual residential flood damage
  2. Organizational start-up costs: not included (but on-going operational and maintance expenses are included)
  3. Lifespan of Model: 25 yrs
  4. Climate Change: Not considered (levels of risk are set to flood hazard models as of 2020)
  5. Inflation: Not considered (difficult to predict but all models should be affected the same way anyway)
46
Q

How are the highest-risk homeowners for flood risk identified (top 10%)?

A

If AAL or premiums ≥ 0.1% of coverage (for ex: 300$ premium for a 300K$ coverage)

47
Q

What are the 8 design features considered in the 4 insurance models from the Task Force on flood insurance

A
  1. Threshold for “high risk homeowners”
  2. Affordability
  3. Premium Loading Factors
  4. Cross Subsidization
  5. Deductibles
  6. Participation
  7. Standardization of Flood Insurance Policies
  8. Automatic Ceding of Flood policies
48
Q

Identify strategies for increasing affordability of flood insurance (2)

A
  • Premium caps
  • Subsidies based on income
49
Q

Identify 2 items that are covered by “premium load factors” in flood insurance

A

Any 2 of:
- Administrative and operational costs (claims admin, overhead costs, etc.)
- Safety margins that ensure sufficient funds are collected to cover the expected risks
- Additional living expenses

50
Q

What is cross-subsidization?

A

Cross subsidization is a way to redistribute the total amount of premiums paid by high-risk homeowners. Low risk homeowners would pay a higher premium than if it were fully risk-adjusted, with the objective to reduce, at least in part, the premium paid by high-risk homeowners.

51
Q

What is the advantage/disadvantage of deductibles regarding flood insurance

A

Advantage: Can serve to reduce moral hazard and incentivize risk reduction

Disadvantage: can hinder take-up in a voluntary purchase scenario (especially high deductibles)

52
Q

Define “residual risk”

A

Residual risk is the amount of financial risk left in the system once insurance options have been applied.

53
Q

Who pays the cost of “residual risk” in the context of residential flood insurance?

A

Uninsured and underinsured homeowners

  • Note: when moving from a public DFA model to an insurance based model for flood coverage, important to consider residual risk that will be on the shoulders of the people mentioned above
54
Q

How can low participation rates be improved in Canada where flood insurance is not mandatory? (2)

A
  • Awareness of risk through education
  • Incorporation of affordability supports / lowering premiums
55
Q

Identify 3 examples of standardization of flood policies

A
  1. Policy forms may be standardized to ensure clear, simplified, and understandable policies.
  2. Perils and damages covered could be standardized across a group or all those insured
  3. Coverage could also be bundled for different water-related perils in a standardized way to increase clarity and remove ambiguity of responsibility
56
Q

Describe the Flat Cap High Risk Pool model for flood insurance

A

General:
- A high-risk pool
- With minimal intervention by government
- But with low premium cap & significant support from government

Who is included?
- Households at high-risk of flooding

Income-based subsidies:
- None (because premium cap is only 500$)

Cross-Subsidization:
- 20$ levy on all policies

Participation Assumptions
- Mandatory offer
- Optional purchase
- Leads to only 50% participation for high-risks

Premium Loading Factor:
- 96% of AAL (predominantly as a result of additional living expenses, claims, and claims admin)

57
Q

Describe the Tiered Cap High Risk Pool model for flood insurance

A

General:
- A high-risk pool
- With added intervention by government
- 5 levels of cap (based on quintiles of reconstruction costs)

Who is included?
- Households at high-risk of flooding

Income-based subsidies:
- None (because tiered premium caps)

Cross-Subsidization:
- 40$ levy on all policies

Participation Assumptions
- Mandatory offer
- Mandatory purchase with mortgage (optional without mortgage)
- Leads to 65% participation for high-risks (since around 65% of homes have mortgages)

Premium Loading Factor:
- 96% of AAL (predominantly as a result of additional living expenses, claims, and claims admin)

Standardization:
- Comprehensive bundling of water coverage

58
Q

Describe the Public Insurance model for flood insurance

A

General:
- a Crown Corporation (corporation owned by government)
- underwrites flood insurance with private insurance as intermediary
- Higher premium cap ($3000) with automatic government backstop

Who is included?
- All households (low, medium and high risk)

Income-based subsidies:
- Sliding scale

Cross-Subsidization:
- 45$ levy on all policies

Participation Assumptions
- Mandatory offer
- Mandatory purchase (via bundling with homeowner’s policy)
- Leads to very high participation (90% for high risk)

Premium Loading Factor:
- 66% of AAL (predominantly as a result of additional living expenses, is lower because admin fees are charged directly to crown corporation)

Standardization:
- Comprehensive bundling of water coverage

59
Q

Describe the Public Reinsurance model for flood insurance

A

General:
- A layered (using both public and private-based elements of previous models)
- 1st layer: optional purchase from private market at risk-based rates at modest limit (25K)
- 2nd layer: mandatory purchase above model limit but subsidized by crown corporation
- No premium cap for 1st layer, 3000$ cap for 2nd layer

Who is included?
- All households (low, medium and high risk)

Income-based subsidies:
- None for 1st layer, sliding scale for 2nd layer

Cross-Subsidization:
- 20$ levy on all policies

Participation Assumptions
- Mandatory offer, optional purchase for 1st layer
- Mandatory offer & purchase for 2nd layer (via bundling with homeowner’s policy)
- Leads to very high participation (90% high risk) for 2nd layer, low participation for 1st layer (35% high risk)

Premium Loading Factor:
- 1st layer: 166% of AAL (higher than previous models due to reins. costs, claims costs, additional living expenses, and enhanced safety margins)
- 2nd layer: 66% of AAL (predominantly as a result of additional living expenses, is lower because admin, distribution & overhead costs are assumed by private market)

Standardization:
- Comprehensive bundling of water coverage

60
Q

Compare the 4 flood insurance models on: General Organization

A

High-Risk Pools used by:
- Flat Cap High Risk Pool
- Tiered High-Risk Pool (5 levels)

Crown Corporation used by:
- Public Insurer (underwrites insurance through private insurers)

Public & Private elements used by:
- Public Reinsurer (uses 2 layers)

61
Q

Compare the 4 flood insurance models on: Who is included

A

Includes only high-risk households:
- Flat Cap High Risk Pool
- Tiered High Risk Pool

Includes all households (low, medium, and high risk):
- Public Insurer
- Public Reinsurer

62
Q

Compare the 4 flood insurance models on: Income-Based Subsidies

A

No subsidies (not necessary because of premium caps or private market)
- Flat Cap High Risk Pool
- Tiered High Risk Pool
- Public Reinsurer (1st layer only)

Sliding Scale Subsidies
- Public Insurer
- Public Reinsurer (2nd layer only)

63
Q

Compare the 4 flood insurance models on: Cross-Subsidization

A

All models have a small levy (20$, 40$, 45$, 20$)

64
Q

Compare the 4 flood insurance models on: Participation Assumptions

A

Mandatory Offer / Optional Purchase:
- Flat Cap High Risk Pool
- Public Reinsurer (1st layer only)

Mandatory Offer / Mandatory purchase with mortgage / otherwise optional purchase
- Tiered High Risk Pool

Mandatory Offer / Mandatory Purchase (via bundling)
- Public Insurer
- Public Reinsurer (2nd layer only)

65
Q

Which flood insurance model(s) contain significant residual risk?

A
  • Flat Cap High-Risk Pool
  • Tiered High-Risk Pool

(Due to lower participation in those models vs the other two)

66
Q

Which flood insurance model is most costly to governments?

A

Public Insurer (but cost-per-capita basis for high-risk households is reasonable)

67
Q

Which flood insurance model provides the greatest flexibility and risk-reduction incentives?

A

Public Reinsurer

(more flexible due to 2 layer split, and risk-reduction incentives due to risk-based premiums for first layer which are costly)

68
Q

Identify reasons that the costs of flood risk may increase over time (2)

A
  1. Inflation on (re)construction costs is typically larger than inflation on common goods and services.
  2. Climage change and population growth in the floodplains will put increasing pressure on any risk-sharing plan.
69
Q

Briefly describe 2 potential flood de-risking measures

A
  1. Restricting eligibility for the highest-risk homeowners
    - Reduces costs
    - but leaves many homeowners unprotected - requires significant government spending in a catastrophe
  2. Strategic relocation
    - reduces costs
    - but is potentially disruptive & lengthy
70
Q

How does each model perform in terms of Adequacy and Predictability of Compensation?

A

Flat Cap High-Risk Pool: average
- Due to optional purchase, compensation may not be adequate due to inadequate coverages chosen by homeowners

Tiered High-Risk Pool: average
- Better than Flat Cap, but those not part of mandatory coverage may still have highly variable adequacy of coverage

Public Insurer: Strong
- Due to mandatory standardized coverage & comprehensive bundled flood coverage, coverage is likely to be adequate for majority of homeowners

Public Reinsurer: Strong
- Due to mandatory standardized coverage & comprehensive bundled flood coverage in 2nd layer, coverage is likely to be adequate for majority of homeowners

71
Q

How does each model perform in terms of Risk Reduction?

A

Flat Cap High-Risk Pool: average
- Low premium cap does not incentivize strong risk reduction

Tiered High-Risk Pool: average
- Better than Flat Cap model, but even with progressive premium cap, does not incentivize strong risk reduction

Public Insurer: average
- High prem cap incentivizes risk reduction, but offset by income-based subsidies

Public Reinsurer: Strong
- Due to risk-based rates in layer 1, homeowners have strong incentive to reduce risks

72
Q

How does each model perform in terms of Affordability?

A

Flat Cap High-Risk Pool: Strong
- Low premium cap leads to strong affordability

Tiered High-Risk Pool: average
- Although there is a progressive premium cap scale, it is based on home value and not on capacity of insureds to pay. Therefore, could be better

Public Insurer: Strong
- Combination of high premium cap & income-based subsidies leads to strong affordability score for this model

Public Reinsurer: Average
- Average due to same conditions as Public insurer in 2nd layer. However, 1st layer is not strong due to risk-based pricing which is usually unaffordable

73
Q

How does each model perform in terms of Availability?

A

All models: Strong
- All models have comprehensive geographical coverage

74
Q

How does each model perform in terms of Participation?

A

Flat Cap High-Risk Pool: Weak
- Low premium cap is the only driver of participation for high risks, since not mandatory, leads to large residual risk (due to low participation)

Tiered High-Risk Pool: average
- Better than Flat Cap model due to higher participation due to mandatory on homeowners with mortgages. However, still average due to overall low participation of high-risk homeowners (only 65%)

Public Insurer: Strong
- Mandatory bundling of flood insurance with home policies leads to almost perfect level of participation across all risk levels

Public Reinsurer: Strong
- Mandatory bundling of flood insurance with home policies leads to almost perfect level of participation across all risk levels (for 2nd layer)
- Participation more in line with pool models for 1st layer (so residual risk is between tiered model & public insurer)

75
Q

How does each model perform in terms of Value for Money / residual risk?

A

Flat Cap High-Risk Pool: Weak
- Requires significant amount of government funding in order to provide affordable coverage (though only a portion of high-risk homeowners are likely to be covered)
- Leads to large residual risk (leads to more pressure on govt to provide ad-hoc relief)

Tiered High-Risk Pool: average
- Better than Flat Cap model due to mandatory on homeowners with mortgages (so more balance for residual risk)
- Residual risk however is concentrated in high-risk areas

Public Insurer: Strong
- Has lowest overall residual risk, coming at higher cost to governments (which are more predictable)

Public Reinsurer: Strong
- Due to 1st & 2nd layer approach, more residual risk than public insurer but isn’t terrible overall since is majorly for first layer which covers small events, so losses to govt will be on smaller scale

76
Q

State the 4 themes of the key findings of the Task Force on Flood Insurance and Relocation (Hint: CIRE)

A
  1. Current Flood Risk
  2. Insurance Considerations
  3. Relocation Considerations
  4. Equity Considerations
77
Q

Briefly describe the following key finding of the Task Force on Flood Insurance and Relocation: Current Flood Risk

A
  • Total flood risk is currently estimated at 2.9B$
  • Note that about 1/3 of this total is concentrated in only the top 1% riskiest homes
78
Q

Briefly describe the following key finding of the Task Force on Flood Insurance and Relocation: Insurance Considerations

A
  • Many homeowners don’t understand what’s covered and what isn’t covered regarding floods so standardization of policy language is important in addressing this
  • Maximizing participation in an insurance program is key because it spreads the risk across a broad population of homeowners of low, medium and high risk
  • Public intervention can close coverage gaps, but at a cost
79
Q

Briefly describe the following key finding of the Task Force on Flood Insurance and Relocation: Relocation Considerations

A
  • Relocation is a powerful but potentially disruptive risk removal tool.
  • If relocation isn’t possible, then “in-place” mitigation measures can be applied
  • In either case, these measures must be informed at the community level
80
Q

Briefly describe the following key finding of the Task Force on Flood Insurance and Relocation: Equity Considerations

A
  • Affordability is key for equitable access among socio-economically disadvantaged groups requiring support
  • Education is key so that homeowners understand the risks and costs of floods and will take steps to remove or mitigate risks
  • Cultural connections of Indigenous peoples to water and land must be respected